本周重磅日程一览 美政府关门闹剧势将持续，"数据真空"来袭 美国政府关门危机延续，众议院共和党领导层决定下周不返回华盛顿，试图迫使参议院民主党接受共和党版本的临时支出法案。这一 策略升级表明政府关门可能持续更长时间，将进一步影响关键经济数据发布。 下周可能被推迟的报告包括贸易平衡、初请失业金人数和库存数据。如果共和党和民主党能在下周就一项临时拨款法案达成两党协 议，那么9月份的就业报告很有可能会在下个周五发布。 除就业数据外，关门还将影响其他重要经济数据的收集和发布，包括原定于两周内发布的9月CPI数据。 2013年政府关门持续了16天，导致接下来两个月内多种经济数据的发布被推迟。 然而，即使在没有就业数据的情况下，只要政府关门持续下去，降息押注也可能会增加，因为如果联邦雇员的临时裁员出现大幅跃 升，以及政府部门关闭导致经济产出损失，美联储将更有可能降低借贷成本。 其余数据方面，定于周五公布密歇根大学的初步消费者信心调查将较为重要，特别是其通胀预期部分。对国债拍卖来说，这也将是繁 忙的一周。国会的僵局有可能损害对美国国债的需求，再加上消费者通胀预期可能飙升，未来一周美国国债收益率可能会走高。 美国政府关门引发 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following Israel's military actions against Iran and subsequent Iranian missile retaliation [1][4][10] - Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline from approximately $110,000 to $103,000 on June 13, marking a drop of over 4%, while Ethereum fell by 8% to around $2,530, with major cryptocurrencies like Solana and Dogecoin also seeing declines between 7% and 9% [4][6] - Following initial declines, there was a brief recovery on June 16 as signs of de-escalation emerged, with Bitcoin and some other assets rebounding due to improved market sentiment [5][6] Group 2 - The attack on Nobitex, Iran's largest cryptocurrency exchange, on June 18 heightened market anxiety, leading to further uncertainty in the crypto space, with Bitcoin stabilizing between $104,500 and $105,000 [3][6] - Historical context shows that previous geopolitical conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, have tested Bitcoin's status as a safe-haven asset, with significant price movements observed in response to conflict developments [8][10] - The ongoing situation in the Middle East is seen as a "war-time stress test" for the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess the risk attributes of digital assets like Bitcoin amidst fluctuating geopolitical dynamics [10]