港股消费ETF(513230)：产品跟踪指数为中证港股通消费主题指数，指数从港股通范围内选取流动性较 好、市值较大的50只消费主题相关证券作为指数样本，以反映港股通内消费类上市公司证券的整体表 现。指数作为港股消费代表性指数，覆盖可选消费零售(27%)、汽车与零配件(13.4%)、食品饮料(6%)、 消费者服务(5.7%)、家电(4.9%)等诸多受益于政策刺激方向。 食品饮料ETF(515170)：产品跟踪的标的指数为中证细分食品饮料产业主题指数，该指数反映沪深两市 细分食品产业公司股票的整体走势，该指数从食品制造等细分产业中挑选规模较大、流动性较好的公司 股票组成样本股。根据申万三级行业分布，指数权重集中于白酒(56.8%)、乳制品(14.1%)、调味发酵品 (9.9%)等估值低位方向。 【相关ETF】 二季度增量资金进入新消费板块推升上涨行情，也拉高了市场对新消费方向的业绩预期，二季报前瞻陆 续披露后，部分高成长标的业绩低于此前预期，板块经过调整后逐步企稳，考虑到头部企业依旧维持较 为稳定的高增速，在整体消费大盘有望触底回升，新消费相对增速优势，叠加财年估值切换有望迎来新 一轮行情。 传统消费补涨性价比较 ...

| 恒生指数 | 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 25829.91 9248.00 | | 5825.09 | | +490.77 +1.94% +168.07 +1.85% +177.41 +3.14% | | | 恒生指数成份股中72只上涨，12只下跌。其中，紫金矿业涨6.38%，百度集团涨6.25%，网易涨6.04%，领涨蓝筹。 【导读】东风集团股份复牌后狂飙，涨超54% 8月25日，香港三大股指均大涨：恒生指数涨1.94%，报25829.91点；恒生科技指数涨3.14%，报5825.09点；恒生中国企业指数涨1.85%，报9248.0点。市场 成交额达3696.98亿港元，较前一交易日的2855.84亿港元显著放大。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 紫金矿业 | 2899 | 24.340 c | 1.460 | 6.38% | 19.37亿 | 75.17% | | 2 | 目度集团-S ...

【导读】东风集团股份复牌后狂飙，涨超54% 8月25日，香港三大股指均大涨：恒生指数涨1.94%，报25829.91点；恒生科技指数涨3.14%，报5825.09点；恒生中国企业指数涨1.85%，报9248.0点。市场 成交额达3696.98亿港元，较前一交易日的2855.84亿港元显著放大。 | 恒生指数成份股中72只上涨，12只下跌。其中，紫金矿业（601899）涨6.38%，百度集团涨6.25%，网易涨6.04%，领涨蓝筹。 | | --- | 恒生科技指数成份股中27只上涨，3只下跌。蔚来大涨15.2%，新车ES8预订单量超预期；ASMPT上涨7.6%，百度集团-SW上涨6.3%。 恒生行业指数方面，原材料业指数上涨4.4%，非必需性消费行业指数上涨3.4%，资讯科技业指数上涨2.5%。香港主题行业指数中，有色金属行业指数上 涨4.8%，可选消费零售行业指数上涨4.1%。 东风集团股份复牌后狂飙 股价涨超54% 8月25日早上，东风集团股份发布复牌公告，公司股价大幅高开，股价突破10港元/股关口，最高涨幅达69.18%；全天收于9.20港元/股，涨54.10%。 8月22日，东风集团股份于收市后发布公 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 投资策略丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 8 月 W3 港股资金：南向流入非银软件，外资流 出金融板块——"重估牛"系列之港股资金面 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 8 月 18 日至 21 日，南向资金净流入 306.13 亿港元，主要流入非银金融、软件服务、 可选消费零售、医药生物、硬件设备等行业，排名前五的行业合计净流入 238.11 亿港元。南向 资金净流入最多的五个行业是：非银金融（85.1 亿港元）、软件服务（62.8 亿港元）、可选消 费零售（30.69 亿港元）、医药生物（30.69 亿港元）、硬件设备（28.85 亿港元）。主要流出 煤炭Ⅱ、消费者服务、纺织服装Ⅱ、家电Ⅱ、电气设备等行业。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 8 月 W3 港股资金：南向流入非银软件，外资流 2] 出金融板块——"重估牛"系列之港股资金面 [Table_Summary ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that the recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict between Israel and Iran, have led to increased risk aversion in the market, resulting in a rise in oil prices and a boost in safe-haven assets like gold [2][4] - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.42%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.89% during the week from June 9 to June 13 [2][4] - Among the sectors, healthcare, materials, and energy industries performed well, with respective index increases of 7.52%, 5.91%, and 5.80%, while consumer discretionary and information technology sectors saw declines [7][12] Group 2 - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange increased to HKD 254.2 billion, up by HKD 50.2 billion from the previous week, indicating improved liquidity [17] - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of HKD 15.5 billion, reflecting a positive sentiment towards certain stocks, including Meituan and BYD [17] - As of June 13, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the Hang Seng Index was 10.6, placing it in the 72nd percentile since 2019, while the Hang Seng Tech Index had a PE ratio of 20.02, in the 8th percentile [19][23] Group 3 - The report suggests that the current valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is at a historical average level, with a focus on high-dividend sectors such as energy, finance, and precious metals, which are expected to attract investor interest amid geopolitical uncertainties [44] - The report also notes the potential benefits for export-oriented sectors due to improvements in US-China tariff policies, as well as opportunities in innovative pharmaceutical sectors and new consumer leaders with strong earnings growth [44][41]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of the Hong Kong stock market (港股) in 2024, highlighting a recovery trend in overall earnings growth with a 1.2% increase in revenue and a 9.8% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders [1][3][6]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Earnings Growth**: The second half of 2024 saw a significant acceleration in earnings, with a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [1][6]. - **Key Sectors Driving Growth**: - The information technology sector benefited from breakthroughs in AI technology, with net profit growth of 77.4% in the software and services sub-sector and 76.4% in the technology hardware and equipment sub-sector [1][10]. - The financial sector, particularly the insurance industry, experienced a 70.8% increase in net profit, while diversified financial services saw a 20.5% growth [1][10]. - The healthcare sector, including pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, and life sciences, improved profitability by nearly 20 percentage points [1][10]. - **Struggling Sectors**: The consumer sector showed weak growth, with significant declines in return on equity (ROE) for household and personal products, and food retail. The optional consumer retail sub-sector's profit growth decreased by 36 percentage points, while media and consumer services saw declines of approximately 18% and 19% respectively [1][11]. Financial Metrics - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: The ROE for Hong Kong stocks rose to 7% in 2024, up from 6.7% in the first half of the year, but still below the average of around 10% since 2016. The DuPont analysis indicated that the increase in asset turnover was the primary driver of the ROE improvement [1][7][8]. - **Revenue Trends**: The revenue growth rate for Hong Kong stocks showed signs of bottoming out, with a 1.2% increase for the year, slightly down from 1.9% in the first half of 2024 [1][5]. Comparative Analysis - **Performance vs. A-shares**: The earnings recovery speed of Hong Kong stocks is superior to that of A-shares, which reported negative growth rates of -0.2% for the year and -0.5% for the first half of 2025 in terms of revenue and -2.7% for both periods in net profit [4][6]. Future Outlook - **Support Factors for 2025**: The global technology cycle is expected to rebound, with the AI-driven industrial revolution continuing to support the performance of the information technology sector. Additionally, macroeconomic policies aimed at stabilizing growth are anticipated to benefit mainland companies, which constitute over 60% of the market [4][12].

本文作者： 刘晨明/许向真/陈振威 2. 风格配置上： 南向进攻型的资金仍保持不低的风险偏好。"反制关税"后第一周，南向对"哑铃策略"两端均作了增持；"反制关税"后 第二周则减配金融股，同时继续增持成长股。 3. 成长股内部： 半导体和可选消费（电商）连续两周获增持，当前超配比例分别为1.86%、-4.06%，处于2022年以来96.3%、 100.0%分位数。医药生物板块过去一周增持幅度较大，当前超配比例处于2022年以来51.8%分位数。软件服务板块持股比例则连续两 周下滑，当前超配比例基本处于2022年以来最低位置附近。 | 二级行业超配比 例(基准为流通市 | | 2025-01-03 2025-01-10 2025-01-17 | | 2025-01-24 2025-02-07 | | 2025-02-14 | | 2026-02-21 2025-02-28 | 2025-03-07 | | | 2025-03-14 2025-03-21 2026-03-28 2025-04-04 2025-04-11 | | | 2025-04-18 | 24年以来超 | | --- | --- | --- | ...