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山西证券:给予恒立液压买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-29 13:10
Core Viewpoint - The company continues to show growth in its main business, with the linear actuator segment entering a phase of realization, leading to a "buy" rating for Hengli Hydraulic [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.43 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [2] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.5%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, up 18.3% year-on-year and 31.4% quarter-on-quarter [2] Profitability Metrics - Q2 2025 marked a new high for quarterly net profit and the second-highest revenue, with a net profit margin increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 44%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year; the net profit margin was 29.6%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] Cost Structure - The total expense ratio for the period was 12.5%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year; management expenses increased due to a rise in employee numbers and salaries, while financial expenses decreased due to increased exchange gains [3] Market Dynamics - The excavator industry saw sales of 120,500 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%; the company sold 308,300 hydraulic cylinders for excavators, up over 15% year-on-year [3] - Sales of hydraulic pump and valve products in non-excavator sectors grew by over 30%, with total sales nearing last year's levels [3] Product Development - The company has developed over 50 new products in the first half of 2025, all of which have successfully transitioned to mass production [4] - The Mexico factory has officially commenced operations, expected to accelerate breakthroughs with foreign clients, although it reported a slight loss of 13,480 yuan during the reporting period [4] Investment Outlook - The company is a leading player in the hydraulic components industry, benefiting from the recovery in excavator demand; the electric business and global expansion are expected to contribute to performance in the medium to long term [5] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are 2.11, 2.42, and 2.90 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 39.8, 34.7, and 29.0 [5]
恒立液压:业绩稳健发展,线性驱动项目未来可期-20250505
Huaan Securities· 2025-05-05 05:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a steady performance with a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.51%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.51 billion yuan, up by 0.40%, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses decreased by 6.61% to 2.29 billion yuan. The cash flow from operating activities was 2.48 billion yuan, down by 7.40% [5][6] - The hydraulic cylinder product structure has improved, with revenue from hydraulic cylinders reaching 4.76 billion yuan, a 1.44% increase year-on-year. The gross margin for this segment increased by 1.41 percentage points. Revenue from hydraulic pumps and valves grew by 9.63% to 3.58 billion yuan, benefiting from increased market share in excavator pump and valve products [6] - The company's internationalization strategy is showing initial results, with overseas business revenue totaling 2.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.61%, accounting for 22% of total revenue. The linear drive project has entered mass production, with a complete processing capability achieved in September 2024 [7] Financial Summary - For 2025-2027, the company forecasts revenue of 10.32 billion yuan, 11.92 billion yuan, and 13.80 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.79 billion yuan, 3.32 billion yuan, and 3.90 billion yuan, respectively. The diluted EPS is expected to be 2.08 yuan, 2.48 yuan, and 2.91 yuan for the same period [8][10] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 42.8% in 2024 to 45.1% in 2027, while the return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 15.9% to 17.5% over the same period [10][13]