Group 1 - The report highlights that the Federal Reserve's resumption of the interest rate cut cycle may stimulate a recovery in U.S. demand, which could lead to increased exports from China, particularly in the manufacturing and consumer sectors [2][6][18] - As of June 2025, U.S. nominal and real inventory growth rates have shown a downward trend, indicating a tightening inventory level relative to sales, suggesting potential replenishment demand in the future [2][7][33] - The report identifies that certain sectors, such as home appliances, machinery, automotive, and light industry, are experiencing significant inventory reduction, making them key areas for market focus [2][8][51] Group 2 - The technology export index has reached a new high, driven by strong capital expenditure growth in U.S. tech stocks related to AI, while the manufacturing and consumer export indices have lagged due to weak demand in traditional economic sectors [5][15] - The report notes that the U.S. manufacturing PMI's recovery is typically a leading indicator for China's intermediate and capital goods exports, suggesting that a rebound in U.S. manufacturing could positively impact Chinese exports [6][18][29] - The report emphasizes that sectors with historically low inventory levels, such as home appliances, machinery, automotive, and light industry, are expected to see greater demand as they enter a replenishment phase [8][47][51]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming promotional season in overseas markets is expected to boost panel procurement, which serves as a leading indicator for television demand [1] Group 1: Market Trends - In the first half of the year, Korean brands experienced poor sales, leading to significant inventory reduction that impacted panel procurement demand [1] - The inventory reduction phase has ended, signaling a turnaround in panel procurement [1] Group 2: Data Insights - According to Aowei Cloud Network data, global TV panel shipments reached 22.3 million units in August 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.6% and a month-on-month increase of 4.9% [1] - This positive trend has continued since July, reflecting a cyclical recovery in inventory demand [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Global TV brands are actively preparing for the upcoming overseas promotional peaks during Black Friday and Christmas, indicating a short-term surge in overseas TV demand [1] - This anticipated demand may help mitigate some of the impacts from the domestic subsidy reduction [1]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming promotional season in overseas markets is expected to boost panel procurement, indicating a positive trend in television demand as panel purchases serve as a leading indicator for TV demand [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The panel procurement volume is showing positive signals as the inventory destocking phase has ended, leading to a turnaround in demand [1] - According to data from AVC Revo, global TV panel shipments reached 22.3 million units in August 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.6% and a month-on-month increase of 4.9%, continuing the positive trend observed since July [1] Group 2: Seasonal Demand - Global TV brands are actively preparing for the upcoming overseas promotional peaks during Black Friday and Christmas, indicating a short-term surge in overseas TV demand [1] - The anticipated increase in overseas demand may help mitigate some of the impacts from the domestic subsidy reduction [1]