末日轮行情
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金价再创历史新高,期权市场“末日轮”行情引关注,分析师警告风险
news flash· 2025-04-22 22:51
22日,沪金2505期权合约上演了一场"末日轮"行情,行权价888元/克的认购合约单日最高暴涨9800%, 收盘涨幅达到4200%。此外,多张深度虚值认购合约价格暴涨。国信期货首席分析师顾冯达表示,要警 惕"末日轮"狂欢背后的炒作之风。以沪金2505购888合约为例,截至4月22日下午收盘,期货价格距行权 价尚有超过50元的鸿沟。历史数据显示,"末日轮"胜率不足5%,超过97%的虚值期权最终价值归零。 当前黄金期权隐含波动率飙升至37%,较历史均值溢价62%。参照2024年科创50期权暴跌案例,一旦地 缘风险缓和,波动率单日回落20%即可引发价格腰斩。 ...
最大涨幅9800%!金价狂飙,引发期权市场“末日轮”行情,沪金期权多张合约大涨
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-04-22 12:39
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have shown strong performance, recently breaking through the $3400 and $3500 thresholds, with COMEX gold futures reaching $3476.1 per ounce and spot gold hitting a historical high of $3500.120 per ounce [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Performance - As of April 22, COMEX gold futures reported a price of $3476.1 per ounce, with a daily increase of 1.48% and a peak of $3509.9 per ounce [1]. - Spot gold in London was priced at $3457.960 per ounce, rising 1.00% during the day and reaching a high of $3500.120 per ounce [1]. - The "doomsday wheel" phenomenon in the options market has emerged, characterized by significant price fluctuations leading to extraordinary returns on options contracts [1]. Group 2: Options Market Activity - Several deep out-of-the-money call options for Shanghai gold surged dramatically, with the maximum increase for the Shanghai gold 2505 call option 888 reaching 9800%, closing up 4200% [1]. - Other notable increases included the Shanghai gold 2505 call option 896, which rose 7000% to close up 2700%, and the 2505 call option 904, which increased 5500% to close up 2400% [1]. Group 3: Stock Market Reaction - On April 22, gold-related stocks experienced significant gains, with companies such as Baoding Technology (002552.SZ) and Dongjiang Environmental (002672.SZ) hitting the daily limit, while Mingpai Jewelry (603179.SH) and Sichuan Gold (001337.SZ) rose over 5% [3][4]. - The stock prices and percentage increases for notable gold-related companies included Baoding Technology at 15.02 yuan (+10.04%), Dongjiang Environmental at 4.28 yuan (+10.03%), and Sichuan Gold at 28.56 yuan (+6.09%) [4]. Group 4: Futures Market Highlights - The Shanghai gold futures market saw the main contract 2506 reach a maximum price of 836.3 yuan per gram, with a daily increase of 4.13%, making it the most watched futures product of the day [5][6]. - The 2506 contract attracted a capital inflow of 2.775 billion yuan on the same day [5].