1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - With the significant increase in the return of risk assets, the vicious cycle of low returns and slow asset appreciation caused by the severe bias of residents' wealth allocation towards deposits and fixed - income in the past few years will be reversed. Residents' wealth allocation will enter a new cycle, with the proportion of equity assets rising continuously in the long term, which will become the underlying force for China's economic recovery and reshape the Chinese financial market [21]. - The PMI data in August showed some improvement but the amplitude was average. Production was resilient, but demand needed further observation. The macro - narrative presented positive changes, which still required actual data verification. The bond market was still slightly unfavorable until the end of October, with interest rates having an upper limit. It was recommended to defend and seize opportunities in fluctuations and over - adjustments, and look for counter - attack opportunities after the end of October [21]. - The adjustment space of the bond market is limited, and allocation opportunities should be observed. As the stock market valuation rises, the relative cost - effectiveness of stocks and bonds will gradually change. The current interest rate adjustment space is limited, and the upper limits of 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bonds are still around 1.75 - 1.8% and 2.05 - 2.1% respectively [22]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data Quick View - GDP growth rate in Q2 2025 was 5.2% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter but higher than the same period last year [1]. - In August 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, slightly higher than the previous month and the same period last year; the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.3%, slightly higher than the previous month and the same as the same period last year [1]. - In July 2025, the year - on - year growth rates of M0, M1, and M2 were 11.8%, 5.6%, and 8.8% respectively. The growth rate of M1 increased significantly compared with the previous month and the same period last year, while the growth rate of M0 decreased slightly [1]. - In July 2025, the CPI was flat year - on - year, and the PPI decreased by 3.6% year - on - year, the same as the previous month [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - The Implementation Plan for the Fiscal Interest Subsidy Policy for Personal Consumption Loans was officially implemented on September 1st, and some bank executives were optimistic about its impact. Credit card installment business was not within the scope of interest subsidy [2]. - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization member states issued a statement on strengthening digital economy development, planning to strengthen cooperation in digital economy development policies and new - generation communication technology [2]. 3.2.2 Metals - COMEX gold futures reached a new high of $3557.1 per ounce. The rise was driven by factors such as the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, geopolitical risks, weak dollar, and central banks' gold purchases [3]. - On September 1st, international silver prices soared, with the COMEX silver price reaching $41.64 per ounce and the London spot silver price reaching $40.754 per ounce, a 14 - year high. The rise was driven by supply - demand fundamentals, Fed rate - cut expectations, and risk - aversion needs [3]. - Tianqi Lithium completed the industrialization preparation for lithium sulfide, a core raw material for next - generation solid - state batteries, and started a 50 - ton pilot project [3][4]. - In August 2025, the average price of tungsten powder in the Yangtze River reached over 575,000 yuan per ton, with a significant monthly increase [4]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - As of mid - August, the price of rebar decreased by 0.2% month - on - month to 3261 yuan per ton, while the price of coke increased by 2.96% month - on - month to 1377.7 yuan per ton, a new high since mid - February [5]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - On September 1st, Syria's oil export and the suspension of oil sales to India tightened the crude oil supply, and the weak dollar supported oil prices. US sanctions on Brazil and Ukraine's attacks on Russia's energy facilities also affected the market [6][7][8]. - HSBC maintained the Q4 2025 Brent crude oil price at $65 per barrel, with risks from OECD inventory increases or OPEC+ production increases [7]. - In August, Russia's pipeline natural gas exports to Europe decreased by 2% month - on - month [7]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On September 1st, the central bank conducted 1827 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 1057 billion yuan [11]. 3.3.2 Key News - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit achieved multiple results, including signing the Tianjin Declaration and approving the 2026 - 2035 development strategy [12]. - By the end of July, the bond market custody balance exceeded 190 trillion yuan, indicating the optimization of the financing structure and the enhancement of the financial system's resilience [12]. - Multiple banks in Shanghai adjusted mortgage interest rates, no longer distinguishing between first - and second - home loans [13]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - In the bond market, spot bonds and futures warmed up, with most bond yields falling by about 1bp, and treasury bond futures rising [16]. - The central bank's reverse repurchase decreased and turned to net withdrawal, but the inter - bank funds were generally stable [16]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market Express - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.1332, down 2 points from the previous trading day, and the central parity rate was adjusted down by 42 points [20]. - The US dollar index fell 0.18%, and most non - US currencies rose [20]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Different institutions had different views on the bond market, including the long - term rise of equity asset allocation, the short - term unfavorable situation of the bond market, and limited adjustment space [21][22]. 3.4 Stock Market Key News - On Monday, the A - share market was strong, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.46%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising 1.05%, and the ChiNext Index rising 2.29%. The turnover was 2.78 trillion yuan. The non - ferrous and AI hardware sectors were strong, while the satellite Internet and large - finance sectors were weak [26]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 2.15%, with the pharmaceutical and non - ferrous sectors rising strongly and the automobile industry chain falling. Southbound funds had a net purchase of 119.42 billion Hong Kong dollars [26]. - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange optimized the margin collateral arrangement, adjusting the interest payment and fees of cash collateral and reducing the financing cost of non - cash collateral [27].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Bureau have jointly established the "Implementation Plan for Fiscal Subsidies on Personal Consumption Loans," prompting major state-owned banks to announce their participation in the subsidy program starting September 1, 2025 [1][2][8]. Group 1: Major Banks' Announcements - Agricultural Bank of China announced it will implement subsidies for eligible personal consumption loans starting September 1, 2025, following market-oriented and legal principles [2]. - Postal Savings Bank is actively organizing the implementation of the fiscal subsidy policy for personal consumption loans and service industry loans [3]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Bank of Communications have also announced their participation in the subsidy program [5]. - China Construction Bank confirmed it will begin providing subsidies for eligible customers starting September 1, 2025 [11]. - Bank of China stated it will fully implement the subsidy policy to ensure benefits reach consumers and stimulate consumption [8]. - China Merchants Bank, Guangfa Bank, and Industrial Bank have also issued announcements regarding the implementation of the subsidy for eligible loans [16][19]. Group 2: Implementation Details - The subsidy program is designed to lower the cost of consumer credit and stimulate domestic demand, aligning with national economic policies [18][19]. - The implementation will follow market-oriented and legal principles, with banks optimizing processes and simplifying procedures for customers [18][19]. - The loan processing institutions include six major state-owned commercial banks, twelve national joint-stock banks, and five other personal consumption loan issuing institutions [21].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy aims to reduce the cost of consumer credit for residents, thereby stimulating consumption and promoting economic growth from September 1, 2025, to August 31, 2026 [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Policy Details - The annual subsidy rate is set at 1% of the actual consumer loan principal used for eligible consumption, with a maximum subsidy not exceeding 50% of the loan contract interest rate [2] - Each borrower can receive a total subsidy cap of 3,000 yuan from one lending institution, corresponding to a total eligible consumption amount of 300,000 yuan [2] - The policy covers key consumption areas such as automobiles, elderly care, tourism, and electronic products [1] Loan Eligibility and Limits - The subsidy applies to personal consumption loans (excluding credit card transactions) that can be identified by the lending institution as used for consumption [2] - For single transactions below 50,000 yuan, the cumulative subsidy limit is 1,000 yuan, corresponding to a total eligible consumption amount of 100,000 yuan [2] - For single transactions of 50,000 yuan and above, the subsidy limit is set at 5,000 yuan [2] Participating Financial Institutions - A total of 23 financial institutions are involved, including 6 major state-owned commercial banks and 12 national joint-stock commercial banks, as well as 5 other personal consumption loan providers [3] - Major banks include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and others [3] Institutional Response - Following the announcement of the policy, Agricultural Bank of China has expressed its commitment to implement the subsidy program in compliance with the new regulations starting from September 1, 2025 [4]

Group 1 - A-share companies are showing a high proportion of cash dividends in their 2025 semi-annual profit distribution plans, with 30 companies announcing such plans [1] - In July, the issuance of new local government special bonds reached a record high for the year, totaling 616.936 billion yuan, which is a significant increase of 898.42 billion yuan from the previous month [1] - The cumulative issuance of new special bonds in the first half of the year reached 2.16 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45%, supporting major project construction and maintaining resilience in infrastructure investment growth [1] Group 2 - Multiple banks are quickly implementing personal consumption loan interest subsidy policies to stimulate consumer spending and enhance market vitality [2] - The logistics industry in China maintained expansion in July, with the logistics prosperity index at 50.5%, indicating a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [2] Group 3 - Leading paper companies, including Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper, have initiated a new round of price increases for various products starting August 1, marking the fourth price increase in the packaging paper industry since July [3] - The price hikes are driven by rising costs of raw materials, energy, and logistics, reflecting the industry's response to a challenging market environment [3] Group 4 - Bullish, a digital asset platform, plans to raise approximately $599 million through an IPO, offering 20.3 million shares at a price range of $28 to $31 per share [5] - The company reported revenue of $167 million for the 12 months ending March 31, 2025, and has secured commitments for $200 million in stock purchases from investors [5] Group 5 - Hema's membership stores are set to close, with the last remaining store expected to cease operations by August 31, marking the end of Hema's attempt to establish a membership store business [5] - This decision indicates a strategic shift away from a business model that was initially seen as a potential growth avenue [5] Group 6 - The U.S. stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones up 1.34%, the Nasdaq up 1.95%, and the S&P 500 up 1.47%, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [7] - Nvidia led the tech sector with a 3.6% increase, while Berkshire Hathaway's stock fell nearly 3% following its earnings report [8]