晨会纪要（R3） 晨会纪要 2025 年 08 月 26 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 3883.56 | 1.51 | | 深证成指 | 12441.07 | 2.26 | | 创业板指 | 2762.99 | 3.00 | | 科创 50 | 1287.73 | 3.20 | | 北证 50 | 1604.01 | 0.23 | | 沪深 300 | 4469.22 | 2.08 | 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 2024-08 2024-11 2025-02 2025-05 上证指数 沪深300 | 何晨 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0530513080001 | | | hechen@hnchasing.com | | | 刘暾 | 研究助理 | liutun@hnchasing.com 晨会聚焦 【债券研究】债券市场综述 二、重要财经资讯 【财经要闻】上海出台进一步优化住房公积金提取和贷款政策 【财经要闻】上海发布楼市"沪六条" ...

2025 年 08 月 26 日 开源晨会 0826 ——晨会纪要 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 美容护理 | 0.010 | | 纺织服饰 | 0.169 | | 石油石化 | 0.391 | | 轻工制造 | 0.547 | | 汽车 | 0.706 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【策略】机构关注度提升：电力设备、基础化工、食品饮料、钢铁——机构调研 周跟踪-20250825 晨 会 纪 -24% 0% 24% 48% 72% 96% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 通信 | 4.852 | | 有色金属 | 4.634 | | 房地产 | 3.319 | | 综合 | 3.311 | | 钢铁 | 2.741 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 行业公司 【社服】潮玩龙头引领全球风潮，中餐关注到家场景增量——行业 ...

智通财经APP获悉，8月25日港股市场，北水成交净卖出13.76亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净卖出24.36亿港元，港股通(深) 成交净买入10.6亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是阿里巴巴-W(09988)、快手-W(01024)、中兴通讯(00763)。北水净卖出最多的个股是盈富基金 (02800)、小米集团-W(01810)、中芯国际(00981)。 阿里巴巴-W(09988)、美团-W(03690)分别获净买入5.86亿、1.12亿港元。消息面上，8月23日，国家发展改革委、市场监管总 局、国家网信办日前宣布联合起草《互联网平台价格行为规则(征求意见稿)》。花旗指出，为维持市场份额及应对中国新消 费观念下用户消费行为转变，相信各大电商平台仍将保留一定程度的补贴，从而巩固市场地位，但估计有助于促使平台更 规范地管理定价内卷行为。 | 华虹未营体 HK 01347 | 8.47 亿 | 9.50亿 | 17.96亿 -1.03亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 东方甄选 | 8.40亿 | 7.67亿 | 16.07亿 | | HK 01797 | | | +7345.23万 | ...

热点聚焦 4.国家发展改革委、市场监管总局、国家网信办联合起草了《互联网平台价格行为规则（征求意见稿）》，向社会公开征求意见，时间为2025年8月23日至9 月22日。《行为规则》旨在规范互联网平台价格行为，保护消费者和经营者合法权益，促进平台经济健康发展。规则涵盖了经营者自主定价等方面。 全球指数 美股方面，截至上周五收盘，道指涨846.24点，涨幅为1.89%，报45631.74点；纳指涨396.22点，涨幅为1.88%，报21496.53点；标普500指数涨96.74点，涨幅 为1.52%，报6466.91点。 大型科技股普涨，特斯拉收涨6.22%，谷歌A涨3.17%，亚马逊涨3.10%，Meta涨2.12%，英伟达涨1.72%，苹果涨1.27%，微软涨0.59%。 热门中概股普涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨2.73%。名创优品涨逾20%，向上融科涨逾13%，金山云涨逾9%，阿里巴巴、爱奇艺、小鹏汽车涨超4%，京 东、百度、理想汽车涨逾2%。 港股方面：截至上周五收盘，恒生指数涨0.93%，报收25339.14点；科技指数涨2.71%，报收5647.68点；国企指数涨1.17%，报收9079.93点。 从 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.13% on August 21, with a total trading volume of 2.46 trillion yuan, marking the seventh consecutive trading day with volumes exceeding 2 trillion yuan [1] - Nearly 2,200 stocks increased in price, with 58 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Sector Performance - The combustible ice concept surged over 3%, with ShenKai Co., Ltd. (002278) hitting the limit, and other stocks like QianNeng HengXin (300191) and XinJin Power (300157) rising over 5% [1] - The digital currency sector saw multiple stocks hitting the limit, including Sanwei Xinan and BeiXinYuan (300352) [1] - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector also performed well, with Guotou Zhonglu (600962) hitting the limit and Honghui Fruits and Vegetables (603336) and Muyuan Foods (002714) rising over 5% [1] Historical Highs - A total of 38 stocks reached historical closing highs, with the electronics, automotive, and machinery equipment sectors showing significant concentration [2] - The average increase for stocks reaching historical highs was 3.82%, with notable performers including ChuangYitong (300991) and GuoMai Culture (301052) [2][3] Institutional Activity - On August 21, 10 stocks saw net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan from institutions, with ZhongDian XinLong (002298) leading at 1.09 billion yuan [5] - The most sold stock by institutions was HengBao Co., Ltd. (002104), with a net sell of 1.1 billion yuan [5] Northbound Capital - Northbound capital was active in 18 stocks, with JingBeiFang (002987) receiving the highest net purchase of 1.76 billion yuan [7] - Stocks like WoLong Electric Drive (600580) and Electronic City (600658) also saw significant net purchases [7] Company Announcements - Sinopec (600028) plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.088 yuan per share, totaling 10.67 billion yuan, despite a 10.6% decline in revenue year-on-year [8] - Renhe Pharmaceutical (000650) announced that its ULook brain-machine interaction smart glasses are still in the sample stage and have not yet generated sales revenue [8] - Shanghai Jahwa (600315) reported a 4.75% increase in revenue for the first half of the year, with a net profit growth of 11.66% [9]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant surge on August 18, with multiple indices reaching new highs, leading to increased market sentiment [1][2] - The total market capitalization of A-shares surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time in history, marking a significant milestone [1] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.25%, the ChiNext Index surged by 3.63%, and the North Securities 50 Index jumped by 4.59% [2] - Notable milestones included the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the 3731.69 points high from February 18, 2021, and the North Securities 50 Index reaching a historical high above 1500 points [3] Trading Activity - The trading volume exceeded 1.7 trillion yuan within half a trading day, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous trading day [3] - Approximately 4500 stocks were in the green, with over 110 stocks hitting the daily limit up [6] Sector Performance - The TMT sector led the market rally, with software services, media entertainment, communication equipment, and components all seeing gains of over 3% [5] - The securities sector also performed well, with notable stocks like Changcheng Securities and Hualin Securities hitting the daily limit up, and Dongfang Caifu seeing a nearly 6% increase with a trading volume close to 30 billion yuan [5] Notable Stocks - Key stocks that performed exceptionally included: - Dongfang Caifu (300059) with a price of 28.36 yuan, up 5.98%, and a trading volume of 29.44 billion yuan [6] - Beifang Rare Earth (600111) with a price of 42.90 yuan, up 10.00%, and a trading volume of 11.25 billion yuan [6] - Zhina Zhen (300803) with a price of 131.84 yuan, up 20.00%, and a trading volume of 11.25 billion yuan [6] - ZTE Corporation (000063) with a price of 38.73 yuan, up 10.00%, and a trading volume of 11.10 billion yuan [6]

Market Overview - A-share market experienced a significant surge, with multiple indices reaching new highs on August 18 [2][4] - The total market capitalization of A-shares surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time in history [2] Index Performance - Major indices showed strong upward movement: - Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.18% to 3740.50 points, breaking a nearly 10-year high [4][5] - Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.25% to 11896.38 points, marking a two-year high [4][5] - ChiNext Index surged by 3.63%, surpassing the 2600-point mark [4][5] - North Star 50 Index jumped by 4.59%, reaching a historical high [4][5] Trading Activity - Trading volume in the A-share market exceeded 1.7 trillion yuan, indicating increased market activity compared to the previous trading day [7] - Nearly 4500 stocks were in the green, with over 110 stocks hitting the daily limit up [10] Sector Performance - The market displayed a broad-based rally, with the TMT sector leading gains, particularly in software services, media entertainment, and communication equipment, all rising over 3% [8][9] - The securities sector also saw significant gains, with major firms like Changcheng Securities and Hualin Securities hitting the daily limit up [9] Notable Stocks - Key stocks included: - Dongfang Caifu (东方财富) rose by 5.98% with a trading volume of nearly 300 billion yuan [10] - Beifang Rare Earth (北方稀土) increased by 10% with a trading volume of 112.53 billion yuan [10] - Zhina Zhen (指南针) surged by 20% with a trading volume of 112.48 billion yuan [10] - ZTE Corporation (中兴通讯) rose by 10% with a trading volume of 110.97 billion yuan [10]

Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,696.77, with a rise of 0.83% [3] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11,634.67, with a rise of 1.60% [3] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2,022.77, with a decline of 0.47% [3] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67% [4] - The S&P 500 closed at 3,801.78, down by 0.45% [4] - The NASDAQ closed at 11,247.58, down by 0.15% [4] Economic Indicators - In July, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.7% year-on-year, while retail sales of consumer goods rose by 3.7% [8] - Fixed asset investment from January to July grew by 1.6% year-on-year [8] Industry Analysis - The software industry saw a revenue of 7.06 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, growing by 11.9% [14] - The AI sector is experiencing significant growth, with a 422% increase in the number of projects awarded related to large models in July [14] - The semiconductor industry showed a 3.06% increase in July, with a year-to-date increase of 11.96% [24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as insurance, robotics, banking, and semiconductors for short-term investment opportunities [8][12][13] - In the software sector, companies like Huada Jiutian and Runze Technology are highlighted for their growth potential [14] - The report recommends monitoring the agricultural chemicals, organic silicon, and polyester filament industries due to their benefits from anti-involution policies [17][20] Sector Performance - The chemical industry index rose by 4.51% in July, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [17] - The media sector saw a 35.97% increase in the total market value of public fund holdings in Q2 2025 [21] - The photovoltaic industry index increased by 9.73% in July, indicating a recovery from previous lows [32]

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - In July, the social financing scale increased by 1.2 trillion yuan, lower than the expected 1.4 trillion yuan and significantly down from the previous value of 4.2 trillion yuan, indicating a tightening credit environment [7][21] - The RMB loan decreased by 500 million yuan, contrasting with the expected decrease of 150 million yuan and a previous increase of 22.4 trillion yuan, reflecting a decline in credit demand [7][21] - The government bond issuance continued to show a seasonal high increase, with 12.44 trillion yuan in new government bonds issued in July, up 5.56 trillion yuan year-on-year, indicating strong government support for financing [9] Group 2: Banking Sector Insights - The introduction of fiscal subsidy policies aims to lower financing costs and stimulate consumer demand, particularly benefiting sensitive price customers [31] - The fiscal subsidy policies cover a wide range of consumer loans and service industry entities, enhancing the accessibility of credit for a large portion of the population [32] - The policies are expected to stabilize bank interest margins and reduce competitive pressure among banks, thus supporting the overall health of the banking sector [33] Group 3: Coal Mining Sector Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in Q2 performance, with a quarter-on-quarter revenue increase of 32.14%, despite a year-on-year decline of 12.16% [36] - The company’s net profit for Q2 increased by 38.36% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a recovery trend in operational performance [36] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the real estate market and consumer demand, leading to improved performance in the coming years [36] Group 4: Food and Beverage Sector Insights - The company reported a 3.0% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, with a net profit increase of 1.2%, indicating stable growth [42] - The company’s meat product sales improved, with a revenue of 56.2 billion yuan in Q2, reflecting a positive response to professional reforms and new channel development [43] - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand value and expanding its marketing network to drive future growth [39] Group 5: Media Sector Insights - The company achieved a net profit increase of 68.5% in H1 2025, primarily due to significant gains from equity disposals, despite a 23.9% decline in revenue [50] - The online reading business showed steady growth, with a 2.3% increase in revenue, supported by a thriving content ecosystem [51] - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance its content distribution and user engagement, indicating a forward-looking growth strategy [51]

Group 1 - Google highlighted that Chinese developers have become a crucial force in global innovation, with 12 Chinese developer teams winning 14 "Best App" awards on Google Play [2] - Porsche has revised its adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 to between €1.6 billion and €3.6 billion, down from a previous estimate of €2.4 billion to €4.4 billion, citing current market dynamics [3] - The total box office for August 2025 has surpassed ¥3 billion, with "Nanjing Photo Studio," "Wang Wang Mountain Little Monster," and "Dongji Island" leading the charts [4] Group 2 - DeepSeek's next-generation model, DeepSeek-R2, will not be released in August as previously speculated, according to insiders [5] - Nike has filed a lawsuit against CLOT founder Edison Chen for breach of contract, with the actual claim amount confirmed to be $126,000 [6] - Beijing Mobile reported that issues with certain apps and mini-programs not being able to access the internet have been resolved [7] Group 3 - Guangdian Measurement has accumulated years of experience in robot testing and is now providing comprehensive testing services for robots and embodied intelligent agents, generating significant orders and revenue [8] - The Southeast Asian smartphone market saw a 1% year-on-year decline in Q2 2025, with Xiaomi regaining the top position with a shipment of 4.7 million units, capturing 19% market share [9] - Ingka Group, the parent company of IKEA, is reportedly planning to sell 10 shopping centers in China, with the first three located in Wuxi, Beijing, and Wuhan, led by a fund backed by Taikang Life [10] Group 4 - Hefei has announced that from August 20, 2025, individuals can convert personal housing commercial loans issued before December 31, 2021, into housing provident fund loans [11] - Li Guoqing, founder of Dangdang, has denied rumors about selling wedding tickets for his upcoming marriage, emphasizing that the wedding is private and not for commercial purposes [12] - Apple has revealed a new patent for a six-sided glass shell for its electronic devices, continuing its efforts to realize the "single-piece glass" design concept [12]