但资本市场却对此有所担忧。据香港《经济日报》，德银发布的报告称，为满足激增需求，Labubu产 能从上半年的1000万只拉升至年底的月均5000万只。对于依赖"酷"和"稀缺"属性的潮流玩具而言，普及 往往是热度衰退的前兆。报告称，自今年8月以来，Labubu及其他热门IP的市场溢价已见消退。其中， Labubu隐藏款的溢价幅度缩水超过50%，而Labubu3.0及4.0常规款式在二手平台价格已跌穿官方零售 价。 在此前的17个月内（2024年3月-2025年8月），泡泡玛特的股价翻了接近15倍，创下了港股消费股的新 神话。 近日，泡泡玛特（09992.HK）股价持续下跌，12月8日股价跌超8%，12月9日跌超5%。自今年8月高点 339.8港元/股以来，其累计跌幅约40%，总市值蒸发超过2000亿港元（约合人民币1800亿元）。 在此前的17个月内（2024年3月-2025年8月），泡泡玛特的股价翻了接近15倍，创下了港股消费股的神 话。 在股价一路高歌猛进的时间段里，泡泡玛特的业绩也在逐步上涨。2024年上半年，泡泡玛特的净利润为 9.2亿元，2024年全年则斩获了31.3亿元的净利润。进入2025年，单是 ...

Core Insights - The letter discusses the emotional turmoil experienced in a long-term friendship that has become strained, highlighting feelings of confusion and self-doubt regarding the relationship [1][2] - The author seeks to understand the reasons behind the shift from intimacy to aversion in the friendship, questioning whether this is a natural evolution or a sign of irreconcilable differences [2][3] Group 1: Emotional Dynamics - The concept of "familiarity" in friendships can lead to "aversion" due to psychological mechanisms such as the mere exposure effect, where overexposure can result in emotional numbness and misinterpretation of neutral behaviors as negative [3][4] - Attachment theory suggests that when a close relationship loses its comforting role, defensive mechanisms may trigger feelings of aversion as a way to protect oneself from perceived emotional neglect [3][4] - Value conflicts may also contribute to feelings of aversion, as differing perspectives on social validation can create tension and resentment within the friendship [3][4] Group 2: Assessing Relationship Status - Evaluating the emotional value of the relationship is crucial; healthy relationships allow for conflict resolution and understanding, while deteriorating ones often lead to silence and unresolved tension [4][5] - Growth potential in friendships is another indicator; healthy relationships foster new perspectives and acceptance of differences, whereas failing ones become rigid and focused on changing each other [4][5] - Respecting personal space is essential; healthy relationships maintain a balance of independence, while deteriorating ones may exhibit excessive dependence or control, leading to feelings of suffocation [4][5] Group 3: Navigating Change - Accepting the legitimacy of conflicting emotions is important; acknowledging feelings of loss can facilitate the process of distancing oneself from the friendship [5][6] - Establishing gentle boundaries can help manage the transition; practical steps like reducing social media interactions and communicating feelings without blame can ease the process [5][6] - Focusing on self-reconstruction through new social experiences can help fill emotional voids and reshape memories of the old relationship, promoting personal growth [6][7]

Group 1 - The film industry is experiencing a significant transition, with many professionals, including well-known actors, shifting careers due to various pressures and challenges [3][5][6] - The current environment in the film industry is described as an "ice age," with a notable decrease in investment and production, leading to actors reducing their fees to attract funding [6][11] - There is a stark contrast between the increasing scale of film production and the number of individuals leaving the industry, highlighting a growing crisis among both emerging and established talent [5][6] Group 2 - The industry faces challenges such as severe homogenization of content, lack of innovation, and a decline in the quality of productions, which negatively impacts audience engagement and investment [11][13] - Established actors like Louis Koo are experiencing career crises, attributed to repetitive roles and a lack of fresh, engaging content, leading to audience fatigue [13][15] - To revitalize their careers, actors are encouraged to diversify their roles and reduce the frequency of their projects, learning from successful peers who have adapted their strategies over time [17]