丨证券研究报告丨 投资策略丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 9 月 W4 港股资金：南向流入互联网，外资加码 消费者服务——"重估牛"系列之港股资金面 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 9 月 22 日至 25 日，南向资金净流入 144.93 亿港元，主要流入可选消费零售、有色金 属、半导体、硬件设备、软件服务等行业，排名前五的行业合计净流入 122.34 亿港元。南向资 金净流入最多的五个行业是：可选消费零售（69.64 亿港元）、有色金属（19.92 亿港元）、半 导体（11.98 亿港元）、硬件设备（10.92 亿港元）、软件服务（9.89 亿港元）。主要流出医药 生物（-14.92 亿港元）、耐用消费品（-2.55 亿港元）、消费者服务（-2.25 亿港元）、汽车与 零配件（-2.16 亿港元）、化工（-1.37 亿港元）等行业。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 9 月 W ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced an increase from September 5 to 19, 2025, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.59% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 5.09% [3][12] - The main drivers for this growth include a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which aligns with market expectations, leading to increased liquidity in overseas markets that benefits the Hong Kong stock market [3] - The signing of strategic cooperation agreements between major internet stocks in Hong Kong and state-owned enterprises has contributed to the significant rise in the technology sector [3] Southbound Capital Flow - From September 5 to 18, 2025, southbound capital inflow reached HKD 550.84 billion, primarily directed towards sectors such as consumer discretionary retail, non-bank financials, pharmaceuticals, automotive, and non-ferrous metals [3] - The top five sectors for net inflow were: consumer discretionary retail (HKD 259.66 billion), non-bank financials (HKD 91.69 billion), pharmaceuticals (HKD 40.14 billion), automotive (HKD 37.55 billion), and non-ferrous metals (HKD 21.99 billion) [3] - Notably, there was a net outflow from durable consumer goods, hardware equipment, and telecommunications services, totaling HKD -11.89 billion, -6.54 billion, and -5.88 billion respectively [3] Foreign Institutional Capital Flow - Foreign institutional capital saw a net outflow of HKD 294.95 billion, with significant inflows into hardware equipment, consumer services, food and beverage, durable goods, and media sectors, totaling HKD 204.27 billion [4] - The top five sectors for foreign institutional net inflow were: hardware equipment (HKD 83.73 billion), consumer services (HKD 48.63 billion), food and beverage (HKD 33.16 billion), durable goods (HKD 19.75 billion), and media (HKD 19 billion) [4] - Conversely, there was a substantial outflow from consumer discretionary retail (HKD -323.72 billion), non-bank financials (HKD -111.32 billion), automotive (HKD -47.48 billion), pharmaceuticals (HKD -27.16 billion), and textiles (HKD -15.03 billion) [4] Sector Performance - The Hong Kong industrial sector led the market performance during the specified period, reflecting strong investor interest and capital inflow [3][24] - The technology sector also showed significant gains, driven by strategic partnerships and collaborations aimed at enhancing industrial intelligence in China [3][24] - Overall, the market sentiment appears positive, with various sectors experiencing varying degrees of capital inflow and performance metrics [3][24]

Group 1 - The report indicates that from September 1 to 5, 2025, southbound funds recorded a net inflow of 29.687 billion HKD, primarily flowing into the consumer discretionary retail, pharmaceutical biotechnology, software services, non-ferrous metals, and automotive sectors, with the top five industries accounting for a total net inflow of 28.523 billion HKD [2][6][30] - The sectors with the highest net inflow were consumer discretionary retail (12.308 billion HKD), pharmaceutical biotechnology (5.131 billion HKD), software services (4.894 billion HKD), non-ferrous metals (3.887 billion HKD), and automotive and parts (2.303 billion HKD) [2][6][30] - The report highlights that the semiconductor, telecommunications services, durable consumer goods, hardware equipment, and media sectors experienced significant outflows [2][6][30] Group 2 - The report notes that during the same period, the Hong Kong stock market saw an increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.36% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.23% [5][11] - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong led the market performance, while the telecommunications services sector lagged [5][11] - Key factors contributing to market sentiment included policy support from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation, as well as weaker-than-expected economic data from the US, which raised expectations for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [5][11] Group 3 - From January 20 to September 5, 2025, southbound funds accumulated a total net inflow of 851.872 billion HKD, with significant inflows into consumer discretionary retail, banking, pharmaceutical biotechnology, non-bank financials, and automotive sectors, totaling 574.213 billion HKD for the top five industries [7][45] - The report indicates that the sectors with the highest net inflow during this period were consumer discretionary retail (162.312 billion HKD), banking (141.212 billion HKD), pharmaceutical biotechnology (99.016 billion HKD), non-bank financials (98.612 billion HKD), and automotive and parts (73.061 billion HKD) [7][45] - The report also highlights that the telecommunications services and building materials sectors experienced notable outflows [7][45]