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USDA:截至9月14日当周 美国大豆优良率为63%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 00:17
(文章来源:新华财经) 美国农业部(USDA)报告显示,截至9月14日当周,美国大豆优良率为63%,符合市场预期,前一周 为64%,上年同期为64%。 ...
豆粕:美豆优良率降幅较大,影响偏多,豆一:反弹震荡,关注豆类市场氛围
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-03 06:50
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - The significant decline in the good-to-excellent rate of US soybeans has a positive impact on the soybean meal market [1]. - The soybean No.1 market shows a rebound and oscillation trend, and attention should be paid to the overall atmosphere of the soybean market [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: DCE soybean No.1 2511 closed at 3970 yuan/ton during the day session, up 9 yuan (+0.23%), and 3968 yuan/ton during the night session, down 1 yuan (-0.03%); DCE soybean meal 2601 closed at 3050 yuan/ton during the day session, down 10 yuan (-0.33%), and 3056 yuan/ton during the night session, unchanged (+0.00%); CBOT soybean 11 closed at 1040 cents/bushel, down 13 cents (-1.23%); CBOT soybean meal 12 closed at 283.3 dollars/short ton, down 5.4 dollars (-1.87%) [1]. - **Spot Basis**: In Shandong, the spot basis of soybean meal is M2601 + 40/+50/+80, with some adjustments compared to the previous day; in East China, it is relatively stable; in South China, there are also various basis levels and adjustments [1]. - **Industrial Data**: The trading volume of soybean meal was 13.45 million tons per day on the previous trading day, compared with 11.4 million tons two days ago; the inventory was 101.49 million tons per week, compared with 98.55 million tons two weeks ago [1]. Macro and Industry News - On September 2, CBOT soybean futures closed lower, hitting the lowest level in a week and a half. The reasons include China's lack of interest in US new-season soybeans and improved rainfall in the Midwest, which is beneficial for the growth of late-sown crops [3]. - The US - China trade negotiation has made limited progress recently, and China's hosting of a non - Western leaders' summit has further dampened the optimistic sentiment for the demand of new - crop soybeans [3]. - The increased rainfall forecast in the US Midwest may improve the growth of late - stage crops and strengthen the expectation of a bumper harvest, putting downward pressure on soybean prices [3]. - As of August 31, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans was 65%, down from 69% a week ago and the same as last year's 65%. Analysts had expected 68% before the report [3]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of soybean meal is +1, and that of soybean No.1 is +1, mainly referring to the price fluctuations of the main contracts in the day session on the report day [3].
截至8月31日当周美国大豆优良率为65%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 00:44
美国农业部最新每周作物生长报告显示,截至8月31日当周,美国大豆优良率为65%,市场预期为 68%,此前一周为69%,上年同期为65%。截至当周,美国大豆结英率为94%,上一周为89%,上年同 期为93%,五年均值为94%。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...
截至2025年8月17日当周 美国大豆优良率为68%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 00:11
(文章来源:新华财经) 美国农业部最新每周作物生长报告显示,截至2025年8月17日当周,美国大豆优良率为68%,市场预期 为67%,前一周为68%,上年同期为68%。当周美国大豆结英率为82%,上一周为71%,上年同期为 80%,五年均值为82%。 ...
豆粕:报告落地、美豆微涨,连粕或反弹震荡,豆一:或反弹震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 03:09
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report predicts that soybean meal may experience a rebound and oscillation, and the same goes for soybeans [1]. - The trend strength of soybean meal and soybeans is +1, indicating a relatively positive short - term trend for the main contract futures prices on the reporting day [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: DCE soybean 2509 closed at 4141 yuan/ton during the day session, down 3 yuan (-0.07%), and 4146 yuan/ton during the night session, down 1 yuan (-0.02%); DCE soybean meal 2509 closed at 2961 yuan/ton during the day session, up 23 yuan (+0.78%), and 2965 yuan/ton during the night session, up 7 yuan (+0.24%); CBOT soybean 11 closed at 1027.5 cents/bushel, up 2.25 cents (+0.22%); CBOT soybean meal 12 closed at 289.5 dollars/short ton, up 1.3 dollars (+0.45%) [1]. - **Spot Prices and Basis**: In Shandong, the spot price of soybean meal is 2900 yuan/ton, with various basis levels for different contracts and time periods; in East China, it is 2800 - 2900 yuan/ton; in South China, it is 2860 - 2900 yuan/ton, and the basis levels also vary [1]. - **Industrial Data**: The trading volume of soybean meal was 8.17 million tons per day on the previous trading day, compared with 25.8 million tons per day two trading days ago. The inventory was 47.12 million tons per week two trading days ago [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - On June 30, 2025, CBOT soybean futures closed mixed, with a near - weak and far - strong trend, and the benchmark contract closed slightly higher. The USDA's latest report shows that the estimated soybean planting area in the US in 2025 is 83.38 million acres, lower than the March forecast and analysts' average prediction, and 4.2% less than the previous year. The quarterly inventory report indicates that as of June 1, the total US soybean inventory was 1.008 billion bushels, higher than market expectations and 3.9% more than the same period last year. The soybean crop's good - to - excellent rate as of June 29 was 66%, the same as a week ago, slightly lower than the same period last year and market expectations [3].
USDA周度大豆玉米生长报告-20250624
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-06-24 12:09
Group 1: Soybean Data - The document presents the USDA US soybean sowing rate from April 11 to June 20, including the current rate, the 5 - year average, and the rate of the previous year [1] - It also shows the USDA US soybean emergence rate from May 2 to June 20, with the current rate, 5 - year average, and previous - year rate [1] - The USDA US soybean good - to - excellent rate from 2021 to 2025 is presented [1] Group 2: Corn Data - The USDA US corn sowing rate from April 18 to June 20 is shown, including the current rate, 5 - year average, and previous - year rate [1] - The USDA US corn emergence rate from April 18 to June 20 is presented, with the current rate, 5 - year average, and previous - year rate [1] - The USDA US corn good - to - excellent rate from 2021 to 2025 is shown, with data from May 26 to October 13 [1]
油脂油料早报-20250610
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 02:06
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents the latest data on the soybean industry from multiple countries, including the US, Brazil, Argentina, and China, covering aspects such as crop growth, export, production, and import [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Information - US Soybeans - As of the week ending June 8, 2025, the US soybean good-to-excellent rate was 68%, in line with market expectations, up from 67% the previous week and lower than 72% in the same period last year [1]. - The US soybean planting rate was 90%, lower than the market - expected 91%, up from 84% the previous week, higher than 86% last year and the five - year average of 88% [1]. - The US soybean emergence rate was 75%, up from 63% the previous week, higher than 68% last year and the five - year average of 72% [1]. - As of the week ending June 5, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 547,040 tons, exceeding the market forecast of 155,000 - 400,000 tons, up from the revised 301,459 tons the previous week [1]. - The export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland was 0 tons this week. The cumulative US soybean export inspection volume this crop year was 45,188,245 tons, compared with 40,543,390 tons in the same period last year [1]. Brazil Soybeans - As of June 6, about 64% of Brazil's 2024/25 - year soybeans had been sold, lower than 71.8% in the same period last year and the five - year average. The 2024/25 - year soybean production is expected to be 172.45 million tons [1]. - Brazil's 2025/26 - year soybean sales rate was 10.8%, lower than 14.6% in the same period last year and the five - year average of 20.6%. The 2025/26 - year soybean production is expected to be 182.57 million tons [1]. Argentina Soybeans - The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange estimated that Argentina's 2024/2025 - year soybean production would be 48.5 million tons [1]. - As of the end of May, the soybean crop harvest rate in Argentina was 80.7%, with the early - sown soybeans 86% harvested. The soybean crop yield is expected to be 3,090 kg/ha (46.0 bushels/acre), with a yield range of 1,200 - 3,740 kg/ha (17.8 - 55.7 bushels/acre) [1]. China's Imports - China's soybean imports from January to May were 37.108 million tons, a 0.7% decrease from the same period last year. In May, the soybean import volume was 13.918 million tons [1]. - China's edible vegetable oil imports from January to May were 2.491 million tons, a 12.9% decrease from the same period last year. In May, the import volume was 462,000 tons [1]. - China's grain imports from January to May were 48.368 million tons, a 29.7% decrease from the same period last year. In May, the import volume was 16.552 million tons [1]. Spot Prices - The report provides spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from June 3 to June 9, 2025 [1].