市场风险偏好变化

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秦氏金升:7.20伦敦金下周涨跌预测,黄金行情分析与操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-20 09:46
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and central bank gold purchases, while also facing pressure from fluctuating dollar indices and changing market risk preferences [3][5]. Market Analysis - On July 18, spot gold closed at $3350.05, showing a slight decline of 0.25% after a strong rebound from a low of $3309.82, indicating intensified market competition between bulls and bears [1]. - The recent strong U.S. retail sales (+0.6%) and unemployment claims (221,000) contributed to the initial drop in gold prices, but subsequent market reactions led to a recovery [1][3]. - The gold price is currently forming a tight technical triangle between $3320 and $3377, with critical support at $3320 and resistance at $3377, which could lead to further movements towards $3390 and potentially $3400 or $3428 if broken [3][5]. Technical Indicators - The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a potential for price movement, with gold trading above the middle band, suggesting a rebound from oversold conditions [5]. - The MACD indicator shows a potential bullish crossover, while the RSI indicates strong bullish momentum, reinforcing the likelihood of upward movement [5]. - Short-term trading strategies suggest buying on dips around $3340 with a protective stop at $3330, targeting $3365, while medium-term strategies remain bullish as long as prices hold above $3300 [7].