阎学通认为，2026年，中美之间的实力差距一定会缩小。美国遏制中国的政策不会改变。进入数字时 代，超级大国之间的战略竞争核心不是意识形态，而是技术创新，特别是数字技术创新能力，这也成为 国家安全、国家财富以及大国地位和国际影响力的核心要素，在这一方向上，美国遏制中国的政策不会 改变。 北京商报讯（记者 卢扬 程靓）11月27日，在"2025搜狐财经年度论坛"上，清华大学国际关系研究院名 誉院长阎学通表示，2025年的国际形势变化无法用任何结构性因素解释，而是由大国决策者行为决定， 而2026年的国际形势依然如此。但2026年的国际形势动荡情况将弱于2025年。由于特朗普继续执政，美 国带来的动荡和2025年相比，确定性相对增加。同时，其他大国决策者们已经知道如何应对特朗普执 政，使得动荡性会缩小。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international situation in 2026 will be less turbulent than in 2025, primarily influenced by the behavior of major power decision-makers rather than structural factors [2][5][6]. Group 1: International Relations Dynamics - The turbulence in international relations in 2026 is expected to be weaker than in 2025 due to the continuity of Trump's leadership, which will provide more predictability [6][7]. - Major power decision-makers have learned how to respond to Trump's policies, leading to a reduction in uncertainty and turbulence [7][8]. - The lack of leadership in global governance will continue, with a regression in global governance and an increase in de-globalization [8][9]. Group 2: U.S.-China Relations - The power gap between China and the U.S. is anticipated to narrow in 2026, as Trump's policies may hinder U.S. economic growth and technological advancement [9][10]. - The strategic relationship between the U.S. and its allies is expected to weaken, prompting these countries to reconsider their balance between the U.S. and China [9][10]. - The U.S. will maintain its policy of containing China's technological progress, regardless of the administration in power, as technological innovation is seen as a core element of national security and global influence [12][13]. Group 3: Regional Relationships - China's relationships with neighboring countries, excluding Japan, are expected to improve in 2026, with a notable shift in India's stance towards China [10][11]. - The political concept of the "West" is becoming less relevant due to increasing divisions among Western countries, particularly between the U.S. and Europe [11].

Group 1 - The public's interest in housing prices has diminished, shifting focus towards personal living conditions and quality of life [5][6][13] - The real estate market has stabilized due to years of regulatory measures, leading homeowners to prioritize living quality over speculation [5][6] - Young individuals are increasingly focusing on skill enhancement and income generation rather than worrying about unattainable housing prices [6][8] Group 2 - The complexity of international affairs has led to a sense of helplessness among the public, causing them to prioritize local issues over global events [8][13] - Employment and income stability have become primary concerns for individuals amid economic restructuring and technological advancements [8][10] - Health, aging, and education are emerging as significant areas of focus for families, reflecting a shift towards practical life needs [10][11][13]

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) indicates that its monetary policy is well-prepared to respond decisively to changes in international circumstances, with multiple indicators showing that the labor market remains tight [1] Group 1 - The RBA is ready to take action in response to international developments [1] - Labor market indicators suggest ongoing tightness in the labor market [1]

Core Points - The Eurozone finance ministers met in Brussels to discuss the macroeconomic impact of U.S. tariffs on the EU, the U.S., and the global economy [1] - The EU aims to negotiate solutions with the U.S. while enhancing cooperation among member states to prepare potential countermeasures [1] - The EU sees an opportunity to strengthen security and defense, rebuild Europe's security framework, and invest in its single market of 450 million consumers [1] - The EU plans to expand its global partnership network to enhance competitiveness and attract international investors in both the short and long term [1]