房地产市场展望

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仲量联行:预计今年香港中小型住宅楼价跌5% 豪宅跌幅调整至5%-10%
智通财经网· 2025-07-09 07:56
Group 1: Residential Market Outlook - The chairman of JLL Hong Kong, Zeng Huanping, predicts a 5% decline in small to medium-sized residential prices this year, driven by an increase in non-local professionals and students [1] - Residential rents are expected to reach historical highs due to the influx of non-local talent and students [1] - The forecast for luxury property prices has been adjusted from a 5% decline to a range of 5% to 10% due to an increase in distressed sales of commercial properties affecting luxury homeowners [1] Group 2: Commercial Property Market Outlook - The office market is showing signs of improvement, with increased leasing activity in prime locations, particularly in Central, despite an overall vacancy rate rising to 13.6% [1] - The net absorption recorded in the first half of the year was 130,700 square feet, driven by transactions in key areas like Central, Wan Chai/Causeway Bay, and Tsim Sha Tsui [1] - JLL anticipates that rental rates for prime office buildings in Central will stabilize by the end of the year, although overall office rents are expected to decline by about 5% for the year [2] Group 3: Retail Market Outlook - The vacancy rate for core area street shops remains at 10.5%, while the vacancy rate for premium shopping malls has reached a new high of 10.5% due to increased new supply and additional vacant space in existing malls [2] - The upcoming completion of approximately 600,000 square feet of new retail space is expected to exert upward pressure on vacancy rates for premium shopping malls [2] - Rental rates for core area street shops and premium malls are projected to decline by 5% to 10% this year [2]
2025年新加坡房地产市场展望报告-虽有迷雾难掩曙光
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 15:21
世邦魏理仕发布的《2025年新加坡房地产市场展望报告——虽有迷雾难掩曙光》,对新加坡房地产市场进行了深入分析。报告指出,尽管市场存在诸多不确 定性,但仍有一些积极因素。从企业租赁策略来看,企业有续租、搬迁、扩张、升级等多种选择,决策时会综合考虑成本、业务需求变化、市场竞争环境等 因素。不同策略的占比反映出市场的动态变化,也在一定程度上影响着房地产市场的供需关系。例如,搬迁比例上升,意味着对不同地段、不同类型房产的 需求改变;而续租比例较高,则表明部分企业对现有办公场地满意,或者在当前市场环境下,续租是更经济、更符合企业发展的选择。 从市场整体趋势来看,新加坡房地产市场面临复杂的局面。一方面,全球经济形势、地缘政治等外部因素带来了诸多不确定性,这些因素如同"迷雾",给市 场发展增添了风险和挑战。比如,全球经济的波动可能影响企业的投资决策和扩张计划,进而减少对商业地产的需求;地缘政治紧张局势可能导致外资流入 减少,影响房地产市场的资金供应。另一方面,新加坡房地产市场也有一些积极因素,如同"曙光"。新加坡作为区域金融中心和国际贸易枢纽,具有较强的 经济吸引力,为房地产市场提供了一定支撑。同时,新加坡政府的土地供应政 ...