Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [21]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in performance due to falling coal prices, with a 14.2% year-on-year decrease in revenue for the first half of 2025 [3]. - Despite the challenges, the company is expected to recover as coal prices stabilize, supported by its strong resource endowment and low-cost mining advantages [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 779.8 billion yuan, down 14.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 76.4 billion yuan, down 31.2% year-on-year [3][4]. - The coal business generated revenue of 683.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 11.7% year-on-year, with a slight increase in production and sales volume [4]. - The average selling price of coal dropped to 439.7 yuan per ton, a decline of 23.8% year-on-year [4]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend of 5% of the net profit for the first half of 2025, amounting to 3.82 billion yuan, based on a total share capital of 9.695 billion shares [6]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 163.8 billion yuan, 170.4 billion yuan, and 188.5 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.69, 1.76, and 1.94 yuan per share [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in Q1 2025 financial performance, with revenue and net profit dropping sharply due to lower production and sales volumes in the coal sector, alongside price reductions in various products [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 690 million yuan, down 56.5% year-on-year [1] - The adjusted net profit was 670 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 59.96% year-on-year [1] Coal Production and Sales - The company's coal production in Q1 2025 was 4.31 million tons, a decrease of 17.73% year-on-year [1] - Coal sales volume was 2.97 million tons, down 26.18% year-on-year [1] - The average selling price of coal was 938 yuan per ton, a decline of 20.3% year-on-year [1] - The cost per ton was 520 yuan, down 12.3% year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 418 yuan per ton, which is a 28.4% decrease year-on-year [1] Chemical Sector Performance - The company’s anhydrous ethanol project, with a capacity of 600,000 tons, commenced production in 2024 and is expected to contribute profits in 2025 [2] - In Q1 2025, the production and sales of anhydrous ethanol were 100,000 tons and 90,000 tons respectively, generating revenue of 440 million yuan [2] - The production and sales of coke were 740,000 tons and 700,000 tons, down 15.2% and 18.8% year-on-year respectively, with a selling price of 1,499 yuan per ton, a decrease of 35.2% [2] - Methanol production was 120,000 tons, up 31.16% year-on-year, while sales were 40,000 tons, down 47.23% year-on-year [2] Project Development - The company is advancing several new projects, including an 8 million ton coal project expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [3] - Non-coal business includes the acquisition of 10 million tons of limestone resources and the establishment of 7 mines, increasing limestone production capacity to 27.4 million tons per year [3] - The company is also progressing on a 2×660MW supercritical power generation project, expected to be operational by the end of 2025 [3] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 56.9 billion yuan, 58.3 billion yuan, and 57.2 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year changes of -13.60%, +2.51%, and -1.93% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are 3.39 billion yuan, 3.94 billion yuan, and 4.64 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -30.3%, +16.3%, and +18.0% respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) as of March 28, 2025 [4][8]. Core Views - The report highlights that despite a decline in coal prices, the optimization of coal chemical profitability and an increase in coal production volume will stabilize future performance [5][8]. - The company reported a revenue of 139.12 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 7.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.43 billion yuan, down 28.39% year-on-year [4][5]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company's coal production reached 142.49 million tons in 2024, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year, while sales volume was 136.31 million tons, up 7.3% year-on-year [5]. - The average selling price of coal decreased to 672 yuan per ton, down 16.3% year-on-year [5]. Financial Metrics - The company achieved a weighted average ROE of 18.30%, a decline of 3.58 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 127.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 8% [7]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 0.77 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 53.59% and a dividend yield of 5.7% [8]. Future Outlook - The company has a rich reserve of projects, with the Wanfeng Coal Mine expected to commence production by the end of 2024 and the Wucaiwan No. 4 Coal Mine planned for 2025 [5]. - The company aims to achieve a coal production scale of 300 million tons per year within the next 5-10 years, supported by ongoing project developments [5].