证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2026 年 01 月 29 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20260129 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数涨跌不一。截止收盘，沪指上涨 0.16%，收 报 4157.98 点；深证成指跌 0.3%，收报 14300.08 点；创业板指跌 0.57%，收 报 3304.51 点；科创 50 指数跌 3.03%，收报 1507.64 点。总体上，全天个股 涨少跌多，Wind 数据显示，全市场 1801 只个股上涨，3562 只个股下跌，107 只个股收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 32300 亿元，较上个交易日放量 2646 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨多跌少，食品饮料、传媒、房地产、非 银金融、石油石化等行业领涨，涨幅分别为 6.57%、3.53%、2.65%、2.28%、 2.23%，电子、国防军工、电力设备、机械设备等行业领跌，跌幅分别为 3.56%、 1.79%、1.78%、1.76%、1.66%。 概念板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前的概 ...

- The report discusses the market performance of various indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, which performed relatively well, and the CSI 300 Value Index, which also showed positive performance[2][6] - The report highlights the performance of different industry indices, with the petroleum and petrochemical, building materials, real estate, construction, and transportation industries performing well, while the defense, communications, computer, comprehensive finance, and electrical industries performed poorly[7] - The report provides data on market sentiment, including the number of stocks that hit their daily limit up or down, and the performance of these stocks the following day[13][14] - The report includes information on market capital flows, such as the balance of margin financing and securities lending, and the proportion of these balances relative to the total market capitalization[19][22] - The report discusses the premium and discount rates of ETFs, highlighting the ETFs with the highest premiums and discounts on a specific day[23][25] - The report provides data on block trading, including the average daily transaction amount and discount rate over the past six months[26][28] - The report includes information on the annualized discount rates of the main contracts of stock index futures for various indices, such as the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000[28][30] - The report highlights the stocks that received the most institutional attention over the past week, with specific stocks being mentioned[30][32] - The report provides data on the top ten stocks with the highest net inflows and outflows from institutional seats and the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect[36][37][38][40]

Market Overview - The A-share market indices closed down today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.01% to 4113.65 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.97% to 14155.63 points, the Sci-Tech 50 down by 1.58% to 1482.99 points, and the ChiNext Index down by 1.79% to 3277.98 points [1][14] - Overall, there were 2231 stocks that rose and 3102 stocks that fell, with a total market turnover of 27,777 billion yuan, an increase of 693 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the sectors that performed well included Petroleum & Petrochemicals (up 1.74%), Building Materials (up 1.71%), Real Estate (up 1.55%), Transportation (up 1.25%), Construction Decoration (up 1.24%), and Basic Chemicals (up 1.15%) [1][14] - Conversely, the sectors that saw declines included Communication (down 3.23%), Defense & Military (down 2.87%), and Computer (down 1.94%) [1][14] Concept Sector Performance - The leading concept sectors with gains today included Cultivated Diamonds, Cement Manufacturing Selection, Real Estate Selection, Major Infrastructure Central Enterprises, Chemical Raw Materials Selection, Food Processing Selection, Advanced Packaging, Gold and Jewelry, First-Class Real Estate Developers, Aviation Transportation Selection, Banking Selection, Central Enterprises, Old Infrastructure, Western Major Infrastructure, and Superhard Materials [2][11]

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3900.5 points, down 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.29% to 13316.42 points [1][7] - Among 30 first-level industries, 24 experienced gains, with real estate, consumer services, and retail leading the increases, while banking, computer, electric equipment, and new energy sectors saw significant declines [1][7] - The total trading volume of the A-share market was 1791.6 billion, a decrease from the previous day [1][7] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, the highest since March 2024, while the core CPI rose by 1.2% [8][12] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, with a year-on-year decline of 2.2% due to a high base effect [8] - A total of 2435 stocks rose, while 2844 fell, indicating a broad market fluctuation [8] International Market Overview - The U.S. stock market indices all closed higher, with the Dow Jones rising by 1.05% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.67% [2] - Notable gains were seen in Nike, which rose nearly 4%, and Caterpillar, which increased over 3% [2] - Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with Canadian Solar gaining over 5% and JinkoSolar increasing by more than 3% [2] Key News - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for China's economic growth to 5% for 2025, up by 0.2 percentage points from previous estimates [11][12] - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 3.5% to 3.75% [14][15] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange confirmed a joint letter with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to IPO sponsors regarding concerns over the quality of recent listing applications [10]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.23% closing at 3900.50 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.29% to 13316.42 points. The ChiNext Index fell by 0.02% to 3209.00 points [1][10] - Overall, there were 2433 stocks that rose and 2841 stocks that fell, with a total trading volume of 177.85 billion yuan, a decrease of 125.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][10] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, real estate, commercial retail, social services, telecommunications, and non-ferrous metals saw the highest gains, with increases of 2.53%, 1.97%, 1.22%, 1.21%, and 1.04% respectively. Conversely, banking, electric equipment, and computer sectors experienced declines of 1.58%, 0.87%, and 0.63% respectively [1][10] Concept Sector Performance - The leading concept sectors today included Hainan Free Trade Port, selected cement manufacturing, selected real estate, duty-free shops, semiconductor silicon wafers, optical communication, optical modules, optical chips, excavators, outbound tax refunds, lithium mines, vocational education, gold and jewelry, biological breeding, and semiconductor materials [2]