造纸业
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金信期货纸业日刊-20251124
Jin Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 11:20
Report Overview - Report Name: Jinxin Futures Paper Industry Daily - Date: November 24, 2025 - Author: Jinxin Futures Research Institute Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Pulp futures are expected to continue their weak performance due to factors such as price decline, inventory accumulation, increased imports, and cautious downstream procurement [4]. - Double - offset paper futures are likely to fluctuate in a low - level range in the short term, and the spot price is unlikely to rise substantially, maintaining a "stable price and weak volume" stalemate due to cost, supply, and demand factors [12]. - Both pulp and double - offset paper are negatively affected by the increase in short - selling positions of major players [18]. Summary by Directory Pulp Futures Fundamental Analysis Basic Situation - In Shandong, the price of softwood pulp decreased by 50 yuan. On Thursday, port inventory increased by 102,000 tons, a 5.1% month - on - month increase. In October, softwood pulp imports continued to rise, with a cumulative annual import of 7.122 million tons, a 2.7% year - on - year increase. The supply - demand fundamentals have not changed significantly, port de - stocking is lower than expected, and downstream procurement is cautious [4]. Double - offset Paper Futures Fundamental Analysis Basic Situation - In Shandong, the price of double - offset paper remained stable, and the spot market price was temporarily stable with little fluctuation in the quotes of leading paper enterprises. The sharp decline in the upstream pulp futures price has invalidated cost support, and negative sentiment has continued to spread. In Guangdong, some spot prices have weakened, and local publishing tender prices are low, increasing market wait - and - see sentiment. The supply side has an over - capacity situation, with new capacity to be added, while the operating rate has been hovering at a low level and inventory digestion is difficult. On the demand side, although publishing tenders support rigid demand, non - rigid demand orders have shown little improvement, and long - term factors such as digitization and birth rate are dragging down demand growth [12]. Main Force Trends - For pulp, short - selling major players have increased their positions, which is bearish [18]. - For double - offset paper, short - selling major players have increased their positions, which is bearish [18].
华安证券:白卡纸纸价触底反升 行业盈利有所恢复
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 08:33
从全国市场均价来看,据卓创资讯数据显示,11月21日白卡纸市场价格4214元/吨,较上月底上涨 2.48%,较8月中下旬年内低点3930元/吨上涨7.23%。国内白卡纸市场也在十月底迎来新一轮集中调价, 博汇纸业、玖龙纸业和万国纸业等多家纸企相继发布涨价函,宣布自2025年11月1日起,旗下白卡纸产 品价格统一上调200元/吨。在经历了长达五年的历史性低迷后,白卡纸行业触底反升。 华安证券主要观点如下: 供给与需求双双上升,供需缺口逐步收窄 近两年,中国白卡纸月度产量与月度消费量均呈现波动上升态势。其中白卡纸月度产量由2023年1月的 689.4千吨上升至2025年10月的1076.2吨,白卡纸月度消费量由2023年1月的540.37千吨上升至2025年9月 的809.42千吨。2024年,白卡纸新增120万吨产能,2025年将继续保持扩张趋势,据卓创资讯统计, 2025年白卡纸市场预计新增产能将在330万吨左右。但由于需求增长相对乏力,中国白卡纸行业一直面 临着较为严重的产能过剩问题,近两年过剩的供需缺口一度达到2024年2月的367.7千吨,这也一度影响 白卡纸价格持续低迷走势与整体行业的健康发展。 20 ...
美利云:11月21日召开董事会会议
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-21 11:34
每经AI快讯,美利云(SZ 000815,收盘价:11.65元)11月21日晚间发布公告称,公司第九届第三十一 次董事会会议于2025年11月21日在宁夏誉成云创数据投资有限公司会议室以现场结合通讯表决的方式召 开。会议审议了《关于公司成立林业管理中心的议案》等文件。 2025年1至6月份,美利云的营业收入构成为:互联网数据中心(IDC)业务收入占比92.68%,光伏发电 占比5.92%,造纸业占比1.23%,其他业务占比0.17%。 截至发稿,美利云市值为81亿元。 每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——展望"十五五" | 专访黄群慧:既要重视AI赋能千行百业,也要考量其对就业 的替代效应和带来的收入极化 (记者 王晓波) ...
林平发展IPO:业绩不稳、产能闲置、合规瑕疵
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 09:51
来源:《理财周刊》 据上海证券交易所披露信息,安徽林平循环发展股份有限公司(下称"林平发展")已于11月7日完成问询函回复工作。该 公司的上市申请已于6月25日获得受理,并在7月23日正式进入问询环节。 根据其招股书披露内容,林平发展本次IPO拟募集资金12亿元,其中5亿元将投入年产90万吨绿色环保智能制造新材料项 目(二期)建设,剩余7亿元则用于年产60万吨生物基纤维绿色智能制造新材料项目的推进。 作为一家以瓦楞纸、箱板纸生产为核心业务的高新技术企业,林平发展当的营收已连续两年出现下滑,产品单价也持续 处于下行态势;与此同时,税收优惠在公司净利润中的占比已飙升至80.58%。 在此情况下,公司的IPO进程能否顺利推进,未来业绩是否将持续面临压力,已成为监管机构与市场各方共同聚焦的核心 问题。 业绩起伏,稳定性成疑 林平发展是一家整合废纸利用、热电联产与绿色造纸业务的资源综合利用企业。 根据招股书披露的信息,2022年至2024年及2025年上半年(以下简称"报告期"),公司营业收入分别实现28.79亿元、 28.00亿元、24.85亿元和12.24亿元,对应净利润为1.54亿元、2.12亿元、1.53亿元及 ...
纸品向精致健康方向升级
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-20 22:05
纸品消费日益精致、多元,造纸带来的环境问题也不容忽视。全球每年因造纸而砍伐的树木数量惊人, 传统造纸业更是水污染与碳排放的重要源头之一。 因此,引导产业向竹浆等可持续原料转型至关重要。不少纸品企业已开始布局竹浆纸品线,通过"以竹 代木"的环保理念赢得消费者认可。数据显示,46岁至55岁消费者对本色抽纸的偏好指数最高,这种抽 纸是一种以竹浆为主要原料、不经过漂白处理的纸品,从原料到生产过程更环保低碳。市场对天然纸品 的积极接纳,为竹浆纸品的市场推广创造了良好条件。 (文章来源:经济日报) 走进现代家庭,客厅里有抽纸、湿纸巾,厨房里摆放着去油污湿巾、一次性厨房纸等,卫生间里湿厕 纸、洗脸巾等清洁纸品琳琅满目…… 随着生活水平不断提升,曾经"一卷卫生纸满足全家所需"的时代已渐行渐远。如今的纸品种类丰富多 元,已从基础日用进化为适配不同生活场景。数据显示,今年9月以来,悬挂式抽纸成交量同比增长 177%,洗脸巾同比增长101%,湿巾、厨房纸巾等品类也实现高速增长。 消费者用纸需求朝着功能化方向不断细分的同时,纸品也逐渐演变为个人生活方式的载体,悄然重塑着 人们的生活习惯。便携湿巾、香氛纸巾、敏感肌专用面巾等创新品类应 ...
国泰海通:10月文化纸需求疲软延续 箱瓦纸盈利修复
智通财经网· 2025-11-20 05:55
国泰海通发布研报称,截至10月29日,10月70g木浆高白双胶纸市场均价为4735元/吨,环比下跌66元/ 吨,跌幅1.37%,9月底华南地区投产的40万吨新产能逐渐放量,局部供给压力增加,对纸价利空为 主,国庆假期后,华南地区30万吨新产能试机,加重业者偏空心态。箱瓦纸方面,截至10月29日,中国 AA级瓦楞纸120g市场月均价2962元/吨,环比涨幅6.51%,同比涨幅12.88%,主要原料废纸市场表现偏 紧,原料结构性问题难以缓解,纸厂采购成本增加明显,纸厂多轮上调价格以缓解亏损压力 木浆:阔叶浆外盘继续报涨,国内价格上涨放缓 10月进口木浆现货市场均价涨跌各异,浆市交投偏刚需。第一,上海期货交易所纸浆期货市场偏弱运行 与终端需求不振共同拖累针叶浆价格震荡下行。第二,阔叶浆外盘连续报涨带来成本支撑,叠加国庆节 后有规模纸厂采购推动阔叶浆均价微幅探涨。第三,受再生纤维浆进口检测加严影响,部分需求转向本 色浆,带动其价格上行。第四,进口化机浆因流通货源有限与下游采购意愿低迷相互制约,价格承压走 低。 风险提示 海外木浆供应链扰动、下游消费需求不及预期等。 国泰海通主要观点如下: 文化纸:新投产能释放,需求疲 ...
建信期货纸浆日报-20251119
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-19 10:27
021-60635727 行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 19 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3037892 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3075681 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员:刘悠然(纸浆) 研究员:李捷,CFA(原油沥青) 研究员:任俊弛(PTA、MEG) 研究员:彭浩洲(工业硅多晶硅) 研究员:彭婧霖(聚烯烃) 研究员:冯泽仁(玻璃纯碱) 期货从业资格号:F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# 每日报告 一、行情回 ...
建信期货纸浆日报-20251118
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 11:58
Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: November 18, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp Futures: The previous settlement price of the 01 contract was 5474 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5474 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 0.00%. [7] - Shandong Wood Pulp Market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 4900 - 6500 yuan/ton, remaining stable from the previous trading day. The price of Shandong Yinxing was 5550 yuan/ton. [7] - International News: Finnforest Metsa notified Chinese customers that the November quotation of softwood pulp increased by $20. In September, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's 20 pulp - producing countries increased by 8.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 3.8% and hardwood pulp up 11.8%. Shipments to the Chinese market continued to grow. [7] - European Market: In October, the European wood pulp inventory was 703,900 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.8% and a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The consumption was 844,100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.8% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2%. [7] - Inventory: As of November 14, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 1.9766 million tons, an increase of 4.22% from the previous week. [7] - Downstream Market: The performance of downstream base paper remained differentiated. The packaging paper market continued to be favorable, while the prices of other base papers were stable. The improvement of social orders for offset paper was limited, and publishing tenders continued. [7] Group 3: Industry News - Hong Kong Stock Market: On November 17, Hong Kong paper stocks rose. Chenming Paper led with a gain of over 6%, Nine Dragons Paper rose over 5%, and Lee & Man Paper rose nearly 3%. [8] - Price Increase: Since November, the price increase wave in the domestic paper industry has intensified. Shanying Paper raised the prices of products such as red fir paper and corrugated paper by 30 - 100 yuan/ton, and the core product categories in Guangdong and Zhejiang bases increased by 50 yuan/ton. Nine Dragons Paper and other enterprises followed suit. [8] - Market Outlook: Driven by the packaging demand during the "Double Eleven" period, the price increase of packaging paper was supported, but industry insiders pointed out that the price increase might not be sustainable due to the oversupply of bulk paper materials. [8]
低位震荡:胶版印刷纸
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-17 03:33
2025 年 11月 17 日 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0022533 shiyining@gtht.com 基本面跟踪 表 1: 基本面数据(元/吨) | 市场 | 区域 | 纸种 | 2025/11/14 | 2025/11/13 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 70g天阳 | 4475 | 64475 | 20 0 | | | | 70g晨鸣云镜 | 4650 | 4650 | 0 | | | 山东市场 | 70g华夏太阳 | 4725 | 4725 | 0 | | 现货市场 | | 70g本白牡丹 | 4450 | 4450 | 0 | | | | 70g天阳 | 4450 | 4450 | 9 | | | 广东市场 | 70g晨鸣云豹 | 4600 | 4600 | 0 | | | | 70g华夏太阳 | 4700 | 4700 | O | | | | 含税收入 | 4731 | 4731 | 0 | | | 税前必 | 含税成本 | 5132 | 5120 | 12 | | | | 税前毛利 | -401 | -389 | -12 ...
能源化工纸浆周度报告-20251116
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-16 11:40
国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0002332 日期:2025年11月16日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年11月13日,中国纸浆常熟港库存56.9万吨,较上周期增涨6.3万吨,环比上涨12.5%。本周常熟港库存呈现累库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年11月13日,中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存140.5万吨,较上周上涨5.0万吨,环比上涨3.7%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现累库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年11月13日,中国纸浆高栏港库存4.1万吨,较上周下降1.5万吨,环比下降26.8%。本周期高栏港库存呈现去库 ...