抗通胀投资

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第四十六期:商品ETF及特点(上)
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-24 16:56
商品ETF是以商品类指数作为跟踪标的的ETF基金产品,通过复制指数的方式,以市场上某一商品指数 为业绩基准构建一篮子商品组合。 国内商品ETF可以根据运作方式不同细分为有实物支撑的ETF和非实物支撑ETF。前者通过持有实物资 产或仓单的方式运作,如黄金ETF;后者则主要包括商品期货ETF,其以持有商品期货合约为主要策 略,以跟踪商品期货价格指数为投资目标。 无论哪种运作方式,商品ETF相较于其他资产类别ETF都有独特之处,具体包括但不限于: 商品ETF通过将商品投资模式设计成证券投资基金参与,通过投资商品ETF的形式,投资者仅需按照常 规场内基金的投资方式就能间接参与大宗商品交易,大大提高了个人投资者参与商品配置与交易的便利 性。 此外,ETF参与门槛低,交易便利,既可以在二级市场像买卖股票一样买卖基金份额,也可以在一级市 场申购赎回。 选自深圳证券交易所基金管理部编著的《深交所ETF投资问答》(中国财政经济出版社2024年版) (文章来源:证券日报) 商品ETF与其他大类资产相关性低,可分散风险;与其他大类资产投资互补性强,有效优化组合的收益 风险比;商品ETF的发展为资产配置提供了多样化选择,对于丰富市场 ...
通胀顽固不退!分析师认为这些投资标的最具韧性
智通财经网· 2025-08-29 23:45
Group 1 - The latest data indicates that inflation in the U.S. has not fully eased, prompting investors to reassess which stocks and bonds may be more resilient during periods of rising prices [1] - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for July recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, aligning with market expectations but still above the Federal Reserve's long-term target of 2% [1] - Despite expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve after the September meeting, there are concerns that such cuts could also risk pushing inflation higher [1] Group 2 - Broad market investments, such as index funds, typically exhibit good inflation resistance as companies can pass on cost pressures to consumers, adjusting profit levels accordingly [1] - According to research from Hartford Funds, energy stocks and certain Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) tend to perform best during inflationary cycles [1] - Energy stocks are naturally linked to energy prices, which are a significant component of inflation indices, thus performing strongly during inflationary periods [2] Group 3 - Currently, the Alerian MLP ETF, with a size of $11 billion, has a yield of 7.8%, while the Vanguard Real Estate ETF, with a size of $64 billion, has an annualized dividend rate of 3.9% [2] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is approximately 4.2%, significantly higher than the 1.5% seen at the beginning of 2022, indicating that bonds can provide more income in the current environment [2] - The 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) have an actual yield of 1.8%, with the market implying an average inflation expectation of 2.4% over the next decade [2] Group 4 - High-yield bonds ("junk bonds") offer relatively high coupon rates, with the iShares iBoxx U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond ETF yielding 5.8%, compared to 4.4% for investment-grade bond ETFs [3] - However, high-yield bonds carry higher risks and are extremely sensitive to economic conditions, with potential losses if inflation negatively impacts the overall economy [3] - The current spread on junk bonds has narrowed to levels not seen since before the 2007-2008 financial crisis, suggesting that the risk-return profile for investors is not ideal [3]
推荐家长与师生阅读3245:人生最值得的五大投资:用运动投资健康;用自律投资形象;用真心投资关系;用学习投资能力;用善良投资人品
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-23 19:13
Core Insights - The article emphasizes five fundamental investments in life: health, image, relationships, learning, and character, which are seen as more valuable than monetary investments [4] Group 1: Investment in Health - Regular exercise enhances energy levels, attention stability, and emotional resilience, which directly influence learning efficiency, decision quality, and social performance [7] - Sustainable investment in health is characterized by consistent frequency rather than extreme challenges, leading to a positive feedback loop in physical well-being [7] Group 2: Investment in Image - A good image reflects self-management, respect for others, and attention to detail, which are quickly assessed by others [8] - Effective self-discipline in managing one's appearance and communication fosters reliability and cooperation, serving as a passport to opportunities [9] Group 3: Investment in Relationships - Trust is viewed as a compound asset in relationships, where genuine interactions lead to long-term cooperation and support [11] - True relationship investment is based on delayed returns and asymmetrical benefits, where significant support at critical moments outweighs routine interactions [11] Group 4: Investment in Learning - The core of capability lies in the ability to apply learned knowledge to new problems, establishing a reusable thought process [13] - Effective learning should solve specific problems and enhance future problem-solving speed, ensuring that acquired skills yield continuous returns [13] Group 5: Investment in Character - Kindness and character serve as a hedge against risks in complex social environments, fostering high-trust networks and reducing the likelihood of being exploited [14] - Reputation acts as an "invisible credit line," facilitating access to resources and support when needed [16] Group 6: Interconnectedness of Investments - The five types of investments are interrelated, enhancing each other: exercise boosts energy, self-discipline optimizes time, a good image increases social trust, genuine relationships provide opportunities, and learning translates opportunities into results [18] - These investments require a shift in focus from immediate results to gradual accumulation over time [18] Group 7: Self-Assessment for Genuine Investment - Three self-assessment criteria are proposed: maintaining stable frequency in investments, external evidence of reliability and professionalism, and the speed of problem-solving due to past learning and relationships [20] Group 8: Long-Term Perspective - Treating these five investments as habits rewarded by time leads to a focus on ease of implementation and long-term accumulation rather than immediate outcomes [22]
澳洲地产新机遇!稳赚抗跌的三大投资策略
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 23:54
Core Insights - The Australian commercial real estate market is experiencing significant structural differentiation, with core asset categories that possess scarcity and anti-cyclical characteristics becoming the focus of capital pursuit [1] - High-quality street retail properties in Australia maintain historically low vacancy rates, with Sydney's core area below 3%, and rental growth outpacing inflation, indicating resilience driven by rigid demand [1][11] - The private credit market is expanding, with non-bank institutions' quarterly lending volume increasing by 23% year-on-year, reflecting alternative opportunities following traditional banks' reduced exposure [1] Company Overview - Initium Capital is an integrated real estate investment management firm co-founded by family offices, focusing on commercial real estate, private credit, and development investment opportunities [2][7][8] - The firm was established in 2021 and is backed by the Huang family office and the Hayson family, which has a strong background in real estate development [7] Investment Strategy - Initium Capital targets segments with limited supply and rigid demand, constructing a portfolio that combines cash flow defensiveness and appreciation potential [1][11] - The firm employs a low-leverage strategy, focusing on high-quality, hard-to-replicate assets, aiming to provide stable income and long-term capital appreciation [14] Private Credit Strategy - Private credit has become a significant asset allocation direction for family offices and high-net-worth individuals in Australia, filling the financing gap left by traditional banks [16][21] - Initium's private credit strategy focuses on high-quality loans backed by core real estate assets, offering flexible interest payment structures and strong collateral protection [18][21] Development Strategy - Initium's development strategy emphasizes high-quality, highly restricted market projects, aiming for excess returns while controlling risks [23][26] - The Bondi Beach mixed-use development project exemplifies this strategy, targeting a 27% internal rate of return (IRR) over four years, with a net yield of approximately 25% [26][28] Market Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook on the Australian real estate market, anticipating potential interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) that could boost property asset valuations [31] - Australia has solidified its position as a global capital safe haven, attracting significant capital inflows and high-net-worth individuals, further enhancing demand and liquidity in the high-end market [31][32]