Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37% to close at 3897.03 points, with a weekly high of 3936.58 points. In contrast, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.26% to 13355.42 points, reaching a high of 13806.69 points. The ChiNext Index experienced a decline of 3.86%, closing at 3113.26 points, with a peak of 3322.44 points. Globally, major indices mostly declined, with the Nasdaq down 2.53%, the Dow Jones down 2.73%, and the S&P 500 down 2.43%. In the Asia-Pacific region, the Hang Seng Index fell by 3.13%, while the Nikkei 225 rose by 5.07% [1]. ETF Market Performance 1. Overall Performance - The median weekly return for stock ETFs was -0.84%. Among different categories, the highest weekly return was from the Penghua CSI 800 Free Cash Flow ETF at 2.42%, followed by the Wanji CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme ETF at 6.21% [2]. 2. Top and Bottom Performers - The top five performing stock ETFs were: - Wanji CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme ETF (6.21%) - Huabao CSI Nonferrous Metals ETF (5.27%) - Huaxia CSI Subdivision Nonferrous Metals Theme ETF (5.05%) - Yinhua CSI Nonferrous Metals ETF (4.84%) - Penghua Guozheng Nonferrous Metals Industry ETF (4.82%) [5][6] - The bottom five performing stock ETFs were: - Jiashi CSI Battery Theme ETF (-6.88%) - Huitianfu CSI Battery Theme ETF (-6.88%) - Fuguo CSI Battery Theme ETF (-6.8%) - Zhaoshang CSI Battery Theme ETF (-6.7%) - Huaxia CSI Animation Game ETF (-6.1%) [5][6] 3. Liquidity - The average daily trading volume of stock ETFs increased by 14.3%, with a 48.1% rise in average daily trading volume and a 0.71% increase in turnover rate [7]. 4. Fund Flows - The top five stock ETFs by fund inflow were: - Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (inflow of 3.295 billion) - Jiashi Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip ETF (inflow of 2.748 billion) - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (inflow of 1.587 billion) - Yifangda Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (inflow of 1.226 billion) - Southern CSI Shenwan Nonferrous Metals ETF (inflow of 1.208 billion) [9][10] - The top five stock ETFs by fund outflow were: - Southern CSI 1000 ETF (outflow of 666 million) - Fuguo CSI A500 ETF (outflow of 575 million) - Southern CSI A500 ETF (outflow of 525 million) - Guangfa CSI A500 ETF (outflow of 305 million) - Yifangda CSI 300 ETF Initiated (outflow of 260 million) [9][10] Financing and Margin Trading - The financing balance for stock ETFs increased from 44.345 billion to 47.3024 billion, while the margin balance rose from 2.3399 billion shares to 2.3575 billion shares. The highest financing buy amount was for the Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF, totaling 1.228 billion [12]. Market Size - The total number of ETFs in the market was 1317, with 1042 stock ETFs, 53 bond ETFs, 27 money market ETFs, 17 commodity ETFs, and 178 cross-border ETFs. The total market size for ETFs reached 5613.153 billion, a decrease of 12.221 billion from the previous week [13][15]. Institutional Insights 1. Investment Opportunities in Nonferrous Metals - CITIC Securities suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the nonferrous metals sector, noting that precious metals like gold saw significant gains during the recent holiday. Supply shortages and the logic of computational revolution have led to a noticeable increase in copper prices [17]. 2. Copper Price Trends - Huatai Securities indicates that frequent disturbances in copper mines since 2025 have had limited short-term supply impacts. The expected reduction in supply from the Grasberg mine in Q4 2025 could significantly improve the copper supply-demand balance, potentially leading to a price rally [18].

Core Viewpoint - International spot gold prices surged past $4000 per ounce, reaching a historic high, driven by factors such as the U.S. government shutdown, political uncertainty in Japan, expectations of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and ongoing global central bank gold purchases [1] Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - International futures gold prices also hit the $4000 per ounce mark, indicating strong market momentum [1] - Domestic gold jewelry brands in China reported record high prices, with brands like Lao Miao, Lao Feng Xiang, and Chow Sang Sang reaching prices of 1160 RMB, 1165 RMB, and 1162 RMB per gram respectively [1] Group 2: Influencing Factors - The U.S. government shutdown has raised concerns about the credibility of the dollar and U.S. sovereign debt, leading to increased investor interest in precious metals and Bitcoin [1] - Expectations of future interest rate cuts and recession fears have further fueled demand for gold and silver [1] - A supply shortage and advancements in computational power have contributed to a notable increase in copper prices, suggesting investment opportunities in the metals sector [1]