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Crocs: Game On! - Tariff Headwinds To Fade
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-26 08:21
Group 1 - The article discusses the underperformance of Crocs (CROX) stock compared to the S&P 500 year-to-date, despite a previous "buy" rating [1] - The author highlights the investment strategy of a boutique family office fund led by Amrita, focusing on sustainable, growth-driven companies that maximize shareholder equity [1] - Amrita's background includes five years in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and collaboration with venture capital firms, emphasizing her expertise in maximizing returns during the pandemic [1] Group 2 - The newsletter "The Pragmatic Optimist," co-founded by Amrita, aims to democratize financial literacy and simplify complex macroeconomic concepts for better understanding [1] - The newsletter has been recognized as a top finance newsletter on popular platforms, indicating its influence and reach in the investment community [1]
特朗普2.0带来五大关键因素!黄金未来数月还要涨?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-17 15:22
Core Viewpoint - The return of President Trump to the White House is seen as a positive development for the gold market, with several key factors likely to support gold prices in the coming months, potentially making gold a core asset class in investors' portfolios [1]. Group 1: Central Bank Demand - There is a significant increase in demand for gold from central banks, particularly from BRICS nations like China and India, as part of a broader strategy to de-dollarize [1]. - The People's Bank of China has been accumulating gold reserves for eight consecutive months, indicating a weakening confidence in the US dollar [1]. Group 2: De-dollarization and Trade Policies - Trump's global tariff policies are accelerating the de-dollarization process, reducing reliance on the US dollar as a reserve currency [2]. - The decline in credit quality of developed countries, including the US, is raising concerns in the market, especially after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating [2]. - Trade policies, such as large budget deficits or increased tariffs, are expected to decrease demand for US Treasury bonds, thereby supporting gold prices [2]. Group 3: Interest in Gold ETFs - The decline in yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bonds, along with inflationary pressures, is reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, leading to a resurgence of interest in gold ETFs and other alternatives [3]. - In the first half of 2025, North America led the global inflow of funds into gold ETFs, with a total inflow of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest performance since the first half of 2020 [3]. Group 4: Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment - Gold prices have remained above $3,250 per ounce for most of June, indicating potential upward momentum as market volatility returns [3]. - The current macroeconomic environment supports the view that gold is not just a crisis hedge but is becoming a core asset class in modern investment strategies [3].