涤纶长丝景气复苏
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新凤鸣(603225):盈利逐步改善,看好涤纶长丝向上弹性
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-29 12:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price set for the next six months [5][18]. Core Views - The company's profitability is gradually improving, with a reported net profit of 709 million yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.28% [1]. - The sales volume of PTA and DTY has significantly increased, with a notable rise in DTY sales by 22% year-on-year [2]. - The company is actively enhancing its upstream supply chain and has initiated the PTA project, expecting to exceed 10 million tons of PTA capacity by the end of 2025 [3]. - The company anticipates a recovery in the polyester filament market during the peak season, with low inventory levels and improving downstream demand [4]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 33.491 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit of 709 million yuan, up 17.28% [1]. - The sales volumes for various products in H1 2025 were as follows: POY 2.42 million tons (+4%), FDY 720,000 tons (+2%), DTY 440,000 tons (+22%), short fibers 640,000 tons (+2%), and PTA 1.09 million tons (+380%) [2]. - The average selling prices for major products decreased year-on-year, with POY at 6194 yuan/ton (-10%), FDY at 6484 yuan/ton (-19%), and DTY at 8094 yuan/ton (-8%) [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.5 billion yuan, 2 billion yuan, and 2.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 12, and 9 [4]. Market Outlook - The company is focusing on the integration of PTA and polyester production, with the third phase of the PTA project expected to start trial production by the end of 2024 [3]. - As of August 22, 2025, the inventory days for POY, FDY, and DTY were at historical low levels, indicating a favorable market condition for the upcoming peak season [4]. - The company is exploring the field of fiber new materials and has established a strategic partnership for the production of 100% bio-based polyester [3].
桐昆股份(601233):产销规模提升,静待景气复苏
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-05 08:43
丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨桐昆股份(601233.SH) [Table_Title] 产销规模提升,静待景气复苏 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2024 年年报,全年实现营业收入 1013.1 亿元(同比+22.6%),实现归属净利润 12.0 亿元(同比+50.8%),实现归属扣非净利润 9.3 亿元(同比+105.4%)。其中 Q4 单季度实现收 入 252.6 亿元(同比+20.9%,环比-9.3%),实现归属净利润 2.0 亿元(同环比均扭亏转盈), 实现归属扣非净利润 1.1 亿元(同环比均扭亏转盈)。公司拟每股派发现金红利 0.1 元(含税), 合计派发现金红利 2.38 亿元(含税)。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 马太 SAC:S0490516100002 SFC:BUT911 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 桐昆股份(601233.SH) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 产销规模提升,静待景气复苏 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 202 ...