Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index is approaching 3700 points, with a potential to break the 3731.69 points high from February 18, 2021, marking a new 10-year high [1] Market Performance - Just over four months ago, on April 7, the index had dropped by 7.34%, with intraday losses exceeding 9%, which was an unexpected "golden opportunity" for investors [1] - In early 2024, the index fell below 2700 points, leading to a state of panic in the market, but after significant buying from the Central Huijin Investment, the market saw a recovery [1] Historical Context - The A-share market has experienced multiple cycles over its 34-year history, with investors often acting contrary to market trends—selling at lows and buying at highs [2] - Historical patterns show that many investors are hesitant at market bottoms and overly aggressive at tops, leading to significant losses [2] Investor Behavior - The market is influenced by human emotions, which can lead to irrational behavior, deviating from rational decision-making [3] - Successful investors often capitalize on market cycles by acting contrary to prevailing sentiments—being greedy when others are fearful and vice versa [3] Recent Trends - Investors who were willing to buy in the past few months have seen returns, highlighting the importance of understanding market cycles and maintaining an optimistic outlook for future gains [4]

你每天看财经、听直播、追热点，甚至抵押房子加杠杆，就想在股市翻盘。 结果呢？ 别人赚翻，你亏到睡不着。 而一个忘了密码的大妈，5万变500万，一战封神。 结果两年赚70%，干翻99%的基金经理！ 但他们也亏过。 买IBM，因为"大人都买"； 买英格兰银行，因为"这么便宜还能跌？" 凭什么？ 不是你不够拼，而是你一直在做聪明投资者绝不会做的事。 今天，我不灌鸡汤，只撕真相。 只要避开这5个坑，你就能跑赢90%的散户。 1. 不信"专家"：基金经理，没你想的那么神 1990年，美国一群初中生搞模拟炒股。 没学历、不懂K线，选股逻辑简单粗暴： ——全栽了。 一迷信"专家"，人就变蠢。 现实呢？ 75%的基金跑不赢大盘。 你交的管理费，养活了一群不如你懂常识的人。 记住：投资靠常识，不靠MBA。 迪士尼？"小孩都知道它牛。" 麦当劳？"谁都吃过。" 沃尔玛？"门口人多到爆。" 你用的、信的、熟悉的公司，才是你的机会。 2. 不加杠杆：借钱投资，等于自杀 2021年，韩国"岳云鹏"长相的黄比尔，用5倍杠杆，2亿变150亿，风光无限。 结果呢？ 一只股票两天暴跌30%，杠杆反噬，两天亏200亿美元——人类史上最大单日亏损 ...