各位朋友，大家好！今天是2026年1月4日，也是这一年中的第一个工作日。我在这里祝愿世界各地的朋友们，不 论你们身处何方，都能身体健康，心想事成，马到成功！然而，正如古话所说，树欲静而风不止，就在这个元旦 假期，国际局势发生了剧变。伊朗爆发了动荡，而更令人震惊的是，昨天（1月3日），我们得知了一个突如其来 的消息：委内瑞拉总统马杜罗和他的妻子竟然在睡梦中被美国特种部队带走，并且已经被押送到纽约。据悉，特 朗普和美国高层官员已经开始在纽约对马杜罗展开审问。 首先，我们来看事件的性质。尽管特朗普及其团队一再宣称马杜罗是犯罪分子，并涉嫌毒品走私，但我个人认为 事情并没有他们所说的那么简单。首先，关于马杜罗的罪行，相关证据并不充足；其次，类似的情况在国际上并 不罕见。从最宽泛的角度看，虽然从道德上讲，美国的做法或许可以理解，但从国际法的角度来看，这无疑是对 一个国家主权的公然侵犯。需要强调的是，这是我最宽容的表述。如果这种做法成为先例，后果将是极其严重 的。大家应该记得，1989年美军入侵了巴拿马，之后美国又两次攻击伊拉克。某种程度上，1991年和2003年的美 伊战争正是从美军入侵巴拿马这一行为中延续而来的。因此， ...

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer said Britain played no role in the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro from Caracas, as global leaders reacted to a dramatic shift in Latin American politics.Starmer told reporters he has not yet spoken with U.S. President Donald Trump and wants verified details before issuing a formal judgment, BBC reports.Also Read: Venezuela’s Vice President Targets Trump in Sharp Rebuke, Says ‘We Demand Proof Of Life’UK Distances Itself From RaidStarmer st ...

Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50%-3.75%[9] - There is increasing internal disagreement within the Fed regarding inflation and employment risks, with 3 out of 12 officials voting against the rate cut[9] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January 2026 is 24.4% according to CME FedWatch[11] Economic Data - The U.S. JOLTS job openings rose to 7.67 million in October, the highest in five months, while initial jobless claims increased by 44,000, marking the largest rise since 2020[17] - The U.S. fiscal deficit decreased, with November fiscal revenue up 23.75% year-on-year, while spending decreased by 23.82%[17] - Japan's Q3 GDP was revised down from -1.8% to -2.3%, indicating a more significant economic contraction than previously expected[25] Market Trends - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 5 basis points to 4.19%[27] - European bond markets saw overall declines, with the 10-year UK bond yield increasing by 3.9 basis points to 4.52% and the German yield rising by 7 basis points to 2.85%[27] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan increased by 0.68% year-to-date, reflecting a 27.43% annual growth[6]

Core Viewpoint - The increasing interest of Argentine youth in understanding China due to its growing significance in international politics and economics [1] Group 1 - The Second World Chinese Studies Conference was held from October 13 to 15 at the Shanghai International Conference Center [1] - The Chairman of the Asian Affairs Committee of the Argentine Council on International Relations, Mahoun, emphasized the importance of understanding China for those aspiring to be diplomats or businessmen [1] - There is a recognition among Argentine youth that China plays an increasingly important role on the global stage [1]

Group 1 - India is facing significant economic challenges due to a 50% total tariff imposed by the US, which includes a 25% tariff on negotiations and an additional 25% tariff for purchasing energy from Russia [1][5][11] - Prime Minister Modi expressed helplessness in protecting key sectors like agriculture and steel, while initially hoping for successful negotiations with the US in late July [3][5] - The cancellation of the US trade delegation's visit to India in late August further diminished India's hopes for a resolution, leaving the country in a precarious position [8][11] Group 2 - The situation has led India to reconsider its foreign policy, with Modi planning to attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in China, indicating a shift towards closer ties with China [11][19] - India's reliance on Russian energy imports has drawn US ire, as it challenges US interests in the region, highlighting India's vulnerability in international relations [11][21] - The need for India to engage more actively in organizations like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and BRICS is emphasized as a strategy to mitigate the loss of cooperation with the US [19][21]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the complex international political landscape and emphasizes the significant role of Professor Gao Zhikai in understanding and addressing India's position amidst global tensions, particularly regarding U.S. trade policies [1]. Group 1: International Relations - The relationships between countries are described as intricate, akin to a grand chess game, where strategic moves can have substantial implications [1]. - Professor Gao Zhikai's insights and diplomatic wisdom are noted for their ability to influence discussions and garner attention on international platforms [1]. Group 2: U.S. Trade Policies - The article discusses the theme of a debate focused on the Trump administration's strategy of imposing tariffs on countries that resist U.S. government demands [1]. - It is mentioned that the U.S. is leveraging its economic and political power to enforce compliance from other nations through tariffs [1]. Group 3: India's Position - India is portrayed as an emerging power seeking greater influence in international affairs while simultaneously facing significant pressure from the U.S. [1]. - The debate setting, titled "The Rise of New India," underscores India's growing assertiveness in the global arena despite external challenges [1].

Group 1 - A prominent American political figure, identified as Trump, recently visited Scotland despite facing legal issues related to sexual harassment and defamation [1][3] - Trump criticized the cost overruns of a Federal Reserve construction project, which escalated from $2.7 billion to $3.1 billion, leading to a public dispute with Fed Chair Powell [1][5] - During his visit, Trump made controversial statements regarding immigration and trade, including a boast about helping farmers sell beef, despite the competitive challenges faced by U.S. beef in Australia [3][5] Group 2 - Trump's visit to Scotland was met with significant protests, highlighting the local sentiment against him, especially given his legal troubles [3][5] - The media coverage of Trump's visit focused on his legal status, with local newspapers using sensational headlines, indicating his continued influence in the political sphere despite controversies [5] - The visit sparked discussions on international politics, reflecting the chaotic nature of current global political dynamics [5]

Group 1 - The article reflects on the transformative experience of the college entrance examination (Gaokao) and its significance in shaping one's destiny [2][11] - It emphasizes that the journey of self-discovery and finding one's passion is equally important as the exam itself, highlighting the importance of personal interests and motivations [4][12] - The narrative illustrates the author's transition from a state of confusion and lack of direction to discovering a passion for international politics, which became a guiding force in their academic and personal life [5][6][10] Group 2 - The author discusses the challenges faced during high school, including academic pressures and the struggle to balance interests with required subjects, particularly in mathematics [7][9] - The importance of choosing a major that aligns with personal interests over the reputation of the institution is emphasized, suggesting that passion can lead to greater fulfillment and success [12] - The article concludes with a reflection on the ongoing journey of academic and personal growth, reinforcing the idea that the right path is one that resonates with individual aspirations [10][11]

Group 1 - Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei delivered his third public speech since the outbreak of the conflict with Israel on June 26, marking his first address after the ceasefire [1] - Khamenei expressed condolences to the families of Iranian military commanders and scientists who lost their lives during the conflict and congratulated Iran on its victory over Israel [2] - He emphasized that Israel underestimated Iran's capability to launch a strong counterattack, which successfully breached Israel's advanced multi-layered defense system [2] Group 2 - Khamenei stated that the United States intervened in the conflict to save Israel but ultimately achieved nothing, highlighting that the U.S. attack on Iranian nuclear facilities should be legally pursued in international courts [3] - He claimed that Iran successfully retaliated against U.S. interests in the region, specifically mentioning an attack on the U.S. military base in Qatar, which he described as a significant blow to the U.S. [3] - Khamenei asserted that Iran has the capability to strike important U.S. targets in the region and will take action if necessary, warning that any aggression from adversaries will come at a high cost [3]