智通财经APP获悉，东北证券发布研报称，供需阶段失衡导致煤价2025Q1下行，全年供需偏宽松，短 期煤价或已超跌。煤价下跌后，预计国内部分高成本煤矿和进口煤受到冲击，以上因素有望推动煤价4 月回升，另外还需关注美国关税政策对国内经济冲击以及国内政策应对。利率下行风险偏好下降，红利 煤炭股受益。优选业绩稳健高股息的红利煤炭股以及受益电解铝行业向好的煤铝一体化公司。 东北证券主要观点如下： 2015年动力煤均价420元/吨触及阶段性底部，预计此后10-15年，动力煤年度均价底部或抬升200元/吨至 620元/吨附近，焦煤年度均价底部抬升至1240元/吨。 煤炭若要开启新一轮上行周期，需要强力政策推动 目前煤价从2021年见顶已持续下跌近4年。时间维度看，上一轮煤价周期见顶是2011年，之后下跌到 2015年底。目前煤价距离周期底部或已不远，但煤炭若要开启新一轮较大上行周期，需要有强力政策推 动，如需求侧对地产、基建更强的刺激政策，供给侧要求煤企限产以及限制进口煤政策。 需求承压供给增加，2025Q1煤价下行 2025Q1秦皇岛港动煤价从765元/吨下跌至665元/吨，京唐港主焦煤价从1520元/吨下跌至1380元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hesai Technology, indicating strong growth potential in the lidar market and expected revenue increases for 2025-2027 [8][12][32]. Core Insights - Hesai Technology reported a net revenue of RMB 2.077 billion (approximately USD 285 million) for 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.7% and achieving a non-GAAP net profit of RMB 13.7 million, reversing a loss from the previous year [3][4]. - The company experienced a significant increase in gross margin, reaching 42.6% in 2024, up from 35.2% in 2023, primarily due to cost optimization and increased sales volume [4][5]. - Hesai's Q4 2024 performance was particularly strong, with net income of RMB 720 million (approximately USD 98.6 million), a year-on-year increase of 28.3%, and a non-GAAP net profit of RMB 170 million [4][5]. - The company anticipates a revenue of RMB 3-3.5 billion (approximately USD 411-480 million) for 2025, representing a growth of 44%-69% compared to 2024 [6][8]. Summary by Sections Hesai Technology - Hesai Technology is positioned as a leading player in the autonomous driving and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) lidar market, with a projected shipment of 1.5 million units in 2025 [8]. - The company has secured exclusive design contracts with top European OEMs, indicating strong demand for its lidar products [6][7]. - Hesai's new product line, including the JT series of 3D lidar for robotics, is expected to enhance its market presence and revenue streams [7]. Ideal Automotive - Ideal Automotive is transitioning from an electric vehicle manufacturer to an artificial intelligence company, with plans to leverage AI in its product offerings [9][10]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected net profits of RMB 13.35 billion and RMB 19.18 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively [11]. Energy and Aluminum Sector - The report highlights the robust performance of Electric Power Energy and Shenhua Co., with both companies benefiting from rising aluminum prices and stable coal operations [12][13]. - Electric Power Energy is noted for its strong cash flow and stable profit margins, while Shenhua Co. is expected to see enhanced earnings due to its high aluminum production capacity [14][15]. Chemical Industry - Baofeng Energy reported a revenue of RMB 32.983 billion (approximately USD 4.5 billion) for 2024, driven by increased production and sales of polyethylene and polypropylene [24][26]. - The company is expanding its coal-to-olefins project in Xinjiang, which is expected to significantly boost its production capacity and market competitiveness [30][31]. Defense and Alloy Market - The report indicates that increased defense spending in China is likely to drive demand for chromium salts and high-temperature alloys, benefiting companies in the materials sector [38][39].