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油脂油料早报-20250610
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-10 02:06
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents the latest data on the soybean industry from multiple countries, including the US, Brazil, Argentina, and China, covering aspects such as crop growth, export, production, and import [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Information - US Soybeans - As of the week ending June 8, 2025, the US soybean good-to-excellent rate was 68%, in line with market expectations, up from 67% the previous week and lower than 72% in the same period last year [1]. - The US soybean planting rate was 90%, lower than the market - expected 91%, up from 84% the previous week, higher than 86% last year and the five - year average of 88% [1]. - The US soybean emergence rate was 75%, up from 63% the previous week, higher than 68% last year and the five - year average of 72% [1]. - As of the week ending June 5, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 547,040 tons, exceeding the market forecast of 155,000 - 400,000 tons, up from the revised 301,459 tons the previous week [1]. - The export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland was 0 tons this week. The cumulative US soybean export inspection volume this crop year was 45,188,245 tons, compared with 40,543,390 tons in the same period last year [1]. Brazil Soybeans - As of June 6, about 64% of Brazil's 2024/25 - year soybeans had been sold, lower than 71.8% in the same period last year and the five - year average. The 2024/25 - year soybean production is expected to be 172.45 million tons [1]. - Brazil's 2025/26 - year soybean sales rate was 10.8%, lower than 14.6% in the same period last year and the five - year average of 20.6%. The 2025/26 - year soybean production is expected to be 182.57 million tons [1]. Argentina Soybeans - The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange estimated that Argentina's 2024/2025 - year soybean production would be 48.5 million tons [1]. - As of the end of May, the soybean crop harvest rate in Argentina was 80.7%, with the early - sown soybeans 86% harvested. The soybean crop yield is expected to be 3,090 kg/ha (46.0 bushels/acre), with a yield range of 1,200 - 3,740 kg/ha (17.8 - 55.7 bushels/acre) [1]. China's Imports - China's soybean imports from January to May were 37.108 million tons, a 0.7% decrease from the same period last year. In May, the soybean import volume was 13.918 million tons [1]. - China's edible vegetable oil imports from January to May were 2.491 million tons, a 12.9% decrease from the same period last year. In May, the import volume was 462,000 tons [1]. - China's grain imports from January to May were 48.368 million tons, a 29.7% decrease from the same period last year. In May, the import volume was 16.552 million tons [1]. Spot Prices - The report provides spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from June 3 to June 9, 2025 [1].
【期货热点追踪】中国4月大豆进口量同比下降,为何市场预期5月和6月大豆进口量将大幅反弹?
news flash· 2025-05-09 15:06
Core Viewpoint - China's soybean imports in April experienced a year-on-year decline, yet the market anticipates a significant rebound in soybean imports for May and June [1] Group 1 - April soybean import volume in China decreased compared to the same month last year [1] - Market expectations for May and June indicate a substantial increase in soybean imports [1]