提升消费率
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经济治理,有效为矛、有为为盾
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-10 04:12
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of enhancing quality and efficiency in economic governance for the upcoming year, focusing on proactive fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate domestic demand and improve macroeconomic management [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Governance Strategy - The Central Political Bureau outlined eight key principles for economic governance in 2026, including prioritizing domestic demand, innovation, reform, and maintaining social stability [2]. - The shift from "promoting stability through progress" to "enhancing quality and efficiency" indicates a more dynamic and effective approach to policy-making, emphasizing the interaction between policy and market trends [2][3]. Group 2: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The core issue facing the Chinese economy is insufficient effective demand, particularly in consumer spending, which requires systemic reforms to broaden consumption capacity [3][4]. - Enhancing consumer purchasing power is essential for increasing consumption rates, necessitating reforms in income distribution and social welfare systems [4]. Group 3: Consumer Protection and Market Transparency - There is a pressing need to improve consumer rights protection laws and policies to foster a more consumer-friendly market environment [4][5]. - The introduction of collective litigation and clearer consumer rights is advocated to reduce information asymmetry in the market, thereby enhancing pricing power and risk management capabilities [5].
经济治理,有效为矛、有为为盾
第一财经· 2025-12-10 04:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of enhancing the quality and efficiency of economic governance in China, focusing on the integration of policies and market dynamics to stimulate effective demand, particularly in consumer spending [2][3]. Economic Governance Strategy - The Central Political Bureau's meeting outlined a roadmap for economic governance in 2026, highlighting eight key principles, including prioritizing domestic demand, innovation, reform, and maintaining social stability [2]. - The shift from "promoting stability through progress" to "enhancing quality and efficiency" indicates a more proactive and responsive approach to economic policy [2]. Policy Effectiveness - The article stresses that effective governance requires a two-way interaction between the government and the market, with policies designed to stimulate market vitality and consumer confidence [3]. - It highlights the need for policies to be forward-looking, targeted, and coordinated, focusing on the dynamic evaluation of their effectiveness [3]. Consumer Demand and Economic Structure - The core issue facing the Chinese economy is insufficient effective demand, particularly in consumer spending, which necessitates systemic reforms to broaden consumption capacity [3][4]. - The government is urged to shift its focus from a supply chain community to a consumer-oriented community, requiring adjustments in perception and behavior [3]. Enhancing Consumer Spending - To increase the consumption rate during the "15th Five-Year Plan," reforms in income distribution and social security systems are essential to enhance disposable income and consumer confidence [4]. - The article calls for a transition of state-owned capital from production support to consumption support, ensuring that public services are improved to foster a consumer-friendly environment [4]. Consumer Rights and Market Transparency - There is a pressing need to improve consumer protection laws and policies to address the shortcomings in consumer rights, ensuring a transparent and fair market [5]. - The introduction of collective litigation and evidence presentation systems in consumer markets is recommended to enhance consumer awareness and rights [5]. Conclusion on Economic Governance - The article concludes that effective economic governance should prioritize transparent and informed consumption, reducing information asymmetry between supply and demand [5]. - It advocates for a market environment where consumer trust and credit are upheld, reflecting the broader values of society [5].
21专访|祝宝良:“十五五”潜在增速4.7%左右,提高消费率是重要命题
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-30 12:01
Core Viewpoint - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China outlined the "15th Five-Year Plan" for economic and social development, emphasizing the importance of achieving socialist modernization by 2035, with a key indicator being per capita GDP reaching the level of moderately developed countries [1] Economic Growth and Productivity - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for economic growth to remain within a reasonable range, with steady improvements in total factor productivity and synchronized growth of residents' income and economic growth [1] - The potential economic growth rate for China is estimated to be around 4.7% from 2026 to 2030, with contributions from capital formation at 2.7 percentage points and total factor productivity at 2.0 percentage points [8] - To achieve the goal of per capita GDP reaching the level of moderately developed countries by 2035, an annual GDP growth rate of approximately 4.7% is required during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [8] Macroeconomic Policies - The plan emphasizes the need for proactive macroeconomic policies, including active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, to stabilize growth, employment, and expectations [9] - Fiscal spending should outpace nominal economic growth, focusing on improving the efficiency of fund usage and ensuring social welfare [9] - Monetary policy should ensure real interest rates decline and maintain ample liquidity, with structural monetary tools supporting key sectors [10] Domestic Demand and Consumption - The "15th Five-Year Plan" stresses the importance of expanding domestic demand and enhancing consumption as a key driver of economic growth [11] - To boost consumption, it is essential to address issues related to consumer confidence, capability, and willingness, including improving social security and income distribution [12] - Significant investment opportunities exist in public services and infrastructure, particularly in sectors like technology, education, and healthcare, which can create more consumption scenarios [13] Industrial and Technological Development - The plan prioritizes the construction of a modern industrial system and high-level technological self-reliance, focusing on enhancing the integrity, advancement, and security of the industrial system [16] - Emphasis is placed on promoting innovation through improved support for research and development, enhancing the collaboration between industry and academia, and optimizing the allocation of resources [15][16] - The need to address "involution" in competition, characterized by price wars and cost-cutting measures, is highlighted, with calls for regulatory improvements and market mechanism enhancements [14][15]