证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 08 月 01 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20250801 今日关注 今日主要指数涨跌幅：沪指涨跌幅为-0.37%，深证成指涨跌幅为-0.17%， 创业板指涨跌幅为-0.24%。 申万一级行业表现：环保、传媒、轻工制造在行业涨跌幅榜居前；通信、 综合、电子在行业涨跌幅榜居后。 概念板块表现：总体来看，动物疫苗、首板、在线教育概念表现相对较 好；稀土、电路板、十大军工集团概念表现相对较差。 | 一、市场回顾 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 二、风险提示 | 3 | | 图表 1： | | --- | | 今日主要指数涨跌幅（%）及概念板块表现 3 | 风险提示 股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 1 / 5 策略点评 一、市场回顾 图表1：今日主要指数涨跌幅（%）及概念板块表现 二、风险提示 股市有风险，投资需谨慎 请务必阅读最后特别声明与免责条款 www.ykzq.com 3 / 5 ...

Market Overview - The main indices showed slight fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.12%, the Shenzhen Component rising by 0.44%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.96% [1] - In terms of industry performance, the top sectors included defense and military, non-bank financials, and pharmaceutical biology, while oil and petrochemicals, textiles and apparel, and construction decoration lagged behind [1] - Concept sectors performed variably, with circuit boards, insurance, and rare earth concepts showing relatively strong performance, whereas coal mining, Hainan Free Trade Port, and lithium mining concepts performed poorly [1]

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a rise in both volume and price, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3516.83 points, up 0.37%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closing at 10873.62 points, up 1.43% [1][4][9] - A total of 26 out of 30 sectors in the CITIC first-level industry rose, with significant gains in defense, military, communication, and electronics, while electricity, public utilities, banking, and transportation saw declines [1][4][9] - The total trading volume of the A-share market reached 15603 billion, showing an increase compared to the previous day [1][4][9] Overseas Market Overview - All three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.52%, the S&P 500 up 0.54%, and the Nasdaq up 0.74% [2][4] - Notable gains were seen in large tech stocks, with the Travelers Group rising over 3% and Disney nearly 2% [2][4] - Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with Lingzhangmenhu increasing over 10% and NIO rising more than 6% [2][4] Key News Highlights - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that fentanyl is a problem for the U.S., not China [3][11] - The mutual visa exemption agreement between China and Malaysia has officially come into effect [3][12] - The Yiwu Global Trade Center is set to open in October, attracting over 19,000 applicants for 900 shops, indicating strong demand [3][14] - China's annual import and export total for intellectual property usage fees is projected to reach 3987.1 billion by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.7% [3][15] - The U.S. Congress has officially approved the stablecoin bill, aiming for significant regulatory reform in cryptocurrency [3][17]

- The report discusses the market performance of various indices, highlighting that the CSI 1000 index performed well with a 1.14% increase, while the SSE 50 index rose by 0.12%[6] - The report notes that the defense, communications, electronics, pharmaceuticals, and steel industries performed well, with returns of 3.06%, 2.45%, 2.14%, 1.75%, and 1.55%, respectively[8] - The report mentions that the ETF with the highest premium on July 16, 2025, was the Online Consumption ETF with a premium of 0.95%, while the ETF with the highest discount was the Penghua GEM New Energy ETF with a discount of 0.97%[23]

Macro Dynamics - Trump announced a potential 25% tariff on imports from Japan starting August 1, and indicated a possible trade agreement with India soon [1] - Japan's exports to the US have declined for three consecutive months, with a 26.7% drop in automobile exports in June, leading to an overall 11.4% decrease in exports to the US [6] Industry Updates - The price of silicon wafers has increased significantly, with N-type G10L single crystal silicon wafers rising by 22.09% to an average price of 1.05 yuan per piece, driven by rising raw material prices and improved supply-demand dynamics [5] Financial Institutions - Hangzhou Bank reported a net profit of 11.662 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 16.67% [7] - Hongta Securities announced a plan to repurchase shares worth 100 million to 200 million yuan at a price not exceeding 12.76 yuan per share [8] - An expert from the Dalian branch of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China is under investigation for serious violations of discipline and law [10] Market Data - The ChiNext Index rose by 1.76%, with strong performance in the CPO sector, while the overall market saw a trading volume exceeding 1.5 trillion yuan [11] - The total margin financing balance increased by 6.808 billion yuan, reaching 1.878165 trillion yuan across both exchanges [12] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.08%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.56%, with notable gains in several technology stocks [13] Company Dynamics - Meituan's CEO announced the "Same Boat Fund" to support delivery riders, with over 20 million yuan distributed to nearly 7,000 riders and their families [15] - Zhongwei Company expects a net profit increase of 31.61% to 41.28% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with projected revenue of approximately 4.961 billion yuan [16] - TSMC's executives expressed optimism about the resumption of sales to China, viewing it as a positive development for the company [17] - Helen Piano announced a potential change in control, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [18]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a positive trend today, with major indices mostly rising. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.37% to close at 3516.83 points, while the Shenzhen Component rose by 1.43% to 10873.62 points. The ChiNext Index saw a gain of 1.75%, closing at 2269.33 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increased by 0.80% to 1005.65 points. Overall, 3535 stocks rose, 1609 fell, and 271 remained unchanged, with a total trading volume of 15,394 billion yuan, an increase of 973 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included defense and military, communication, electronics, pharmaceutical and biological, and comprehensive industries, with respective gains of 2.74%, 2.41%, 2.18%, 1.77%, and 1.42%. Conversely, the banking, transportation, environmental protection, public utilities, and construction decoration sectors experienced declines, with losses of 0.42%, 0.39%, 0.26%, 0.24%, and 0.19% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included circuit boards, CRO (Contract Research Organization), innovative drugs, aircraft carriers, first boards, medical services, board trading, large aircraft, continuous boards, wireless charging, the top ten military industrial groups, biological vaccines, photoresist, consumer electronics OEM, and 5G [2].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with major indices mostly declining. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% to close at 3503.78 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index both decreased by 0.22%, closing at 10720.81 points and 2230.19 points respectively. The STAR 50 Index, however, increased by 0.14% to 997.63 points [1][10] - Overall, there were 3276 stocks that rose, while 1928 stocks fell, and 212 stocks remained unchanged. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1442 billion yuan, a decrease of 170 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][10] Industry Performance - Among the primary industries, the top performers included Social Services, Automotive, Pharmaceutical and Biological, Light Industry Manufacturing, and Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery, with respective increases of 1.13%, 1.07%, 0.95%, 0.94%, and 0.85%. Conversely, the sectors that experienced declines included Steel, Banking, Non-Ferrous Metals, Non-Bank Financials, and Construction Decoration, with decreases of 1.28%, 0.74%, 0.45%, 0.43%, and 0.42% [1][10] - The leading concept sectors today were Continuous Limit Up, Animal Vaccines, First Limit Up, and others, while sectors like Circuit Boards, Lithium Mining, and Industrial Metals faced declines [2][12]

The provided content does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor does it include their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results. The documents primarily focus on market performance, sector analysis, ETF premiums/discounts, institutional activity, and other market-related data. There are no references to quantitative models or factors in the provided text.

Market Overview - The main indices showed slight fluctuations today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.8% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry sectors, non-bank financials, computers, and steel performed well, while textiles and apparel, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation lagged behind [1] Concept Sector Performance - Overall, the rare earth, stock trading software, and rare earth permanent magnet concepts performed relatively well, whereas the banking, circuit board, and vitamin concepts showed weaker performance [1]

Market Overview - The main indices showed slight increases today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.47%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.22% [1] - In terms of sector performance, real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and steel sectors led the gains, while electronics, utilities, and computer sectors lagged behind [1] - Concept sectors such as rare earths, consecutive boards, and first boards performed relatively well, while digital currency, circuit boards, and aircraft carrier concepts underperformed [1] Strategy Commentary - The report highlights the overall market sentiment and sector performance, indicating a mixed outlook with certain sectors showing resilience while others face challenges [1]