[Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 29 日 星期一 市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 上周五 A 股三大指数集体收涨，截止收盘，沪指收涨 0.1%，深成指 收涨 0.54%，创业板指收涨 0.14%。沪深两市成交额 21600.31 亿元。 申万行业方面，有色金属、电力设备、钢铁领涨，电子、轻工制造、 通信领跌；概念板块方面，海南自贸区、金属锌、金属铅领涨，科创 次新股、光刻胶、同花顺果指数领跌。港股因圣诞假期休市；海外方 面，美国三大指数集体收跌，道指收跌 0.04%，标普 500 收跌 0.03%， 纳指收跌 0.09%。 【重要新闻】 【全国财政工作会议在北京召开】12 月 27 日至 28 日，全国财政工 作会议在北京召开。会议指出，2026 年继续实施更加积极的财政政 策。扩大财政支出盘子，确保必要支出力度。优化政府债券工具组合， 更好发挥债券效益。提高转移支付资金效能，增强地方自主可用财力。 持续优化支出结构，强化重点领域保障。加强财政金融协同，放大政 策效能。会议要求，2026 ...

市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 25 日 星期四 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周三 A 股三大指数集体收涨，截止收盘，沪指收涨 0.53%，深成指收 涨 0.88%，创业板指收涨 0.77%。沪深两市成交额 18801.29 亿元。申 万行业方面，国防军工、电子、建筑材料领涨，农林牧渔、煤炭、食 品饮料领跌；概念板块方面，太赫兹、商业航天、同花顺果指数概念 涨幅居前，乳业、动物疫苗、猪肉概念跌幅居前。港股方面，恒生指 数收涨 0.17%，恒生科技指数收涨 0.19%；海外方面，美国三大指数 集体收涨，道指收涨 0.6%，标普 500 收涨 0.32%，纳指收涨 0.22%。 【重要新闻】 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 万千财富，与您相连 【国务院国资委：中央企业要加强上市公司质量和市值管理】中央企 业负责人会议 12 月 22 日至 23 日在京召开。国务院国资委党委书记、 主任张玉卓在会上表示，中央企业要坚持向内挖潜，做好全面预算管 理，加强全员、全要素、全生命周期成本管控 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chengfei concept stock increased by 1.59%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 28 stocks rising and notable gains from Beimo Gaoke, Guanglian Aviation, and Zhonghang Heavy Industry [1][5]. Market Performance - The Chengfei concept sector saw a net inflow of 348 million yuan, with 22 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 50 million yuan in net inflow [2][6]. - The top net inflow stock was Zhonghang Heavy Industry, with a net inflow of 423 million yuan, followed by Huali Chuangtong and Beimo Gaoke [2][6]. Stock Performance - Notable gainers included Beimo Gaoke (10.01%), Guanglian Aviation (8.50%), and Zhonghang Heavy Industry (6.68%) [3][8]. - The stocks with the highest net inflow ratios were Beimo Gaoke (21.95%), *ST Zhisheng (17.45%), and Zhonghang Heavy Industry (16.56%) [3][7]. Decliners - The stocks with the largest declines included Shenling Environment (-3.96%), Aerospace Morning Light (-3.48%), and Guolan Testing (-2.31%) [1][5].

截至12月15日收盘，同花顺果指数概念下跌2.08%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，东山精密、立 讯精密、长盈精密等跌幅居前，股价上涨的有2只，涨幅居前的有信维通信、环旭电子等，分别上涨 5.56%、5.17%。 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300115 | 长盈精密 | -4.96 | 9.14 | -142089.59 | | 002475 | 立讯精密 | -5.00 | 1.69 | -137505.45 | | 601138 | 工业富联 | -4.23 | 0.69 | -95017.62 | | 002600 | 领益智造 | -3.25 | 2.38 | -37389.17 | | 002241 | 歌尔股份 | -2.94 | 1.98 | -28919.05 | | 300433 | 蓝思科技 | -3.33 | 1.54 | -18798.94 | | 600745 | 闻泰科技 | -2.76 | 2.62 | -18617.13 | | 002938 ...

Core Insights - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept rose by 2.45%, ranking 10th among concept sectors, with 16 stocks increasing in value, including Desay Battery and Pengding Holdings reaching their daily limit [1] - The leading gainers in the sector included Lens Technology, Linyu Intelligent Manufacturing, and Crystal Optoelectronics, with increases of 4.22%, 4.17%, and 3.93% respectively [1] - The stocks with the largest declines were Changying Precision, Industrial Fulian, and Zhongshi Technology, which fell by 2.24%, 1.50%, and 0.49% respectively [1] Market Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included Smart Speakers with a rise of 3.71%, AI Phones at 3.39%, and Zinc Metals at 2.86%, while the worst performers included the Horse Racing concept down by 0.92% and Digital Watermark down by 0.75% [2] - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept saw a net inflow of 321 million yuan, with 15 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2] - Pengding Holdings led the net inflow with 734 million yuan, followed by Linyu Intelligent Manufacturing, Lens Technology, and Desay Battery with net inflows of 344 million yuan, 283 million yuan, and 280 million yuan respectively [2] Fund Flow Ratios - The stocks with the highest net inflow ratios included Pengding Holdings at 23.80%, Desay Battery at 22.87%, and Crystal Optoelectronics at 10.65% [3] - The detailed fund flow for the top stocks showed Pengding Holdings with a daily increase of 9.99% and a turnover rate of 2.77%, while Desay Battery increased by 10.00% with a turnover rate of 10.88% [3][4] - Other notable stocks included Linyu Intelligent Manufacturing with a 4.17% increase and a turnover rate of 3.19%, and Lens Technology with a 4.22% increase and a turnover rate of 2.12% [3][4]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3864.18, down by 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% to 12907.83 [2][4] - The three major indices opened lower but rebounded, with the ChiNext Index increasing by nearly 3% at one point during the session [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Communication (+4.64%), Comprehensive (+1.79%), and Electronics (+1.58%), while the worst-performing sectors were Defense Industry (-2.25%) and Media (-0.82%) [3] - Notable concept indices that performed well included Horse Racing (+1.95%) and Duty-Free Shops (+1.72%), while sectors like Shipbuilding (-5.09%) and Military-Civil Integration (-1.90%) lagged [3] Future Outlook - The report highlights a government initiative aimed at enhancing the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, targeting the formation of three trillion-level consumption areas and ten hundred-billion-level consumption hotspots by 2027 [5] - The market is expected to stabilize with a focus on sectors such as dividends, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and New Energy, as the regulatory environment becomes clearer [5]

Market Performance - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept fell by 2.76%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors as of the close on November 14 [1] - The leading gainers in concept sectors included Hainan Free Trade Zone (+4.63%) and Horse Racing Concept (+1.65%), while the National Big Fund Holdings and Storage Chips saw declines of -3.07% and -2.94% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept experienced a net outflow of 4.089 billion yuan, with 18 stocks seeing net outflows and 9 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in outflows [1] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Industrial Fulian, with a net outflow of 1.760 billion yuan, followed by Dongshan Precision, Lens Technology, and Changdian Technology with net outflows of 425 million yuan, 388 million yuan, and 365 million yuan respectively [1] Notable Stocks - The stocks with significant net inflows included Wentai Technology and Zhuhai Guanyu, with net inflows of 131 million yuan and 15.35 million yuan respectively [2] - The top stocks in the outflow list included Industrial Fulian (-5.47%), Dongshan Precision (-4.24%), and Lens Technology (-4.32%) [1][2]

Group 1 - The internet insurance sector experienced a decline of 1.43%, ranking among the top losers in concept sectors, with notable declines from Tianli Technology, Xinhua Insurance, and Jiayun Technology [1] - The main funds in the internet insurance sector saw a net outflow of 1.301 billion yuan, with 10 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 7 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Dongfang Caifu, which had a net outflow of 1.230 billion yuan, followed by Weining Health, Jinzhen Shares, and China Ping An [2] Group 2 - Among the stocks in the internet insurance sector, the top gainers included Aishida, Tongfang Shares, and Qitian Technology, with increases of 1.04%, 0.80%, and 0.27% respectively [1][3] - The stocks with the highest net outflows included Dongfang Caifu (-1.85%), Weining Health (-1.81%), and Jinzhen Shares (-1.97%) [2][3] - The net inflow leaders in the sector were Tongfang Shares, Xinhua Insurance, and Xinzhisoft, with net inflows of 69.77 million yuan, 10.51 million yuan, and 5.81 million yuan respectively [2][3]

Market Performance - The major indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4018.60, up by 0.53% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13427.61, up by 0.18%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.92% to 3178.83 [2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.17 trillion, an increase of 175.4 billion compared to the previous trading day [6] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (3.60%), Food and Beverage (3.22%), and Retail (2.69%) [3] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Electric Equipment (-1.09%), Machinery Equipment (-0.71%), and Electronics (-0.51%) [3] - Concept indices showed strong performance in Dairy (4.36%), Cultivated Diamonds (3.46%), and Liquor Concepts (3.01%), while the weakest were in the Fruit Index (-1.56%) and High-Speed Copper Cable Connection (-1.50%) [3] Market Outlook - The market is expected to gradually improve in the fourth quarter, supported by proactive policies, aiming for an annual economic growth target of around 5% [6] - Positive policy signals are anticipated to reshape the investment themes and valuation systems in the capital market, boosting market risk appetite [6] - Defensive sectors such as Finance and Coal, along with low-positioned sectors like Food and Beverage, are recommended for attention [6] Economic Indicators - In October 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year and month-on-month [5] - The producer price index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [5]

Group 1 - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept fell by 1.56%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with leading decliners including XW Communication, Lante Optics, and Lens Technology [1] - The top gainers in the same day included Wentai Technology, Saiteng Co., and Dongshan Precision, with respective increases of 3.02%, 1.53%, and 1.36% [1] - The dairy industry led the gainers with a rise of 4.36%, while the Tonghuashun Fruit Index was the largest decliner [1] Group 2 - The Tonghuashun Fruit Index concept experienced a net outflow of 4.158 billion yuan, with 15 stocks seeing net outflows, and 7 stocks exceeding 1 billion yuan in outflows [1] - Industrial Fulian had the highest net outflow of 2.247 billion yuan, followed by Luxshare Precision, GoerTek, and XW Communication with net outflows of 588 million yuan, 571 million yuan, and 392 million yuan respectively [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included BOE Technology Group, Wentai Technology, and Saiteng Co., with net inflows of 444 million yuan, 113 million yuan, and 6.247 million yuan respectively [1][2]