1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating of the lead industry is "Neutral" [3] 2. Core View of the Report - The lead market shows a pattern of weak overseas and stable domestic, with a game between supply and demand. Overseas lead prices are dragged down by geopolitical factors, while domestic lead prices decline with limited amplitude. The increasing losses of secondary lead and the depletion of primary lead factory inventories provide phased support. There is a co - existence of high - pressure social inventory and downstream bargain - hunting replenishment, and the opening of the import window brings an expectation of increased supply. Terminal demand is structurally differentiated. Looking ahead to next week, lead prices may fall and then rise, and downstream enterprises will maintain bargain - hunting and rigid - demand procurement. Investors should pay attention to the pace of social inventory depletion and the actual arrival of imported lead and operate cautiously [3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market News and Important Data Spot - On March 23, 2026, the LME lead spot premium was -$39.51 per ton. The SMM1 lead ingot spot price remained unchanged at 16,275 yuan per ton compared with the previous trading day. The SMM Shanghai lead spot premium changed by -25 yuan per ton to 0.00 yuan per ton. The SMM Guangdong lead spot price remained unchanged at 16,350 yuan per ton, and the SMM Henan lead spot price remained unchanged at 16,275 yuan per ton. The SMM Tianjin lead spot premium remained unchanged at 16,275 yuan per ton. The lead concentrate - scrap price difference remained unchanged at 0 yuan per ton. The price of waste electric vehicle batteries decreased by 25 yuan per ton to 9,800 yuan per ton, the price of waste white shells remained unchanged at 9,875 yuan per ton, and the price of waste black shells decreased by 25 yuan per ton to 10,100 yuan per ton [1] Futures - On March 23, 2026, the main contract of Shanghai lead opened at 16,360 yuan per ton and closed at 16,395 yuan per ton, up 105 yuan per ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 63,444 lots, a decrease of 13,162 lots from the previous trading day, and the position was 89,207 lots, a decrease of 3,934 lots from the previous trading day. The intraday price fluctuated, with a maximum of 16,500 yuan per ton and a minimum of 16,320 yuan per ton. In the night session, the main contract of Shanghai lead opened at 16,495 yuan per ton and closed at 16,435 yuan per ton, up 0.27% from the afternoon closing price of the previous day [2] Inventory - On March 23, 2026, the total SMM lead ingot inventory was 63,000 tons, a decrease of 14,500 tons compared with the same period last week. As of March 23, the LME lead inventory was 284,075 tons, a decrease of 25 tons from the previous trading day [2] Strategy - The investment rating is "Neutral". It is recommended to sell call options. The expected operating range of lead prices within the week is 1,6200 - 16,800 yuan per ton, and enterprises can carry out corresponding buying and selling hedging operations based on this range [3]

Summary of Hunan Gold Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hunan Gold - **Industry**: Gold and Antimony Mining Key Points and Arguments 1. **Production and Sales Outlook**: - Hunan Gold expects a slight increase in gold production in Q2 compared to Q1, but sales may fall short due to declining gold prices and export restrictions. The annual gold production target is set at 4.2 tons, and antimony production target is 18,000 tons, with current progress lagging behind these goals [2][4][6]. 2. **Resource Integration Efforts**: - The company is focusing on resource integration at the Hunan Gold level, particularly in the Wangu mining area. There is currently no clear solution, but plans are in place to merge the Central mining area with the Gold Cave mining area, potentially altering the cash acquisition strategy [2][5]. 3. **Inventory Management**: - Inventory reduction was effective in Q1, but Q2 is heavily impacted by export issues, leading to reduced export volumes and a focus on domestic sales [2][7]. 4. **Price Fluctuations**: - Antimony prices have dropped from 260,000 CNY at the end of March to 180,000-190,000 CNY, influenced by export restrictions and downstream cost pressures, resulting in a weak supply-demand balance [2][10]. 5. **Hedging Strategy**: - Hunan Gold engaged in partial hedging in Q1, but due to a unilateral price decline, not all positions were closed. Specific details on the hedging outcomes remain unclear [2][8]. 6. **Contractual Dynamics**: - There have been no significant issues with contract cancellations or defaults from downstream companies, as sales prices are determined on the same day, without long-term agreements [2][11]. 7. **Construction Progress of Gansu Jiaxin Mining**: - Gansu Jiaxin Mining's construction is proceeding as planned, with a timeline of 1.3 to 1.5 years, although some delays are expected due to coordination with minority groups and administrative processes [3][12]. 8. **Resource Reserves**: - The estimated proven reserves in the Wangu mining area exceed 80 tons, although some data is still pending review and approval [2][13]. 9. **Mining Grade and Cost**: - The average grade in the Wangu mining area is approximately 3 to 4 grams, but actual extraction grades may be slightly lower. Cost comparisons can be made with similar operations in the region [2][14]. Additional Important Information - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with downstream demand showing signs of weakness due to price volatility and export limitations [4][10]. - The company is closely monitoring the impact of external factors on pricing and sales, particularly in the context of international contracts and domestic market conditions [7][9].