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百润股份(002568):环比略改善,期待再发力
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-29 01:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a slight improvement in revenue growth, with Q3 2025 revenue at 780 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, indicating a stabilization in the company's fundamentals [1]. - The gross margin remained stable at 70.2% in Q3 2025, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.1 percentage points to 20.5% due to increased sales expenses related to whisky investments [2]. - The company is expected to accelerate its pre-mixed beverage business in Q4 2025, supported by new product launches and enhanced marketing efforts for whisky [2]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.27 billion yuan, down 4.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 550 million yuan, down 4.4% year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 729 million yuan, 877 million yuan, and 1.006 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.4%, 20.3%, and 14.7% respectively [3]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 39, 33, and 28 times respectively [3].
百润股份(002568):2025年三季报点评:新品贡献增量,收入增速转正
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-28 11:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.27 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 550 million yuan, down 4.4% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 780 million yuan, an increase of 3.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 160 million yuan, down 6.8% year-on-year [1][8] - New product contributions are driving growth, with the company focusing on the development of new product lines such as the "Light Enjoy" series and jelly wine, which are in the early stages of market penetration. The whiskey business is also progressing, albeit at a slower pace than expected [8][9] - The company is actively managing inventory levels and channel pressures, with cash flow showing an 8.0% increase compared to revenue, indicating a healthy operational resilience [8] Financial Summary - For 2024A, the total revenue is projected at 3.048 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -6.6%. The net profit is expected to be 719 million yuan, down 11.2% year-on-year. The EPS for 2024A is estimated at 0.69 yuan [4][15] - The company anticipates a revenue increase of 2.4% in 2025E, reaching 3.12 billion yuan, with a net profit of 742 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 3.1% year-on-year. The EPS is projected to rise to 0.71 yuan [4][15] - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2025 was 70.2%, remaining stable year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 20.5%, down 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [8][9]