值得注意的是，虽然今年前三季度大理州的财政收入整体表现不甚理想，但是财政收入来源却是很不错。税收收入46.55亿元同比增长6.1%，非税收入 26.24亿元同比下降7.4%，税收大涨而非税大跌，非税收入表现低迷拉低了全州的财政收入增速，税收表现非常强势，税比上升至64%，财政收入质量持 续提高。 | | | | 2025年1-9月大理州一般公共预算收入 (单位:亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排序 | 县/市 | 2025年前9月 | 2024前9月 | 増量 | 增速 | | | 州本级 | 14.78 | 15.83 | -1.05 | -6.6% | | 1 | 大理市 | 23.86 | 21.95 | 1.91 | 8.7% | | 2 | 鶴庆县 | 7.41 | 6.31 | 1.10 | 17.4% | | 3 | 排云县 | 5.64 | 5.01 | 0.63 | 12.6% | | 4 | 弥渡县 | 3.71 | 4.04 | -0.33 | -8.2% | | 5 | 草川百 | 3.70 | 3.37 | 0.33 ...

但令人奇怪的是，尽管房子已经严重过剩，但开发商还都在拼命拿地盖楼。对此，有业内人士表示：开发商拿地盖楼与房子是否过剩并没有关系，而是与地 方财政收入、资金周转、部分大城市仍有建房需求、涉及上下游产业、转型困难等5个原因有关联： 第一，拿地盖楼为的是地方财政收入 众所周知，我国房地产已经严重过剩了。根据住建部的数据，国内有6亿栋房子。如果每栋房子住10个人，足够可以安置60亿人口。不仅如此，国内各地住 房空置率也居高不下。通常像一、二线城市的空置率在20-25%，而三、四线城市的空置率就超过了30%。 第三，大城市仍有拿地建房需求 现在很多开发商都减少了在三四线城市拿地的需求（担心建了新房后会卖不出去）。而专门在大城市核心区域拿地建房。通常开发商在大城市核心地段建造 的都是中高档小区。这样既不用担心房子卖不出去，而且由于大城市的房价相对较高，开发商也能够获得更为丰厚的投资回报。 第四，房地产兴衰涉及上下游产业 现如今，虽然各地房子都已经过剩了，但开发商还是要不断的拿地盖楼。因为，如果开发商减少购买的土地需求，那地方政府的土地财政收入就会降低，地 方财政收入就会下降。资料显示，2024年全国土地出让金收入约6.4 ...

Core Insights - Local fiscal revenue has shown slow growth while expenditures continue to expand, leading to significant fiscal imbalances [1][6] - As of June, 17 provinces have disclosed their general public budget revenue and expenditure for the first five months of 2025, with 15 provinces reporting revenue growth [1][2] Revenue Growth Analysis - Among the 17 provinces, Jilin Province reported the highest revenue growth at 15%, significantly above the national average of -0.3% [2][3] - Non-tax revenue in Jilin increased by 30.6%, driven by a 104.6% rise in income from the paid use of state-owned resources [3] - Qinghai Province followed Jilin with a revenue growth rate of 7.4%, attributed to a 60.2% increase in non-tax revenue [4] Expenditure Trends - Expenditure growth among the 17 provinces remains robust, with Shanghai leading at 14.2%, while other provinces show single-digit growth [6] - Despite the overall increase in expenditures, 16 out of 17 provinces reported expenditures exceeding revenues, a trend consistent with previous years [6][7] Land Sales and Fiscal Health - The revenue from land sales, a crucial source of income for local governments, has declined, with a 11.9% drop in the first five months of the year [7][8] - Specific provinces like Shaanxi and Jilin experienced significant declines in land sale revenues, with drops of approximately 42.3% and 33.5% respectively [8] Conclusion - The combination of slow revenue growth, rising expenditures, and declining land sale revenues indicates ongoing fiscal challenges for local governments, necessitating adjustments in budget strategies [6][7]