Summary of Jerry Corporation Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jerry Corporation - **Industry**: Oil and Gas Equipment Services - **Key Business Segments**: Oil (50% revenue), Natural Gas (25% revenue), Gas Turbines (low revenue but high potential) [2][4][5] Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Oil Business**: - Oil-related business primarily involves fracturing equipment and underwater EPC projects, with a revenue share of approximately 50% [4] - Anticipated increase in capital expenditure (capex) from global oil companies will drive demand for oil service equipment [2][4] - The development of aging oil fields is expected to boost demand for pressure equipment [2][4] 2. **Natural Gas Business**: - Natural gas revenue accounts for about 25% of total revenue, but backlog orders represent nearly 50% [2][4] - Growth is supported by large projects in North America and the Middle East, as well as the development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) [2][4][20] - Seen as the fastest-growing segment outside the core business [2][4] 3. **Gas Turbine Business**: - Currently a smaller revenue contributor but with significant growth potential due to North America's electricity shortages and expansion of the turbine supply chain [2][5] - Strong partnerships with major suppliers like Siemens and GE Baker Hughes are expected to enhance growth [2][5][22][23] 4. **Financial Performance**: - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.96 billion, 3.82 billion, and 4.61 billion RMB respectively [3][24] - Anticipated valuation of 82 billion RMB, with a recommendation to maintain a "buy" rating [3][24] 5. **Industry Trends**: - Global oil and gas capital expenditure peaked at $462 billion in 2014, dropped to $182 billion in 2020, but is expected to reach approximately $300 billion by 2024 [8] - Exploration and development spending has increased since 2020, but the cost of discovering new oil and gas has surged significantly [9][10] 6. **Market Dynamics**: - The relationship between oil prices and capital expenditure has weakened post-2020 due to changes in OPEC strategies and regional production strategies [12][16] - Domestic oil service companies, including Jerry, are performing well internationally, particularly in the Middle East [17] Additional Important Insights - **Pressure Equipment Demand**: - Increased demand for pressure equipment due to aging oil fields and the need for enhanced recovery methods [19] - Transition from traditional hydraulic pressure products to electric-driven pressure products presents structural growth opportunities [19] - **Natural Gas Market Outlook**: - Significant LNG capacity growth expected, particularly in Qatar and North America, with a projected increase of 40% by 2030 [20] - High levels of investment in natural gas projects indicate a strong pipeline of future orders [20] - **Stock Performance and Future Potential**: - Jerry Corporation's stock has shown strong performance in 2025, with future growth driven by the natural gas segment and gas turbine business [25] - Historical stock performance suggests potential for significant price increases based on current growth drivers [25]

Core Viewpoint - Saudi Aramco anticipates strong global oil demand in the next two years, driven by growth in developing countries, with significant growth expected in its natural gas business [1] Group 1: Oil Demand Forecast - Global oil consumption is projected to increase by approximately 1.2 to 1.4 million barrels per day in 2025 and 2026 [1] - The current market fundamentals are described as "robust" [1] - The company believes that demand will continue to grow due to population increases and rising living standards in the "global south" [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Costs - Saudi Aramco maintains a maximum production capacity of 12 million barrels per day [1] - The cost of crude oil extraction in Saudi Arabia is reported to be only $2 per barrel [1] Group 3: Natural Gas Business - The company forecasts "significant" growth in its natural gas business [1]

Group 1: Profit Distribution and Shareholder Returns - The profit distribution plan proposes a cash dividend of 0.62 CNY per 10 shares, based on the company's current profitability, financial status, and shareholder returns [3] - The company aims to optimize cash dividend frequency and increase the cash dividend ratio as performance grows, emphasizing investor-centric principles [3] Group 2: Natural Gas Business Growth - The significant growth in natural gas revenue is attributed to increased market demand and proactive company strategies, including market expansion and site optimization [3] - Future plans include expanding the natural gas sales network and enhancing service quality while monitoring market trends and industry policies [3] Group 3: Share Buyback Progress - As of August 31, 2025, the company has not yet implemented the announced share buyback plan disclosed on September 3, 2025 [3] Group 4: Related Party Transactions - The estimated total amount for routine related party transactions in 2025 is 242 million CNY, with approximately 72.6 million CNY already incurred [3] Group 5: Revenue Growth Plans - The company plans to maintain profit growth while optimizing sales structure, stabilizing market share, and expanding into new markets and customer segments to increase revenue [3] Group 6: Disclosure of Major Information - The activity did not involve any undisclosed major information [3]

Key Insights - The company's natural gas business is experiencing strong growth, with production reaching 420 million cubic meters and sales at 640 million cubic meters, representing year-on-year increases of 116% and 109% respectively [1] - The exploration and development segment has made significant progress, completing drilling on 31 coalbed methane horizontal wells and putting 11 into production, with further drilling planned for H2 2025 [1] - The company has added 20.5 billion cubic meters of proven geological reserves of coalbed methane, bringing the total to 88.7 billion cubic meters [1] Natural Gas Business Performance - Natural gas sales prices have remained stable with a slight increase year-on-year [1] - The company has expanded its gas transmission capacity, with the Yongxi connection line expected to increase its capacity from 3 million cubic meters per day to 4 million cubic meters per day, supporting future production plans [2] Cost Management and Efficiency - The company anticipates a decrease in future gas extraction costs due to lower investment costs and the dilution of fixed costs as production volumes increase [4] - The investment cost for a single coalbed methane well has decreased to approximately 29 million yuan, with a projected cumulative production of about 55 million cubic meters over the well's life [4] - The operational cost per unit is expected to decline as production volumes rise, benefiting from the fixed nature of certain costs [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of $1,163 million, an 18% increase year-over-year, primarily driven by higher Permian volumes and margin contributions from the Badlands assets [18][19][21] - The full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA is estimated to be in the range of $4,650 million to $4,850 million [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Permian, natural gas inlet volumes averaged a record 6,300 million cubic feet per day in the second quarter, an 11% increase year-over-year [12] - NGL pipeline transportation volumes averaged a record 961,000 barrels per day, while fractionation volumes averaged 969,000 barrels per day during the second quarter [15][16] - The fractionation volumes were impacted by a planned turnaround, but are now exceeding 1,000,000 barrels per day post-turnaround [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that while the Permian rig count has softened, the number of rigs on its system remains largely unchanged, indicating stability in its operations [7] - The demand for natural gas and NGLs is expected to continue increasing, supported by strong customer performance across the value chain [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing adjusted EBITDA, common dividends per share, and reducing share count while maintaining a strong investment-grade balance sheet [10][21] - The company plans to invest in integrated growth opportunities and return increasing capital to shareholders over the long term [10][21] - The company is preparing for growth in 2027 and beyond by ordering long lead items for additional Permian plants [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued strong growth on the Permian system for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, supported by ongoing discussions with producers [7][9] - The company highlighted its differentiated growth profile, outperforming crude and gas production growth rates over the past five years [8][9] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $324 million in common shares during the second quarter and authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program [21][22] - The company expects net growth capital spending for 2025 to be approximately $3 billion, with maintenance capital spending of $250 million [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on outperforming the basin - Management noted that the combination of having the largest footprint and being over some of the best rock in the Midland and Delaware Basins contributes to their ability to outperform [25][26] Question: Outlook on NGL margins - Management indicated that they have a growing supply from their gas processing footprint and are well-positioned due to long-term contracts, despite concerns about overbuild and margin pressures [28][30] Question: Competition in the Northern Delaware - Management acknowledged increased competition but emphasized their established capabilities and long-term contracts that provide a competitive advantage [37][42] Question: Capital expenditures for 2026 - Management stated that they will assess producer budgeting cycles to inform their 2026 capital budget, but they expect to continue capital-efficient spending aligned with growth opportunities [46] Question: Confidence in future volume growth - Management expressed confidence based on observed volume ramp-up and the expected contributions from new processing plants coming online [54][56] Question: Expectations for Bull Run extension - Management described the Bull Run extension as a natural extension of their capabilities, supported by existing volumes and expected growth [60][61] Question: Balancing buybacks with other capital uses - Management emphasized an opportunistic approach to share repurchases while maintaining flexibility to invest in organic growth projects [62][64] Question: Performance of Badlands assets - Management confirmed that the Badlands transaction has met expectations, with overall volumes remaining flat but potential for future increases [69][70] Question: Approach to LPG export docks and competition - Management reiterated their strong position due to long-term contracts and the ability to meet growing global demand, despite new entrants in the market [81][83]

Summary of Jerry Holdings Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jerry Holdings - **Industry**: Oil and Gas Equipment and Engineering Key Points Project Acquisition - Jerry Holdings secured a natural gas booster EPC project in Algeria worth 6.1 billion RMB, expected to sign a formal contract in August 2025 with a 36-month execution period [2][3][4] - The project consists of 75% design and procurement and 25% construction, with over 70% of core equipment produced in-house [2][3] Financial Projections - Expected gross margin over 20% and net margin over 10% from the Algeria project, contributing over 6 billion RMB in revenue and several hundred million RMB in profit over the next three years [2][4] - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3 billion, 3.4 billion, and 4 billion RMB respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 13%, and 17% [3][6] International Business Growth - International revenue is projected to account for 45% of total revenue by 2024, with overseas orders growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 50% [2][5][9] - The company has established a strong presence in the Middle East, North America, Central Asia, and North Africa, with the fastest growth in the Middle East and Central Asia [2][5][9] Natural Gas Sector Expansion - Natural gas-related business is rapidly growing, expected to make up about 40% of overseas orders in 2024, with an average annual growth rate exceeding 80% in recent years [2][10] - The company has built a natural gas industrial park to triple production capacity, supporting future equipment production [5][10] Market Positioning - Jerry Holdings has a significant market share in specific products, such as completion equipment in Kuwait, where it reaches 60%-70% [2][11] - The company is strategically addressing tariff risks in North America through local production and capacity layout [3][12] Future Growth Potential - The company’s performance is expected to remain strong against a backdrop of high oil prices, with ongoing expansion in North Africa, the Middle East, and other regions [7][17] - The North American market, while currently only 10% of total revenue, is seen as strategically important, particularly for electric fracturing equipment [12][16] Competitive Advantages - Jerry Holdings' execution capabilities have been recognized through the Algeria project win, enhancing its position in the North African and Middle Eastern integrated oil and gas field development market [8][17] - The Dubai factory, set to be operational by the end of the year, will enhance global competitiveness and address potential tariff issues [13][17] Revenue Streams - The power generation business, while currently small, is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues reaching 10 billion RMB in the next three to five years [15][16] - The aftermarket for fracturing equipment is anticipated to become a significant growth area starting in 2025 [15][16] Valuation and Investment Opportunity - The company is currently undervalued with a PE ratio of approximately 12-13 times, indicating strong investment potential given the expected growth rates [6][17][18]