何成军表示，扩大国内需求，短期目标应侧重于应对当前有效需求不足的矛盾，促进经济稳定增长，抵 消外部环境的不确定性。中长期目标应着眼于培育完善的内需体系，促进城乡居民人均收入迈上新台 阶，形成强大国内市场，畅通国内经济循环，为构建新发展格局提供坚实的支撑。 在扩大有效投资方面，何成军表示，要加大制造业有效投资，推动制造业数字化转型升级。加大对科技 创新"专精特新"企业的支持力度，增加关键核心技术领域的研发投入，提升先进制造业核心竞争力。另 外，我国城镇化正在从快速增长期转向稳定发展期，要推动城市内涵式发展，加大城市更新方面的投 资。 低空经济是开辟经济增长的新领域，培育新质生产力的新引擎和产业转型升级的新动能。"低空经济发 展的前提是要能够飞得起来，这就离不开加强低空基础设施建设，但要保证投资是有效的。"何成军强 调，需要统筹平衡好超前、适度超前与过度超前的关系，防止出现低效、无效建设和形式浪费。 在扩大消费需求方面，何成军指出，实现使居民有稳定收入能消费，需要提高居民可支配收入在国民收 入中的比重，提高居民消费占总需求的比重，提高财政支出用于民生的比重。要增强税收调节功能，健 全高质量充分就业促进机制，提高中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rebound in the commodity market following the Geneva joint statement between China and the U.S., driven by demand recovery expectations and supply contractions in certain products [1]. Group 1: Demand Marginal Tracking - The demand increase in the 90-day tariff suspension period is attributed to the shipment of previously delayed orders and U.S. companies' potential actions to "rush imports and transshipments" [2]. - The recent rise in U.S. shipping prices indicates an increase in orders, which will sustain strong demand in the near term [2]. - For complex goods, the delivery process may not see significant growth in demand during the tariff suspension, while shorter delivery cycle products like textiles and toys may show increased purchasing by U.S. companies [4][5]. Group 2: Profit and Supply Decision Adjustments - Short-term supply changes have a greater impact on price elasticity, with maintenance and operational issues in PX and PTA providing upward momentum for chemical products [9]. - The actual pace of production recovery is constrained by large manufacturers' maintenance plans and strategic supply adjustments, which create price support independent of demand [10]. - Despite potential for rapid production increases in the upstream supply chain, the lack of significant demand growth and previous low-profit periods may limit the willingness of leading manufacturers to increase output [13]. Group 3: Trade Policy Uncertainty - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy remains a significant risk, with a potential increase in tariffs by 54% if no agreement is reached within 90 days [16]. - The U.S. fiscal issues may necessitate a focus on revenue generation and spending cuts, complicating trade negotiations and potentially leading to higher retail prices that suppress consumer demand [16]. - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy adjustments in response to economic conditions may also impact inflation expectations and commodity prices [17]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - Precious metals may experience short-term price corrections due to tariff and geopolitical tensions but are expected to return to their roles as a store of value in the medium term [23]. - Non-ferrous metals may face short-term demand limitations due to U.S. procurement decisions during the tariff suspension, but medium-term trends will be influenced by Federal Reserve policies [23]. - The energy sector faces supply and demand pressures, with OPEC's production increases and limited demand support affecting price stability [23].