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和讯投顾刘昌松:A股大幅缩量资金在担心什么?银行保险酿酒逆势上涨
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 10:10
从盘面来看,今天收盘3359点,尾盘指数和个股基本处于横盘状态。今天有19家个股跌停,3600多家个 股下跌,虽然比昨天稍好,但整体结构仍不乐观。需要注意的是,30分钟级别是否会出现底背离,双晶 的震荡情况还需看周末的消息面。因为有两天时间,很多资金对消息面仍有所担忧,保持防守态势。 从结构走势来看,日线级别双死叉在5000均线之下,需要关注下方M头颈线位的分歧,也就是60天均线 附近的分歧。今天有些板块表现尚可,但整体节奏较快,不好把握,因为目前市场仍处于左侧阶段。从 120分钟级别来看,120分钟级别指标有所修复,但在颈线位附近,30分钟级别可能会出现一个分歧结 构。 再看深证成指,下跌0.47%,距离M头颈线位非常近,下周需关注该位置的分歧。科创50指数相对较 弱,破了昨天的低点;创业板指数也破了昨天的低点;深圳成指今天收盘也破了前期低点。只有沪指今 天没有破昨天的低点。大部分指数仍在创新低,日线级别走势较弱。只有上证指数没有创新低,但在这 个位置需要等待高点和低点上移,才有可能出现变盘信号。 近期如果在调整结构中抓反抽,难度相对较大,对于普通投资者来说操作难度较高。因此,我认为还是 谨慎一些为好。 ( ...
和讯投顾刘昌松:3388点收盘怎么看?缩量分化操作难度大
He Xun Wang· 2025-06-18 08:57
今天虽然也破了,但是收盘是收在20天均线之上的。从技术面来看,呢啊日线级别依然是联合状态,有 双死叉的形态,那这个地方可以判定是双死叉,那从120分钟级别来看,120分钟级别指标在50附近,还 没有修复到20。注意啊120分钟级别指标修复的20附近,可能会有个超短的啊30分钟级别的反弹反抽啊 到时候再看,这是上证指数上证指数收涨0.04%,收报3388点。我今天下午的时候,我说收盘看一下。 3388。想不到。真的在3388。那深证成指涨0.24%,注意一下,深证成指也在多周期均线附近,量能也 是没有5天没有时间酝酿。那么今天呢创业板指数红,科创50指数红,但是所有指数虽然是红的,但是 量其实并不够,所以这地方需要补量,啊如果不补量,指数真的是要顶的话,也能挣,但是赚钱效应好 不好?就不清楚了。所以近期你要选对方向,其实调整结构当中也不是说不能做波段,但是对于普通投 资者来说,能不能把握? 3388点收盘,还刚好收在5天均线之下,控盘手法可以说是越来越精妙了。和讯投顾刘昌松分析,近两 天如果纯看指数是很容易吃亏的。为什么这么说?呢因为近两天的指数确实稳,但操作难度也确实大。 对于普通投资者来说,这样的盘面不做手 ...
投顾观市:再涨一天,新一轮行情来了?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 06:24
接下来,回到A股市场,彭根注意到,近期A股的日线级别已经显现出多头的特征,上周四出现了一根 实体大阳线,随后周五出现了下跌,但在本周的第一个交易日,即周二,又出现了阳线反包,形成 了"两阳夹一阴"的形态,这本身就是一种多头趋势的体现。在"两阳夹一阴"的基础上,昨天又出现了阳 线,这进一步证明了多头趋势得到了市场的确认,从最近几个交易日的走势来看,多头正在逐渐走强并 占据优势。 (原标题:投顾观市:再涨一天,新一轮行情来了?) 6月5日,投顾彭根在今日市场分析中指出,昨晚美股三大指数呈现涨跌不一的态势,其中纳斯达克指数 上涨0.32%,而道琼斯指数下跌0.22%。从对纳斯达克指数的观察来看,该指数目前正处于上涨的第五 浪过程中,其第5浪的目标位是回到历史前期高点附近,因此从目前来看,距离历史前期高点仍有一定 的上行空间。 那么,今天的关键关注点就在于,市场在连续上涨两天之后,这种多头趋势能否再延续一天。如果市场 短线能够走出三连阳的走势,例如今天再上涨一天,那么上涨趋势将得到进一步确认。同时,五日线与 十日均线在之前出现了死叉,但如果今天再上涨一天,短线将会再次形成金叉状态。此外,MACD指标 在这个位置也将在 ...
【帮主小课堂】MACD怎么看?3分钟搞懂趋势探测器!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 06:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator, describing it as a "trend detector" in the stock market that helps investors understand price movements and market sentiment. Group 1: MACD Overview - MACD consists of two lines (DIFF and DEA) and a histogram (energy bars), which visually represent market trends and momentum [3]. - The white line (DIFF) is the fast line, while the yellow line (DEA) is the slow line, with red and green bars indicating bullish and bearish momentum respectively [3]. Group 2: Practical Techniques - **Golden Cross and Death Cross**: A golden cross occurs when the DIFF line crosses above the DEA line, signaling a potential buying opportunity, while a death cross indicates a selling signal when the DIFF crosses below the DEA [4]. - **Energy Bars**: The appearance of red bars indicates bullish strength, while green bars suggest bearish pressure. The length of these bars reflects the intensity of the market movement [4]. - **Divergence**: A top divergence occurs when the stock price reaches a new high but the MACD does not, indicating potential weakness. Conversely, a bottom divergence suggests a possible reversal when the stock price hits a new low but the MACD does not [4]. Group 3: Practical Considerations - MACD is best suited for analyzing medium-term trends, such as 30-minute or daily charts, while it may be too sensitive for short-term analysis [5]. - In a volatile market, relying solely on MACD can be misleading; it is advisable to combine it with other indicators like moving averages for better accuracy [5]. - It is crucial to consider volume alongside MACD signals to avoid false indicators, as a lack of volume during a golden cross may suggest a weak signal [5].
投顾观市:市场回调在即,警惕高标垃圾股
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 11:13
Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a downward trend, with major indices showing weakness and individual stocks facing significant declines [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a low performance, with a minimum intraday point of 3376, aligning with the 5-day moving average at the close [1]. - The Shenzhen market declined by 0.72%, closing near the 5-day moving average, indicating a potential breach if the market opens flat tomorrow [2]. - The ChiNext Index fell by 0.96%, facing pressure from the 6-day moving average, with the STAR 50 showing relatively weak performance [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The trading volume decreased to 1.14 trillion yuan, significantly lower than the previous trading day, indicating insufficient market momentum [1]. - There is a technical demand for the market to test the 60-day moving average, especially if the daily indicators show a MACD and KDJ double death cross [1]. - The Shenzhen market has a foundational demand for a 60-minute double death cross, necessitating a wait for the 60-minute indicators to recover [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to be cautious of high-flying junk stocks, as significant adjustments could occur, leading to substantial losses [2]. - A potential trading opportunity may arise only after the daily indicators recover, suggesting a need for a more favorable market condition before considering a wave trading strategy [2].