澳元兑美元向上试探云顶（0.6512）的走势多次被日图kijun-sen（基准线，0.6522）压制，这导致价格 下探云底（0.6474，同时也是0.6419至0.6568上涨波段的斐波那契61.8%回撤位），截至目前该位置仍抑 制着下行势头。只要价格维持在云层区间内，预计不会出现明确的方向信号，但日图上不断增强的正面 动能、即将从超卖区域走出的随机指标，以及趋于收敛的日图tenkan-sen（转换线）与kijun-sen（基准 线）试图形成金叉，都指向略微偏向多头的排列。多头情景为突破云顶和基准线，这将为冲击0.6568 （8月14日高点）打开空间，并可能进一步触及2025年高点（7月24日创下的0.6625）。相反，若持续跌 破云底，将下探0.6450（100日均线）和0.6419（8月1日低点）等支撑位。 周二（8月26日）亚市早盘，澳元兑美元下跌，目前交投于0.64附近，截止北京时间11:20分，澳元/美元 报价0.6474，下跌0.06%，上一交易日澳元/美元收盘报0.6478。市场预期澳大利亚央行可能在11月开启 宽松周期，并可能采取高达50个基点的降息，反映出对本国经济增长动能放缓的持续担忧。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are influenced by market expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy, with a strong performance in China's July services PMI contributing to overall risk sentiment [1] - The market anticipates a 90% probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, supported by weak U.S. labor market data and dovish comments from officials [1] - Trade tensions are escalating as U.S. President Trump threatens to raise import tariffs on Indian goods due to India's purchase of Russian oil, which India has dismissed as baseless [1] Group 2 - Analyst Felix suggests that gold price movements will depend on the upcoming U.S. July ISM services PMI data, which is expected to rise from 50.8 in June to 51.5 [2] - A strong ISM reading could alleviate dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve, potentially leading to a rebound in the dollar and a short-term correction in gold prices [2] - Conversely, a slowdown in service activity may heighten concerns about U.S. economic resilience, weakening the dollar and supporting gold prices [2] Group 3 - Analyst Chad notes that the technical outlook for gold remains bullish, with the RSI above 55 indicating potential buying interest on any dips [3] - A "golden cross" may occur if the 21-day moving average crosses above the 50-day moving average, confirming bullish signals [3] - For gold bulls to maintain momentum, the daily closing price must stay above the rising trend line support at $3,380, with a challenge to the $3,400 level possible [3] Group 4 - The daily chart for gold (XAUUSD) shows a bullish bias, with resistance levels at $3,381 and $3,396, while support levels are at $3,367 and $3,342 [4] - The momentum is strong, with a quantitative reference value greater than 67.1% over a three-year period [4] Group 5 - The daily chart for EUR/USD also indicates a bullish direction, with resistance at 1.1590 and support at 1.1558 [5] - The momentum is moderate, with a quantitative reference value greater than 67.1% over a three-year period [5] Group 6 - Key economic indicators to watch include the Eurozone's June retail sales month-on-month data and the U.S. global supply chain pressure index for July, along with EIA crude oil inventory data [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the KDJ indicator as a tool for identifying turning points in the stock market, likening it to a "speed sensor" for stock prices, helping investors understand whether the market is accelerating towards a peak or preparing for a rebound [1]. Group 1: KDJ Indicator Overview - KDJ consists of three lines: K (short-term speed), D (medium-term speed), and J (extreme speed), which together monitor stock price momentum [3]. - The combination of these three lines is essential for identifying market turning points [3]. Group 2: Practical Application of KDJ - **Golden Cross and Death Cross**: A golden cross occurs when the K line crosses above the D line, signaling a potential upward movement, while a death cross occurs when the K line crosses below the D line, indicating a possible downward correction. For example, a tech stock saw its price rise from 15 to 30 after a golden cross, then drop back to 20 following a death cross [4]. - **Overbought and Oversold Conditions**: The J line indicates extreme conditions; a J value above 100 signals overbought conditions, while below 0 indicates oversold conditions. For instance, a liquor stock had a J value of 120 before a 15% correction, and a J value of -10 before an 8% rebound [5]. - **Divergence**: A top divergence occurs when the stock price reaches a new high but the KDJ does not, suggesting potential selling pressure. Conversely, a bottom divergence indicates a possible reversal when the stock price hits a new low but the KDJ does not [8]. Group 3: Trading Strategies and Tips - KDJ is best used for short-term fluctuations, particularly in a sideways market, where its signals are more reliable [8]. - In a strong trend, KDJ may remain in overbought or oversold territory, and traders should consider volume and market conditions before making decisions [8]. - A mnemonic for using KDJ effectively is: "Golden cross looks at volume, death cross looks at support, avoid hard resistance in overbought/oversold conditions, and turn quickly when divergence appears" [8].

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have shown a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3320 per ounce, the highest since May 9 [1][3]. Market Analysis - The Trump administration is pushing for a comprehensive tax reduction plan worth trillions, but there are significant divisions within the Republican Party [3]. - Gold prices have initially broken through the psychological barrier of $3300, with a bullish "golden cross" pattern observed technically [3]. - Short-term resistance for gold is at $3370, while solid support is established at $3150. Geopolitical or economic changes could push gold prices to challenge the $3400 mark [3]. Trading Strategy - The current upward trend from a low of $3120 to recent lows indicates a potential for further gains, with a focus on maintaining positions above $3285 [5]. - The trading strategy suggests entering long positions around $3305 to $3310, targeting a return to the $3320 high, with further potential towards $3360 if broken [5].