公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 中国飞鹤（06186.HK）2025 年中报预告点评 推荐（下调） 业绩低于预期，加大分红回购力度 事项： ❖ 公司发布 2025 年中报预告。25H1 预计实现收入 91-93 亿，同比下滑 7.9%- 9.9%，预计实现净利润 10-12 亿，同比下滑 36%-47%。公司预计 25Q3 渠道 库存调整到位，全年收入指引低个位数增长。此外，公司年内拟投入不少于 10 亿资金回购股份，用于后续出售或员工股权激励；且预期 25 年分派股息不少 于 20 亿元，去年同期 27.2 亿元。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 20,749 | 20,766 | 22,054 | 23,119 | | 同比增速(%) | 5.6% | 0.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 3,570 | 3,025 | 3,602 | 3,992 | | 同比增速(%) | ...

国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2025年6月15日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 操作建议 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 操作建议 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 资料来源：中纸网，纸业联讯，隆众资讯 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 4 1. 【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年6月12日，中国纸浆常熟港库存58.1万吨，较上周期上涨2.9万吨，环比上涨5.3%。本周常熟港库存呈现累库走势。 2. 【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年6月12日，中国纸浆青岛港库存134.2万吨，较上周上涨1.6万吨，环比上涨1.2%。本周期青岛港库存周期内呈现小幅累 库走势。 3. 【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年6月12日， ...

Diodes (DIOD) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants Leanne Sievers - PresidentGary Yu - President & CEOBrett Whitmire - CFOEmily Yang - Senior Vice President of Worldwide Sales & Marketing Conference Call Participants David Williams - Equity Research AnalystTristan Gerra - Senior Research Analyst Operator Good afternoon, and welcome to Diodes Incorporated First Quarter twenty twenty five Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $332.1 million, a 10% increase year-over-year compared to $302 million in Q1 2024, but a decrease of 2.1% sequentially from $339.3 million in Q4 2024 [12][18] - GAAP net loss for Q1 2025 was $4.4 million, or a loss per share of $0.10, compared to net income of $14 million or $0.30 per diluted share in Q1 2024 [14] - Non-GAAP adjusted net income for Q1 2025 was $8.8 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, down from $13 million or $0.28 per diluted share in Q1 2024 [14] - EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $26.2 million, or 7.9% of revenue, compared to $48.3 million or 16% of revenue in the prior year period [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Automotive and industrial markets accounted for 42% of Q1 2025 product revenue, maintaining the same level as the previous quarter [7][19] - The computing segment represented 27% of product revenue, with ongoing design momentum in AI server and data center applications [18][25] - Consumer market revenue was 17%, while communication market revenue was 14% [19][27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Asia represented 78% of revenue, Europe 13%, and North America 9% in Q1 2025, with improvements noted across all regions [18] - Channel inventory levels decreased, indicating a better alignment with actual demand [7][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company announced a $100 million stock repurchase program, reflecting confidence in future growth prospects [10] - The hybrid manufacturing model allows the company to adapt to global customer needs and mitigate tariff impacts [10][28] - The focus remains on content expansion and gaining market share in the automotive sector as it recovers [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about growth prospects in 2025 and beyond, despite current economic uncertainties due to tariffs [29] - The company expects revenue for Q2 2025 to increase to approximately $355 million, representing 11% growth year-over-year [17] Other Important Information - Total inventory days at the end of Q1 2025 were approximately 187, down from 193 in the previous quarter [16] - Cash flow provided by operations was $56.7 million for Q1 2025, with free cash flow of $40.8 million [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand pull forward due to inventory levels and tariffs - Management noted that while tariffs create uncertainty, they do not see significant demand pull forward, but rather an improvement in channel inventory and backlog [35][36] Question: Impact of tariffs on manufacturing strategy - The hybrid manufacturing model will continue to be a focus, with no changes to the strategy despite tariff issues [39][40] Question: AI CapEx trends and regional demand - Demand is strong in data center applications, particularly among hyperscalers, with positive trends in edge computing as well [44][46] Question: Gross margin catalysts and potential headwinds - Management expects margin improvement in the second half of the year, driven by increased revenue and improved product mix [48][52] Question: Normalization of distributor inventories - Current inventory levels are slightly above the target range of 11 to 14 weeks, but management is comfortable with the levels supporting expected growth [58]

报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 增持（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 04 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 17.43 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 27.34/12.41 | | 市净率 | 4.1 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.23 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 47,415 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,279.03/9,899.82 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 4.23 | | 资产负债率% | 36.85 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 2,747/2,720 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 04-30 05-31 06-30 07-31 08-31 09-30 10-31 11-30 12-31 01-31 02-28 03-31 04-30 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 沪硅产业 沪深300指数 (收益率) 2 ...

证券 研究报告 | 行业 定期报告 2024 年 11 月 24 日 签约客户可长按扫码阅读报告 临近年底酒企明年目标定调是关键，近期茅台、五粮液等也在拟定中，考虑各方 对明年需求预期谨慎，有望在理性下调增长目标上达成共识，以维护市场良性。后续渠 道释放包袱、报表触底过程中，投资者更关注实际动销，股价先于报表出现拐点。 食品个股提前完成库存调整，叠加春节备货提前，四季度增长有望超预期。中期 来看，乳制品、饮料、榨菜等板块或龙头也进入向上周期，未来 1-2 年有望盈利上修。 最新观点 核心公司跟踪：金徽酒控股股东增持，中炬高新股东权益变动。 金徽酒： 控股股东亚特集团增持公司股份，增持资金总额不低于人民币 5,000 万元，不超过人民币 10,000 万元。 伊力特： 刘新宇先生因达到法定退休年龄，特向公司董事会提出辞去董事、副总经理以及董事会下设战略委员会、薪酬与考核委员会委员职务。 洽洽食品： 拟回购部分股份，用于股权激励计划或员工持股计划，回购的资金总额不低于人民币 4,000 万元（含），且不超过人民币 8,000 万元（含），回购股份约占公司总 股本为 0.17% — 0.33% 。 中炬高新： 持股 ...