9月29日，券商板块午后再度发力。截至14:00，券商ETF基金（515010）涨6.96%，持仓股广发证券、 湘财证券、华泰证券、国盛金控等股批量涨停，东方证券、东方财富、东吴证券等股纷纷异动；金融科 技ETF华夏（516100）涨4.59%。 中原证券分析指出，9月券商指数走势由前期的相对强势显著转弱，板块平均P/B由月初的1.60倍上方再 度回落至2016年以来1.55倍的板块平均估值之下，近日进一步回落至1.50倍之下。虽然四季度行业经营 业绩面临一定的同比压力，但在经历三季度的指数型上涨行情后日均成交量、两融等关键业务指标均创 历史新高，权益自营有望对冲固收自营的下行空间，券商板块持续走弱的空间相对有限。预计四季度券 商板块平均P/B的核心波动区间将维持在1.40倍-1.60之间，中短周期内如果券商板块向估值波动区间的 下限靠拢，仍是再度布局券商板块的良机，积极保持对政策面、市场面以及券商板块的持续关注。 相关产品： 券商ETF基金（515010）跟踪证券公司指数（代码399975），指数前十大成份股权重达60.56%，包括中 信证券、东方财富、国泰海通、华泰证券、招商证券等头部券商，一键配置券商龙 ...

中航证券认为，尽管年初至今权益市场整体走强，但券商板块指数反弹幅度仍滞后于大盘，当前大型券商估值处于历史中枢偏下区间，配置价值显现。 截至2025年9月29日 09:31，中证全指证券公司指数(399975)盘中震荡。成分股华林证券(002945)领涨0.56%，华泰证券(601688)、国信证券(002736)跟涨；湘 财股份(600095)领跌，锦龙股份(000712)、中国银河(601881)跟跌。券商ETF(512000)下修调整。 流动性方面，券商ETF盘中换手0.04%，成交1493.04万元。拉长时间看，截至9月26日，券商ETF近1月日均成交16.54亿元，居可比基金前2。 规模方面，券商ETF近1周规模增长3.36亿元，实现显著增长，新增规模位居可比基金第二。份额方面，券商ETF最新份额达607.00亿份，创近1年新高，位 居可比基金第一。资金净流入方面，券商ETF近22天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得12.62亿元净流入，合计"吸金"72.74亿元，日均净流入达3.31亿元。 截至9月26日，券商ETF近1年净值上涨30.08%。从收益能力看，截至2025年9月26日，券商ETF自成立以 ...

Group 1 - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the non-bank financial sector [2][43]. - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the current market sentiment is recovering, supported by a series of policy implementations, which may lead to further increases in trading volume and index rebounds [43][44]. - The report highlights that the brokerage sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio is still at historical low levels, indicating potential for growth [44]. Group 2 - The report reviews the performance of the brokerage sector from 2003 to 2025, noting that the sector has experienced significant excess returns compared to the CSI 300 index during various market cycles [5][9]. - It identifies that the brokerage sector's beta has shown a slight recovery in 2025, currently at 1.66, indicating higher volatility compared to the market [5][6]. - The report points out that the current trading volume in the brokerage sector is positively correlated with the index performance, suggesting that increased trading activity often leads to higher index values [23][41]. Group 3 - The report indicates that the H-share brokerage stocks have shown stronger elasticity in the current market cycle, outperforming their A-share counterparts significantly [12][16]. - It notes that the average daily trading volume of the H-share brokerage sector has reached historical highs, with a peak of 15.3% of the total Hong Kong market trading volume [41]. - The report recommends specific brokerage firms such as GF Securities, East Money, CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and Hong Kong Exchanges for investment consideration [44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, highlighting high profitability and valuation discrepancies under favorable market conditions [8]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the brokerage sector's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 83% year-on-year and 19% quarter-on-quarter, driven by strong performance in brokerage and proprietary trading [3][14]. - The report emphasizes the growth in light capital business, particularly in retail brokerage, while investment banking faced challenges with IPOs but saw significant growth in refinancing [4][8]. - The investment business is identified as a key driver for the substantial year-on-year growth in performance, with a notable improvement in investment yield and a reduction in funding costs contributing to net interest income growth [5][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Overview - The brokerage sector experienced double-digit asset expansion and significant year-on-year profit growth, with improved operational efficiency [10][11]. 2. Light Capital Business - Retail brokerage business thrived, with brokerage income rising to 32.7 billion yuan, a 49% increase year-on-year, while investment banking income grew by 5% to 6.7 billion yuan [4][12]. 3. Capital Business - Investment income surged by 44% to 59.1 billion yuan, with proprietary trading income reaching 48.7 billion yuan, a 45% increase year-on-year [8][14]. 4. Investment Analysis and Valuation - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong merger and acquisition potential and those with high earnings elasticity, such as China Galaxy and CICC [8][19].