有效市场与有为政府
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“十五五”经济前瞻:立足比较优势 激活增长动能——对话北京大学国家发展研究院名誉院长、北京大学新结构经济学研究院院长林毅夫
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-28 18:44
Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is crucial for China to achieve its goal of basic socialist modernization by 2035, with a target of maintaining an average economic growth rate of around 5% during this period, despite global economic challenges [1][2][3]. Economic Goals and Challenges - The primary economic goal for the "14th Five-Year Plan" is to sustain an average growth rate of around 5% to lay a solid foundation for achieving a per capita GDP level comparable to that of moderately developed countries by 2035 [2][3]. - The global economic environment remains challenging, with developed countries experiencing prolonged low growth rates since the 2008 financial crisis, impacting China's external demand, particularly for its private sector exports [2][3]. Opportunities Amidst Challenges - Despite existing challenges, there are significant opportunities in emerging industries such as solar panels, drones, and lithium batteries, which can leverage China's large market and complete industrial supply chains [3][4]. - Traditional industries can also benefit from digitalization, intelligence, and green technologies to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, allowing them to expand their market share [3][4]. Role of New Quality Productivity - New quality productivity is essential for upgrading industries, and companies should identify their comparative advantages to thrive in both emerging and traditional sectors [4][5]. - The development of new quality productivity relies on effective market mechanisms and proactive government support to guide investments in industries with comparative advantages [6][7]. Measures to Boost Market Confidence - To address insufficient domestic demand, three key measures are proposed: investing in infrastructure for emerging industries, enhancing workforce skills through training, and implementing targeted demand-creation strategies [6][7][8][9]. - These measures aim to alleviate excess capacity and improve market expectations regarding future income and employment, thereby boosting consumer confidence [10]. Long-term Economic Outlook - The expectation is that China can maintain a growth rate of around 5% even in a challenging international economic environment, continuing to contribute significantly to global economic growth [11][12][13][14].
中国光伏行业协会:“多晶硅产能整合收购平台”正式落地 实行“承债式收购+弹性封存压产能”的双轨模式运行
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-12 12:07
Group 1 - The central economic work conference emphasized the need for reform to enhance high-quality development and address "involution" in competition, which is a key task for the upcoming year [1][7] - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing a recovery, with a 39.48% year-on-year increase in new installations, reaching 252.87 GW in the first ten months of the year [1][5] - The price of silicon materials has risen from 35,400 CNY/ton to 53,600 CNY/ton, indicating a positive trend in the market [1][4] Group 2 - The "involution" phenomenon in the PV industry has led to severe supply-demand imbalances and price wars, eroding profit margins and threatening long-term innovation [2][6] - The establishment of a monitoring and coordination mechanism by the China Photovoltaic Industry Association aims to address market failures and promote cooperative competition [3][6] - The industry has seen a significant increase in market capitalization, with a total market value of 296.8 billion CNY for listed PV companies, reflecting a 39.57% increase since April [5][6] Group 3 - The newly registered platform for polysilicon capacity integration is seen as a key initiative to combat "involution" through market-driven and legal mechanisms [6] - The central economic work conference's focus on creating a unified national market and further reform of state-owned enterprises aligns with the PV industry's efforts to stabilize and innovate [7][8] - The transition from cost competition to value creation in the PV industry is driven by innovation and the need to build a strong domestic market [8][9]
经济治理,有效为矛、有为为盾
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-12-10 04:12
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of enhancing quality and efficiency in economic governance for the upcoming year, focusing on proactive fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate domestic demand and improve macroeconomic management [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Governance Strategy - The Central Political Bureau outlined eight key principles for economic governance in 2026, including prioritizing domestic demand, innovation, reform, and maintaining social stability [2]. - The shift from "promoting stability through progress" to "enhancing quality and efficiency" indicates a more dynamic and effective approach to policy-making, emphasizing the interaction between policy and market trends [2][3]. Group 2: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The core issue facing the Chinese economy is insufficient effective demand, particularly in consumer spending, which requires systemic reforms to broaden consumption capacity [3][4]. - Enhancing consumer purchasing power is essential for increasing consumption rates, necessitating reforms in income distribution and social welfare systems [4]. Group 3: Consumer Protection and Market Transparency - There is a pressing need to improve consumer rights protection laws and policies to foster a more consumer-friendly market environment [4][5]. - The introduction of collective litigation and clearer consumer rights is advocated to reduce information asymmetry in the market, thereby enhancing pricing power and risk management capabilities [5].
如何理解从“管得住”到“管得好”?
Zhong Guo Fa Zhan Wang· 2025-12-08 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of China's economic governance, emphasizing the shift from "管得住" (control well) to "管得好" (manage well), highlighting the need for a balance between effective market mechanisms and proactive government roles [1][2][3]. Economic Governance Shift - The relationship between government and market has been a central theme in China's economic reforms, with increasing emphasis on the market's role in resource allocation under government oversight [2]. - The evolution of party congresses reflects a growing understanding of the market's decisive role in resource allocation, culminating in the latest emphasis on a balanced approach between market freedom and government regulation [2][3]. Policy Focus - "放得活" (let it thrive) focuses on maximizing market potential through simplified regulations and encouraging innovation, while "管得好" (manage well) aims for quality and efficiency in governance [3][4]. - The shift in focus from risk control to a collaborative approach of vitality and order signifies a transformation in government roles from strict controllers to facilitators and service providers [3][4]. Practical Examples - The article provides examples of grassroots initiatives that embody the "管得好" philosophy, such as the relaxation of regulations for small food vendors and the establishment of supportive environments for new industries [6][7]. - These cases illustrate the government's transition to a role that emphasizes service and guidance, fostering a more dynamic economic environment [6][7]. Future Directions - The "十五五" (15th Five-Year Plan) emphasizes the need for a unified approach to "放得活" and "管得好," with experts suggesting the importance of legal frameworks, innovative regulatory methods, and a service-oriented government [8][9][10]. - Recommendations include enhancing legal protections, adopting advanced technologies for regulation, and redefining government roles to focus on enabling rather than controlling market activities [9][10].
经济学家黄奇帆包头开讲:以新质生产力重塑中国区域经济新版图
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 05:47
Core Viewpoint - The "2025 Entrepreneurial Conference" in Baotou emphasizes the importance of "new quality productivity" as a key principle for modern development in China, aiming to reshape the regional economic landscape and invigorate old industrial bases [1][3]. Group 1: New Quality Productivity - Huang Qifan highlights that "new quality productivity" is not about eliminating the traditional but rather revitalizing it at a higher dimension, thus transforming the concept of "high-quality development" into a tangible path for progress [3]. - The integration of "new quality productivity" with Baotou's industrial strengths positions the city as a strategic pivot rather than just a resource supplier, creating a powerful magnet for capital, technology, and talent [5]. Group 2: Systemic Restructuring - Huang uses the metaphor of "chemical bonds" to describe the explosive potential of resource restructuring across industrial, capital, and supply chains, indicating that those who achieve systematic restructuring first will gain an advantage in the new international division of labor [4]. - The conference serves as a platform for real-time interaction among government, enterprises, finance, and academia, fostering a collaborative environment for policy and market signals [7]. Group 3: Open Narrative and Regional Development - Huang suggests that inland cities can become hubs of institutional openness by identifying the right regulatory interfaces, transforming geographical disadvantages into strategic advantages [6]. - The event illustrates the potential for the central and western regions of China to engage in a new open economic framework, promoting a dual circulation model that connects land and sea [6]. Group 4: Ecological Consensus - The conference promotes a shared understanding between effective markets and proactive government, emphasizing the importance of co-building standards, sharing data, and co-developing scenarios to enhance innovation vitality in China [7]. - Huang's visit to Baotou symbolizes a convergence of tradition and modernity, showcasing how continuous ideological liberation and activation of resources can turn old industrial areas into new growth poles for the Chinese economy [7].
清单瘦身的背后是政府权利的不断“健身”
Guang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-05-01 03:30
Core Points - The National Development and Reform Commission, along with the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Market Regulation, has released the "Negative List for Market Access (2025 Edition)," reducing the number of restrictions from 117 in 2022 to 106, indicating a further relaxation of market access and optimization of management [1][2] - The negative list system, implemented since 2018, has seen a reduction from 151 items to 106, representing a decrease of approximately 30%, which reflects significant institutional innovation and a response to developmental needs [1][2] - The government is focusing on reducing unnecessary market interventions while creating a stable and transparent institutional arrangement, which aims to foster a fair and open competitive environment for various business entities [2][3] Market Access and Competition - The continuous reduction of the negative list is aimed at enhancing market vitality, especially in light of the global technological revolution and industrial transformation, which presents both challenges and opportunities for traditional market access rules [3] - Recent policies have been introduced to lower barriers for private enterprises in sectors such as energy, railways, and telecommunications, promoting market competition and creating broader development space for private companies [3] - The opening of the first privately-held high-speed rail and the commencement of nuclear power projects with private capital involvement are examples of the competitive vitality exhibited by private enterprises under the ongoing policy benefits [3] Regulatory Balance - While the negative list has been streamlined, it is crucial to recognize that the remaining 106 items still include clear "red lines" related to financial security and ecological protection, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach to reform [4] - Future efforts should focus on reinforcing the concept of "no restrictions outside the list," aligning provincial lists with the national version, and eliminating market access barriers [4] - Effective communication of favorable policies is essential to ensure that businesses truly experience the commitment to comprehensive regulation, fostering a competitive environment for accelerated development [4]
“倾听市场声音”,怎么听?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-11 07:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of listening to market voices to enhance policy implementation and guide economic development, aligning with the strategic goals of deepening reforms and modernizing the economy by 2035 [2][3] - The article highlights the necessity for government to understand industry dynamics and challenges through active engagement with businesses, which has been increasingly evident in recent years [4][6] - It discusses the need for effective communication mechanisms between the government and enterprises to ensure that policies are well-informed and responsive to market needs [5][7] Group 2 - The article outlines specific areas that require attention, such as logistics costs, payment issues, and regulatory burdens, indicating that these insights are crucial for targeted policy interventions [5][9] - It stresses the importance of a comprehensive listening approach, where government entities must engage with a diverse range of businesses, including small and medium-sized enterprises, to gather a full spectrum of feedback [9][10] - The need for a proactive and genuine listening culture is emphasized, where government officials should not only seek positive feedback but also address criticisms and challenges faced by businesses [10]