Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Gujing Gongjiu with a target price of 300 CNY [1][6]. Core Views - The company shows resilience in market sales, with a focus on accelerating inventory reduction ahead of the Spring Festival [1][6]. - The management is pragmatic and flexible in adjusting operations to ensure long-term healthy development, particularly in stabilizing market share in the domestic market while exploring growth potential in external markets [6][8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 23,578 million CNY, 21,774 million CNY, 22,033 million CNY, and 23,249 million CNY respectively, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16.4% in 2024A, followed by a decline of 7.6% in 2025E [2][13]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at 5,518 million CNY for 2024A, decreasing to 5,069 million CNY in 2025E, with a growth rate of 20.2% in 2024A and a decline of 8.1% in 2025E [2][13]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 10.44 CNY in 2024A, 9.59 CNY in 2025E, 10.02 CNY in 2026E, and 10.74 CNY in 2027E [2][13]. Market Performance - The company has shown a strong performance compared to the CSI 300 index, with a notable increase in market share in the domestic market despite external pressures [6][8]. - The marketing team has effectively executed strategies to enhance brand presence and sales, particularly in key regions such as Jiangsu and Anhui [6][8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on product upgrades and new product launches to enhance market competitiveness, with a particular emphasis on maintaining price competitiveness while expanding market share [6][8]. - Marketing efforts are being intensified in preparation for the Spring Festival, aiming to boost sales and inventory reduction [6][8].

证券 研究报告 | 行业 定期报告 2024 年 11 月 24 日 签约客户可长按扫码阅读报告 临近年底酒企明年目标定调是关键，近期茅台、五粮液等也在拟定中，考虑各方 对明年需求预期谨慎，有望在理性下调增长目标上达成共识，以维护市场良性。后续渠 道释放包袱、报表触底过程中，投资者更关注实际动销，股价先于报表出现拐点。 食品个股提前完成库存调整，叠加春节备货提前，四季度增长有望超预期。中期 来看，乳制品、饮料、榨菜等板块或龙头也进入向上周期，未来 1-2 年有望盈利上修。 最新观点 核心公司跟踪：金徽酒控股股东增持，中炬高新股东权益变动。 金徽酒： 控股股东亚特集团增持公司股份，增持资金总额不低于人民币 5,000 万元，不超过人民币 10,000 万元。 伊力特： 刘新宇先生因达到法定退休年龄，特向公司董事会提出辞去董事、副总经理以及董事会下设战略委员会、薪酬与考核委员会委员职务。 洽洽食品： 拟回购部分股份，用于股权激励计划或员工持股计划，回购的资金总额不低于人民币 4,000 万元（含），且不超过人民币 8,000 万元（含），回购股份约占公司总 股本为 0.17% — 0.33% 。 中炬高新： 持股 ...