有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/11/21 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/11/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 86425 10740 8.02 三月 86100 10759 8.03 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.08 -503.28 现货出口 21.23 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/11/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22420 3125 7.17 三月 22405 2990 5.77 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.51 -4165.28 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/11/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 21570 2781 7.75 三月 21555 2812 7.68 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.35 -1645.40 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/11/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 119950 14384 8.34 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.18 -1472.02 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/11/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 17100 1986 8.62 三月 17235 2015 11.12 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.73 -21 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The report presents the cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data of various non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin) on July 28, 2025, including domestic and LME prices, price ratios, spreads, and theoretical spreads [1][3][4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Domestic spot price is 79400, LME spot price is 9786, spot price ratio is 8.17, and spot import profit is - 722.84 [1] - **Zinc**: Domestic spot price is 22750, LME spot price is 2838, spot price ratio is 8.02, and spot import profit is - 1763.87 [1] - **Aluminum**: Domestic spot price is 20780, LME spot price is 2649, spot price ratio is 7.84, and spot import profit is - 1734.41 [1] - **Nickel**: Domestic spot price is 122700, LME spot price is 15340, spot price ratio is 8.00, and spot import profit is - 1990.99 [1] - **Lead**: Domestic spot price is 16725, LME spot price is 2007, spot price ratio is 8.35, and spot import profit is - 974.42 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the second - month, third - month, fourth - month, and fifth - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are - 580, - 540, - 590, and - 660 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 501, 900, 1308, and 1717 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads of the second - month, third - month, fourth - month, and fifth - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are - 80, - 90, - 130, and - 170 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 218, 342, 465, and 589 [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads of the second - month, third - month, fourth - month, and fifth - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are - 25, - 60, - 125, and - 180 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 215, 331, 447, and 563 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads of the second - month, third - month, fourth - month, and fifth - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 70, 110, 100, and 170 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 209, 315, 420, and 526 [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads of the second - month, third - month, fourth - month, and fifth - month contracts relative to the spot - month contract are 200, 330, 500, and 750 respectively [4] - **Tin**: The spread of the 5 - 1 contract is - 350, and the theoretical spread is 5622 [4] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for the Shanghai (three - continuous) contracts are 3.47, 3.83, 4.67, 0.91, 1.22, and 0.74 respectively; for the London (three - continuous) contracts, they are 3.46, 3.71, 4.85, 0.93, 1.31, and 0.71 respectively [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on July 1, 2025. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On July 1, 2025, the domestic spot price was 79,990, the LME price was 10,059, and the ratio was 7.97; the three - month price was 79,680, the LME price was 9,878, and the ratio was 8.07. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.13, with a loss of 1,666.99, and a profit of 1,406.63 for spot export [1]. - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,500, the LME price was 2,770, and the ratio was 8.12; the three - month price was 22,445, the LME price was 2,780, and the ratio was 6.17. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.64, with a loss of 1,440.41 [1]. - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 20,780, the LME price was 2,598, and the ratio was 8.00; the three - month price was 20,495, the LME price was 2,599, and the ratio was 7.90. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.54, with a loss of 1,404.94 [1]. - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 119,900, the LME price was 15,025, and the ratio was 7.98. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.23, with a loss of 2,486.93 [1]. - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,925, the LME price was 2,021, and the ratio was 8.39; the three - month price was 17,225, the LME price was 2,049, and the ratio was 10.94. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.82, with a loss of 875.89 [2]. Cross - period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were - 210, - 400, - 640, and - 870 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 502, 903, 1312, and 1722 [3]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were 5, - 45, - 100, and - 155, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 337, 458, and 580 [3]. - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 200, - 285, - 385, and - 490, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 331, 447, and 563 [3]. - **Lead**: The spreads were 125, 150, 130, and 120, and the theoretical spreads were 210, 317, 423, and 530 [3]. - **Nickel**: The spreads were 510, 590, 730, and 850 [3]. - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 1410, and the theoretical spread was 5538 [3]. Spot - futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were 105 and - 105, and the theoretical spreads were 301 and 714 [3]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 10 and - 5, and the theoretical spreads were 130 and 261 [3]. - **Lead**: The spreads were 150 and 275, and the theoretical spreads were 151 and 264 [4]. Cross - variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous) were 3.55, 3.89, 4.63, 0.91, 1.19, and 0.77 respectively; for LME (three - continuous), they were 3.59, 3.80, 4.83, 0.94, 1.27, and 0.74 [4].

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/28 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/28 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78440 9617 8.15 三月 77660 9577 8.18 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.23 -822.25 现货出口 67.80 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/28 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22720 2671 8.51 三月 22155 2692 6.24 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.73 -598.42 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/28 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20200 2445 8.26 三月 19975 2446 8.18 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.69 -1042.43 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/28 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 123400 15305 8.06 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.28 -4225.15 跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/28 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -370 -610 -880 -1100 理论价差 493 885 1285 1685 锌 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Report's Core View - The report provides cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on May 9, 2025 [1][4][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 9, 2025, the domestic spot price was 78,450, the LME price was 9,409, and the ratio was 8.33. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.29, with a profit of - 252.05. The profit for spot export was - 332.50. The ratio for the three - month contract was 8.30 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,850, the LME price was 2,569, and the ratio was 8.90. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.78, with a profit of 308.41. The ratio for the three - month contract was 6.45 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 19,620, the LME price was 2,376, and the ratio was 8.26. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.78, with a profit of - 1,237.36. The ratio for the three - month contract was 8.22 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 125,000, the LME price was 15,323, and the ratio was 8.16. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.33, with a profit of - 4,119.54 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,700, the LME price was 1,934, and the ratio was 8.60. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.98, with a profit of - 745.16. The ratio for the three - month contract was 11.50 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 9, 2025, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 830, - 1,380, - 1,830, and - 2,240 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 493, 884, 1,283, and 1,683 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 500, - 755, - 915, and - 1,000 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 216, 339, 461, and 584 respectively [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 70, - 170, - 230, and - 235 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 209, 319, 429, and 539 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 125, 135, 115, and 110 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 208, 313, 417, and 521 respectively [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were - 610, - 410, - 210, and 20 respectively [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 50, and the theoretical spread was 5,415 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were - 260 and - 1,090 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 126 and 439 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 175 and - 675 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were - 2 and 131 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were - 50 and 75 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 91 and 203 respectively [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On May 9, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for the Shanghai (three - continuous) contracts were 3.50, 3.96, 4.57, 0.89, 1.16, and 0.77 respectively. The ratios for the LME (three - continuous) contracts were 3.60, 3.91, 4.85, 0.92, 1.24, and 0.74 respectively [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on May 8, 2025 [1][4][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 8, 2025, the domestic spot price was 78,575, LME price was 9,498, and the ratio was 8.23; the three - month domestic price was 77,410, LME price was 9,477, and the ratio was 8.22. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.27, with a profit of 52.52, and the profit for spot export was - 1.20 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,840, LME price was 2,582, and the ratio was 8.85; the three - month domestic price was 21,955, LME price was 2,619, and the ratio was 6.36. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.75, with a profit of 236.34 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 19,620, LME price was 2,369, and the ratio was 8.27; the three - month domestic price was 19,400, LME price was 2,398, and the ratio was 8.16. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.76, with a profit of - 1153.53 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 125,650, LME price was 15,479, and the ratio was 8.12. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.31, with a profit of - 3755.62 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,600, LME price was 1,907, and the ratio was 8.68; the three - month domestic price was 16,690, LME price was 1,924, and the ratio was 11.57. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.97, with a profit of - 562.77 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads for the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month were - 120, - 500, - 860, and - 1170 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 492, 881, 1280, and 1678 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 555, - 810, - 965, and - 1040, and the theoretical spreads were 217, 340, 462, and 585 [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 460, - 525, - 565, and - 585, and the theoretical spreads were 211, 322, 434, and 546 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 80, 70, 65, and 50, and the theoretical spreads were 208, 312, 416, and 520 [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were 0, 200, 390, and 530 [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 320, and the theoretical spread was 5421 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads for the current - month and next - month contracts relative to the spot were - 665 and - 785, and the theoretical spreads were 86 and 503 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 75 and - 630, and the theoretical spreads were 9 and 142 (also mentioned as 146 and 197) [4][5] - **Lead**: The spreads were 20 and 100, and the theoretical spreads were 105 and 216 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On May 8, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous) were 3.53, 3.99, 4.64, 0.88, 1.16, and 0.76 respectively; for LME (three - continuous) were 3.60, 3.95, 4.81, 0.91, 1.22, and 0.75 [5]