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金界控股(03918.HK):访客与外国直接投资额增长或推动增长可期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 19:10
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to report strong growth in EBITDA and total gaming revenue for 1H25, driven by an increase in visitor numbers and foreign direct investment [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a 240% year-on-year increase in EBITDA for 1H25, reaching $188 million, with a 28% quarter-on-quarter growth [1]. - Total gaming revenue is projected to grow by 20% year-on-year and 31% quarter-on-quarter in 1H25 [1]. - EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 16% to $382 million and $455 million, respectively [2]. Group 2: Visitor Trends and Investment - The number of Chinese visitors to Cambodia increased by 51% year-on-year and 28% quarter-on-quarter in 1H25, with business travelers up by 46% year-on-year and 31% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Cambodia attracted $6.9 billion in foreign direct investment in 2024, a 40% increase from the previous year, with over 50% of this investment coming from China [1]. Group 3: Operational Developments - The number of direct flights from China to Cambodia has increased to 170 per week, a 55% rise compared to the previous year [2]. - The company is expected to resume cash dividend payments in 1H25 after achieving a net cash position post-debt repayment [2]. Group 4: Valuation and Market Position - The company is currently trading at 6 times the 2025 EV/EBITDA, with a target price raised by 32% to HKD 5.80, indicating a 33% upside potential from the current stock price [2].