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燃料油早报-20250627
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-27 02:17
Report Summary 1. Core Viewpoint - This week, the high - sulfur cracking was volatile, with crude oil rising significantly. High - sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in oil product profits. The 380 - cst monthly spread was volatile, at $7.5 for the 8 - 9 month spread, and the basis was also volatile. The domestic and foreign spreads of FU showed differentiation between near and far months. The 07 contract dropped to around -$7 (with expected large delivery volume), and the 09 contract fluctuated around $8. The 0.5 - cst cracking in Singapore declined, and the monthly spread was volatile. This week, Singapore's land inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage increased, low - sulfur floating storage increased, ARA's inventory decreased, floating storage inventory was volatile, and the US inventory decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month - on - month, being moderately high compared to the same period, while Russia's shipments were neutral. Iran and Iraq accounted for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high - sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia - Pacific region and not eligible for physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future due to US sanctions, and if the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact will be greater. Recently, high - sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power - generation season, with the overseas market operating strongly. The domestic and foreign near - month contracts of FU are under pressure, with low valuation and continued gaming. For far - month contracts, attention should be paid to the impact of supply disruptions. The domestic and foreign valuations of LU are high [6][7]. 2. Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF Swap M1 | -0.89 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLSFO Swap M1 | 5.33 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -0.75 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 7.43 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -2.10 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 0.92 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 6.22 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 2.38 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 2.16 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | -3.21 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | -0.81 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | 0.89 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | 2.78 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 3.56 | | FOB VLSFO | -4.12 | | 380 - cst Basis | 2.60 | | High - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | -1.3 | | Low - sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | -6.1 | [5] Domestic FU and LU Contract Data | Contract | Change from 2025/06/20 - 2025/06/26 | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | -11 | | FU 05 | -2 | | FU 09 | 4 | | FU 01 - 05 | -9 | | FU 05 - 09 | -6 | | FU 09 - 01 | 15 | | LU 01 | -9 | | LU 05 | 0 | | LU 09 | -16 | | LU 01 - 05 | -9 | | LU 05 - 09 | 16 | | LU 09 - 01 | -7 | [5][6]
燃料油早报-20250626
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 06:05
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur crack spread fluctuated, with crude oil prices rising significantly. High-sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in terms of oil product profits. The 380-month spread fluctuated, with the August - September spread at $7.5, and the basis also fluctuated. The domestic FU showed a differentiation between near and far months, with the July contract dropping to around -$7 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the September contract fluctuating at around $8. The 0.5 crack spread in Singapore declined, and the month spread fluctuated. This week, onshore inventories in Singapore decreased, high-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, low-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, ARA inventories decreased, floating storage inventories fluctuated, and US inventories decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month-on-month, remaining at a moderately high level compared to the same period, while Russia's shipments were neutral. Iran and Iraq account for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high-sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia-Pacific region and cannot be used for physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact magnitude will increase. Recently, high-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power generation season, with the overseas market performing strongly. The domestic FU near-month contracts are under pressure, with relatively low valuations, and the market game continues. For the far-month contracts, attention should be paid to the impact of supply disruptions. The domestic and overseas valuations of LU are relatively high. [4][5] Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From June 19 to June 25, 2025, the prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1, and other related products changed. For example, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 decreased from $481.08 to $414.85, with a change of $1.34. [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - During the same period, the prices of Singapore 380cst M1, Singapore 180cst M1, and other related products also changed. For instance, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased from $480.47 to $420.87, with a change of -$7.03. [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From June 19 to June 25, 2025, the FOB prices of Singapore 380cst and FOB VLSFO changed. The FOB 380cst price decreased from $485.32 to $424.16, with a change of -$7.46. [3] Domestic FU Data - The prices of domestic FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 contracts changed. For example, the FU 01 contract price decreased from 3154 to 2874, with a change of -21. [3] Domestic LU Data - The prices of domestic LU 01, LU 05, and LU 09 contracts changed. The LU 01 contract price increased from 3787 to 3508, with a change of 8. [4]
燃料油早报-20250625
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 02:20
Report Information - Report Date: June 25, 2025 [1] - Report Team: Research Center's Energy and Chemicals Team [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur crack spread fluctuated, crude oil prices rose significantly, and high-sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in terms of oil product profits. The 380-month spread fluctuated, with the August - September spread at $7.5, and the basis also fluctuated. The domestic and overseas spreads of FU showed differentiation between near and far months, with the July contract dropping to around -$7 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the September contract fluctuating around $8. The 0.5 crack spread in Singapore declined, and the month spread fluctuated. [4][5] - This week, land-based inventories in Singapore decreased, high-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, low-sulfur floating storage inventories increased, ARA inventories decreased, floating storage inventories fluctuated, and US inventories decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month-on-month, and were moderately high compared to the same period. Russia's shipments were at a moderate level. Iran and Iraq account for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high-sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunker fueling and refinery feedstock in the Asia-Pacific region, and cannot be used for physical delivery in the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipment volume will decline in the future, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact will be greater. [5] - Recently, high-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power generation season, the overseas market is running strongly, the domestic and overseas near-month spreads of FU are under pressure, the valuation is low, and the game continues. For the far-month contracts, attention should be paid to the impact of supply disruptions. The domestic and overseas valuations of LU are high. [5] Data Summary Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 457.84 | 481.08 | 464.95 | 460.60 | 413.51 | -47.09 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 497.59 | 517.59 | 508.06 | 509.41 | 466.22 | -43.19 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -1.57 | -1.07 | -1.73 | -2.41 | -1.97 | 0.44 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 707.10 | 764.51 | 728.36 | 713.74 | 642.12 | -71.62 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -209.51 | -246.92 | -220.30 | -204.33 | -175.90 | 28.43 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 19.64 | 24.87 | 22.22 | 26.31 | 21.22 | -5.09 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 39.75 | 36.51 | 43.11 | 48.81 | 52.71 | 3.90 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 478.90 | 480.47 | 478.09 | 471.10 | 427.90 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 484.42 | 487.41 | 487.09 | 481.07 | 436.97 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 538.95 | 542.99 | 544.13 | 540.67 | 501.16 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 93.34 | 96.69 | 96.50 | 93.65 | 85.76 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | 0.93 | 0.26 | -0.27 | -0.98 | -0.54 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -151.77 | -172.52 | -169.97 | -152.34 | -133.46 | [2] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 486.91 | 485.32 | 479.12 | 475.90 | 431.62 | -44.28 | | FOB VLSFO | 548.13 | 550.77 | 550.33 | 549.45 | 508.57 | -40.88 | | 380 Basis | 7.55 | 4.65 | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.75 | -0.90 | | High - Sulfur Domestic - Overseas Spread | 9.2 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 0.7 | | Low - Sulfur Domestic - Overseas Spread | 20.0 | 20.4 | 16.2 | 18.8 | 21.1 | 2.3 | [3] Domestic FU Futures Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 3119 | 3154 | 3152 | 3180 | 2895 | -285 | | FU 05 | 3044 | 3068 | 3079 | 3100 | 2850 | -250 | | FU 09 | 3333 | 3369 | 3363 | 3385 | 3065 | -320 | | FU 01 - 05 | 75 | 86 | 73 | 80 | 45 | -35 | | FU 05 - 09 | -289 | -301 | -284 | -285 | -215 | 70 | | FU 09 - 01 | 214 | 215 | 211 | 205 | 170 | -35 | [3] Domestic LU Futures Prices | Type | 2025/06/18 | 2025/06/19 | 2025/06/20 | 2025/06/23 | 2025/06/24 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3733 | 3787 | 3766 | 3815 | 3500 | -315 | | LU 05 | 3531 | 3674 | 3687 | 3701 | 3421 | -280 | | LU 09 | 3886 | 3948 | 3917 | 3968 | 3629 | -339 | | LU 01 - 05 | 202 | 113 | 79 | 114 | 79 | -35 | | LU 05 - 09 | -355 | -274 | -230 | -267 | -208 | 59 | | LU 09 - 01 | 153 | 161 | 151 | 153 | 129 | -24 | [4]
燃料油早报-20250624
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-24 02:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur crack spread fluctuated. Crude oil prices rose significantly. High - sulfur fuel oil with a large proportion of Iranian supply performed well in terms of oil product profits. The 380 - cst monthly spread fluctuated, with the 8 - 9 month spread at $7.5. The basis fluctuated, and there was a differentiation between the near and far months of the FU inside - outside market. The 07 contract dropped to around -$7 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the 09 contract fluctuated at $8. The 0.5 - cst crack spread in Singapore declined, and the monthly spread fluctuated [5]. - This week, Singapore's on - land inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage inventory increased, low - sulfur floating storage inventory increased, ARA's inventory decreased, floating storage inventory fluctuated, and the US inventory decreased. Saudi Arabia's shipments decreased month - on - month, and the shipments were moderately high compared to the same period. Russia's shipments were neutral. Iran and Iraq accounted for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high - sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia - Pacific region and not being able to participate in the physical delivery of the futures market. It is expected that Iran's future shipments will decline, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact scale will increase. Recently, high - sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power - generation season, the external market is running strongly, the near - month contracts of the FU inside - outside market are under pressure, the valuation is low, and the game continues. Attention should be paid to the impact of supply interruption on the far - month contracts, while the inside - outside valuation of the LU is high [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Item | Change | | --- | --- | | 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | -$4.35 | | 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | +$1.35 | | HSFO - Brent M1 | -$0.68 | | 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | -$14.62 | | VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | +$15.97 | | LGO - Brent M1 | +$4.09 | | VLSFO - HSFO M1 | +$5.70 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Item | Change | | --- | --- | | 380cst M1 | -$6.99 | | 180cst M1 | -$6.02 | | VLSFO M1 | -$3.46 | | Gasoil M1 | -$2.85 | | 380cst - Brent M1 | -$0.71 | | VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | +$17.63 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Item | Change | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | -$3.22 | | FOB VLSFO | -$0.88 | | 380 Basis | +$0.95 | | High - sulfur Inside - outside Spread | +$0.8 | | Low - sulfur Inside - outside Spread | +$2.6 | [4] Domestic FU Futures Data | Item | Change | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | +28 | | FU 05 | +21 | | FU 09 | +22 | | FU 01 - 05 | +7 | | FU 05 - 09 | -1 | | FU 09 - 01 | -6 | [4] Domestic LU Futures Data | Item | Change | | --- | --- | | LU 01 | +49 | | LU 05 | +14 | | LU 09 | +51 | | LU 01 - 05 | +35 | | LU 05 - 09 | -37 | | LU 09 - 01 | +2 | [5]
燃料油早报-20250620
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-20 02:22
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the high - sulfur cracking fluctuated, with crude oil rising significantly. High - sulfur fuel oil showed good performance in oil product profits due to a large proportion of Iranian supply. The 380 - month spread fluctuated, with a 7 - 8 - month spread of $11.5, and the basis strengthened. The domestic FU showed a differentiation between near and far months, with 07 dropping to around -$5 (it is expected that there will be a relatively large amount of delivery goods), and 09 fluctuating at $9. The Singapore 0.5 cracking declined, while the month - spread and basis strengthened. [5][6] - This week, Singapore's on - shore inventory continued to accumulate, high - sulfur floating storage accumulated, low - sulfur floating storage fluctuated at a low level, ARA slightly reduced inventory, floating storage inventory fluctuated, Fujairah's on - shore inventory accumulated, and floating storage significantly accumulated. Saudi Arabia's shipments increased significantly, while Russia's shipments decreased month - on - month. Iran and Iraq account for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high - sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia - Pacific region and cannot participate in physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future due to US sanctions, and if the risk events in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, the impact will be greater. [6] - Currently, high - sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power - generation season, suppressing the near - month contracts of domestic and foreign FU, with low valuation and continued gaming. In the future, attention should be paid to the shipping situation in the Middle East, and the significant downward driving force at home and abroad has decreased. The domestic LU production increased month - on - month. [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data - From June 13 to June 19, 2025, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased by $24.82, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased by $21.27, Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 increased by $0.57, Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 increased by $57.41, Rotterdam VLSFO - GO M1 decreased by $36.14, LGO - Brent M1 increased by $5.23, and Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 decreased by $3.55. [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data - During the same period, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 increased by $1.57, Singapore 180cst M1 increased by $2.99, Singapore VLSFO M1 increased by $4.04, Singapore GO M1 increased by $3.35, Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 decreased by $1.25, and Singapore VLSFO - GO M1 decreased by $20.75. [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data - From June 13 to June 19, 2025, the FOB 380cst price decreased by $1.59, FOB VLSFO increased by $2.64, the 380 - basis decreased by $2.90, the high - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference decreased by $1.7, and the low - sulfur domestic - foreign price difference increased by $0.4. [4] Domestic FU Data - During this period, FU 01 increased by 35, FU 05 increased by 24, FU 09 increased by 36, FU 01 - 05 increased by 11, FU 05 - 09 decreased by 12, and FU 09 - 01 increased by 1. [4] Domestic LU Data - From June 13 to June 19, 2025, LU 01 increased by 54, LU 05 increased by 143, LU 09 increased by 62, LU 01 - 05 decreased by 89, LU 05 - 09 increased by 81, and LU 09 - 01 increased by 8. [5]
燃料油早报-20250618
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 05:12
Report Overview - Report Date: June 18, 2025 [2] - Report Team: Research Center's Energy and Chemicals Team of ONGAN FUTURES [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This week, the high-sulfur cracking was volatile, with crude oil rising significantly. High-sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in oil product profits. The 380-month spread was volatile, with the 7 - 8 spread at $11.5, and the basis strengthened. The domestic FU showed a differentiation between near and far months, with the 07 contract falling to around -$5 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the 09 contract fluctuating at $9. The Singapore 0.5 cracking declined, the month spread strengthened month-on-month, and the basis strengthened [5]. - This week, Singapore's onshore inventory continued to accumulate, high-sulfur floating storage accumulated, low-sulfur floating storage oscillated at a low level, ARA slightly destocked, floating storage inventory oscillated, Fujairah's onshore inventory accumulated, floating storage significantly accumulated, Saudi Arabia's shipments increased significantly, and Russia's shipments decreased month-on-month. Iran and Iraq accounted for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high-sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia-Pacific region and not being eligible for physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future due to US sanctions. If the risk event in the Strait of Hormuz escalates, the impact will be greater. Recently, high-sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power generation season, suppressing the near-month contracts of domestic and international FU, with low valuation and continued gaming. In the future, attention should be paid to the shipping situation in the Middle East, and the large downward driving force for both domestic and international markets has decreased. The production of LU increased month-on-month [6]. Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data (M1) | Product | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | 2025/06/17 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3.5% HSF | 409.51 | 417.96 | 441.01 | 440.56 | 458.53 | 17.97 | | 0.5% VLS | 461.45 | 468.13 | 487.74 | 480.32 | 500.63 | 20.31 | | HSFO - Brent | -2.98 | -2.76 | -2.60 | -1.20 | -1.72 | -0.52 | | 10ppm Gasoil | 616.64 | 625.97 | 662.68 | 661.89 | 704.24 | 42.35 | | VLSFO - Gasoil | -155.19 | -157.84 | -174.94 | -181.57 | -203.61 | -22.04 | | LGO - Brent | 15.03 | 16.61 | 16.61 | 17.44 | 19.66 | 2.22 | | VLSFO - HSFO | 51.94 | 50.17 | 46.73 | 39.76 | 42.10 | 2.34 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data (M1) | Product | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 380cst | 415.25 | 429.92 | 459.79 | 470.69 | - | | 180cst | 422.25 | 437.61 | 467.24 | 477.81 | - | | VLSFO | 488.19 | 499.41 | 525.21 | 526.47 | - | | Gasoil | 81.81 | 83.98 | 87.92 | 89.80 | - | | 380cst - Brent | -0.88 | -0.39 | 0.21 | 1.75 | - | | VLSFO - Gasoil | -117.20 | -122.04 | -125.40 | -138.05 | - | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | 2025/06/17 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 435.55 | 448.16 | 471.75 | 484.57 | 485.00 | 0.43 | | FOB VLSFO | 499.42 | 511.48 | 534.27 | 536.09 | 539.02 | 2.93 | | 380 Basis | 12.95 | 10.25 | 7.80 | 10.40 | 8.03 | -2.37 | | High - Sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 6.8 | 6.2 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 10.5 | -0.5 | | Low - Sulfur Domestic - Foreign Spread | 17.6 | 17.1 | 20.3 | 18.7 | 18.6 | -0.1 | [4] Domestic FU Data | Product | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | 2025/06/17 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2780 | 2852 | 3048 | 3079 | 3028 | -51 | | FU 05 | 2727 | 2798 | 2986 | 3004 | 2964 | -40 | | FU 09 | 2912 | 2997 | 3205 | 3276 | 3247 | -29 | | FU 01 - 05 | 53 | 54 | 62 | 75 | 64 | -11 | | FU 05 - 09 | -185 | -199 | -219 | -272 | -283 | -11 | | FU 09 - 01 | 132 | 145 | 157 | 197 | 219 | 22 | [4] Domestic LU Data | Product | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | 2025/06/17 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3414 | 3496 | 3671 | 3695 | 3643 | -52 | | LU 05 | 3348 | 3461 | 3625 | 3620 | 3575 | -45 | | LU 09 | 3524 | 3609 | 3785 | 3829 | 3762 | -67 | | LU 01 - 05 | 66 | 35 | 46 | 75 | 68 | -7 | | LU 05 - 09 | -176 | -148 | -160 | -209 | -187 | 22 | | LU 09 - 01 | 110 | 113 | 114 | 134 | 119 | -15 | [5] Fuel Oil Morning Report Data (2025/06/17) | Product | Value | Change | | --- | --- | --- | | - | 475.20 | 4.51 | | - | 480.95 | 3.14 | | - | 530.09 | 3.62 | | - | 90.67 | 0.87 | | - | 2.10 | 0.35 | | - | -140.87 | -2.82 | [11]
永安期货燃料油早报-20250617
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-17 13:42
Group 1: Report Core View - This week, the high-sulfur crack fluctuated, with crude oil rising significantly. High-sulfur fuel oil, with a large proportion of Iranian supply, performed well in oil product profits. The 380-month spread fluctuated, at $11.5 in July - August, and the basis strengthened. The domestic and international near - and far - month spreads of FU were differentiated, with the 07 contract falling to around -$5 (it is expected that there will be a large amount of delivery goods), and the 09 contract fluctuating at $9. The 0.5 crack in Singapore declined, the month spread strengthened month - on - month, and the basis strengthened [6]. - This week, on - shore inventories in Singapore continued to accumulate, high - sulfur floating storage inventories accumulated, low - sulfur floating storage inventories fluctuated at a low level, ARA slightly destocked, floating storage inventories fluctuated, on - shore inventories in Fujairah accumulated, and floating storage inventories increased significantly. Saudi Arabia's shipments increased significantly, and Russia's shipments decreased month - on - month. Iran and Iraq account for about 15% - 20% of Singapore's high - sulfur imports, mainly affecting some bunkering and refinery feedstock in the Asia - Pacific region, and cannot participate in physical delivery on the futures market. It is expected that Iran's shipments will decline in the future, mainly due to the impact of US sanctions. If the risk event in the Strait of Hormuz escalates, the impact magnitude will increase [7]. - Recently, high - sulfur fuel oil is still in the peak power - generation season, the near - month spreads of domestic and international FU are suppressed, the valuation is low, and the game continues. In the future, attention should be paid to the shipping situation in the Middle East, and the downward driving force for domestic and international prices has decreased. The production of LU increased month - on - month [7]. Group 2: Fuel Oil Price Data Rotterdam Fuel Oil | Type | 2025/06/10 | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 | 407.23 | 409.51 | 417.96 | 441.01 | 448.31 | 7.30 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 | 457.96 | 461.45 | 468.13 | 487.74 | 489.27 | 1.53 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -2.96 | -2.98 | -2.76 | -2.60 | -1.35 | 1.25 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil swap M1 | 616.60 | 616.64 | 625.97 | 662.68 | 661.89 | -0.79 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -158.64 | -155.19 | -157.84 | -174.94 | -172.62 | 2.32 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 17.90 | 15.03 | 16.61 | 16.61 | 17.44 | 0.83 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 50.73 | 51.94 | 50.17 | 46.73 | 40.96 | -5.77 | [4] Singapore Fuel Oil | Type | 2025/06/10 | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 420.07 | 415.25 | 429.92 | 459.79 | 470.69 | 10.90 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 426.97 | 422.25 | 437.61 | 467.24 | 477.81 | 10.57 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 486.14 | 488.19 | 499.41 | 525.21 | 526.47 | 1.26 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 81.98 | 81.81 | 83.98 | 87.92 | 89.80 | 1.88 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -0.28 | -0.88 | -0.39 | 0.21 | 2.16 | 1.95 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -120.51 | -117.20 | -122.04 | -125.40 | -138.05 | -12.65 | [4] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot | Type | 2025/06/10 | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 441.10 | 435.55 | 448.16 | 471.75 | 484.57 | 12.82 | | FOB VLSFO | 496.78 | 499.42 | 511.48 | 534.27 | 536.09 | 1.82 | | 380 Basis | 12.25 | 12.95 | 10.25 | 7.80 | 10.40 | 2.60 | | High - sulfur Domestic - International Spread | 7.0 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 12.2 | 11.0 | -1.2 | | Low - sulfur Domestic - International Spread | 16.5 | 17.6 | 17.1 | 20.3 | 18.7 | -1.6 | [5] Domestic FU | Type | 2025/06/10 | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2780 | 2780 | 2852 | 3048 | 3079 | 31 | | FU 05 | 2717 | 2727 | 2798 | 2986 | 3004 | 18 | | FU 09 | 2924 | 2912 | 2997 | 3205 | 3276 | 71 | | FU 01 - 05 | 63 | 53 | 54 | 62 | 75 | 13 | | FU 05 - 09 | -207 | -185 | -199 | -219 | -272 | -53 | | FU 09 - 01 | 144 | 132 | 145 | 157 | 197 | 40 | [5] Domestic LU | Type | 2025/06/10 | 2025/06/11 | 2025/06/12 | 2025/06/13 | 2025/06/16 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3431 | 3414 | 3496 | 3671 | 3695 | 24 | | LU 05 | 3358 | 3348 | 3461 | 3625 | 3620 | -5 | | LU 09 | 3518 | 3524 | 3609 | 3785 | 3829 | 44 | | LU 01 - 05 | 73 | 66 | 35 | 46 | 75 | 29 | | LU 05 - 09 | -160 | -176 | -148 | -160 | -209 | -49 | | LU 09 - 01 | 87 | 110 | 113 | 114 | 134 | 20 | [6]