二季度业绩逐步加速，净利润创单季度历史新高 恒立液压(601100) 证券研究报告 工程机械 / 公司点评 / 2025.08.26 核心观点 | 盈利预测 | | --- | 投资评级:增持(维持) | 基本数据 | 2025-08-25 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 83.80 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 13.41 | | 每股净资产(元) | 12.22 | | 总股本(亿股) | 13.41 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -5% 17% 39% 61% 83% 104% 恒立液压 沪深300 分析师 佘炜超 SAC 证书编号：S0160522080002 shewc@ctsec.com 分析师 张豪杰 SAC 证书编号：S0160522090002 zhanghj01@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《液压泵阀份额持续提升，线性驱动新品 逐步放量》 2025-04-29 2. 《三季度业绩稳健增长，非标油缸及泵阀 保持较快增长》 2024-10-29 3. 《非标油缸及泵阀较快增长，二季度业绩 超预期》 2024-08-27 | [币种Table_FinchinaSimp ...

公司公布 2025H1 业绩：收入 51.71 亿元，同比增长 7.00%；归母净利润 14.29 亿元，同比增长 10.97%。2025Q2 公司实现收入 27.49 亿元，同比 增长 11.24%；归母净利润 8.12 亿元，同比增长 18.31%，创历史新高。公 司上半年业绩快速增长，主要受益于工程机械行业整体回暖带动挖机产品放 量。我们认为全球化布局将给公司带来新机遇且线性驱动器项目有望开拓新 的市场空间，维持买入评级。 证券研究报告 恒立液压 (601100 CH) 25Q2 归母净利润创历史新高 | 华泰研究 | | | 中报点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 8 月 | 26 日│中国内地 | 通用机械 | 目标价(人民币): | 96.60 | 挖机油缸销量同比增长超 15%，中大挖泵阀产品份额持续提升 2025H1，公司共销售挖掘机用油缸 30.83 万只，同比增长超 15%；挖掘机 用液压泵阀，在中大型挖掘机上取得持续突破，产品份额持续提升。此外， 非挖行业用液压泵阀产品谱系持续扩充， ...

Core Viewpoint - The actual controllers of Changling Hydraulic, Xia Jifa and Xia Zemin, are planning to transfer the company's control for the second time within six months due to poor business performance and declining profits [1][4][6]. Group 1: Control Transfer Plans - On July 3, Changling Hydraulic announced that its actual controllers are planning a significant matter that may lead to a change in control, resulting in a stock suspension starting July 4 [2][3]. - This is the second time this year that the company has planned a control transfer, with the first attempt in January ending in failure due to disagreements on core terms with the potential buyer [4][5]. - If the current control transfer is completed, it is expected that nearly 30% of the shares will be transferred, potentially allowing the controllers to cash out approximately 1.6 billion yuan based on the last trading price of 38.21 yuan per share [5]. Group 2: Business Performance - Since its listing in 2021, Changling Hydraulic has experienced a decline in both revenue and net profit, with net profit decreasing for four consecutive years from 2021 to 2024 [6][7]. - The company's revenue figures from 2021 to 2024 show slight fluctuations, with net profits dropping significantly: 2.02 billion yuan in 2021 to 0.95 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a decline of 14.56% to 6.84% year-on-year [7]. - In the first quarter of 2023, the company reported a revenue of 2.19 billion yuan and a net profit of 0.31 billion yuan, both showing year-on-year declines [7]. Group 3: Acquisition Attempts - In 2023, Changling Hydraulic attempted to diversify into the photovoltaic sector by acquiring a 70% stake in Jiangyin Shangchi Machinery for 336 million yuan, but the acquisition has not yielded significant results [8][9]. - The acquired company, Jiangyin Shangchi, had previously achieved notable revenue and profit figures, but Changling Hydraulic's performance post-acquisition has been disappointing, with the acquired entity failing to meet its profit commitments in 2024 [10]. Group 4: Financial Health - The company's accounts receivable have increased, reaching 409 million yuan by the end of the first quarter of this year, a year-on-year increase of 22.09%, while revenue has been declining [11].

Key Recommendations - Three-Dimensional Chemical (002469.SZ) benefits from accelerated coal chemical construction in Xinjiang, with a unique competitive advantage through "engineering + industry" collaboration [10][11] - Kangguan Technology (001308.SZ) shows high growth in innovative display products, with improved gross margin in Q1 2025 [12][13] Industry and Company Analysis - Three-Dimensional Chemical is a leader in sulfur recovery, leveraging proprietary technology to break foreign monopolies, with projected engineering revenue of 570 million yuan and chemical product revenue of 1.81 billion yuan in 2024 [10][11] - The company has a strong order backlog of 1.67 billion yuan, ensuring sustained revenue growth from coal chemical projects, with expected engineering revenue of 360 million, 550 million, and 760 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [11] - The domestic market for n-propanol remains tight, with a projected supply gap of 41,000 tons in 2025, maintaining prices between 8,000-9,000 yuan/ton [11] - Kangguan Technology's Q1 2025 revenue reached 3.142 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with a net profit of 215 million yuan, reflecting a 15.8% increase [12][13] - The company’s innovative display products saw a 50.4% revenue increase in Q1 2025, driven by strong demand in emerging markets [13][14] Macroeconomic and Strategic Insights - The high-tech manufacturing sector shows signs of recovery, with a narrowing decline in the macroeconomic diffusion index, indicating improved economic conditions [15][17] - The macroeconomic environment is expected to support growth in sectors like coal chemical engineering and innovative display technologies, with favorable government policies promoting urban renewal and infrastructure investment [26][27]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·工程机械 恒立液压（601100） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：2025Q1 归 母净利润同比+3%符合预期，多元化、国际 化战略持续推进 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 8,985 | 9,390 | 11,198 | 12,531 | 15,011 | | 同比（%） | 9.61 | 4.51 | 19.25 | 11.91 | 19.78 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,499 | 2,509 | 2,874 | 3,414 | 4,143 | | 同比（%） | 6.66 | 0.40 | 14.58 | 18.77 | 21.36 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.14 | 2.55 | 3.09 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.55 | 39.40 | 34.38 | 28.95 | 2 ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Hengli Hydraulic Company Overview - **Company**: Hengli Hydraulic - **Industry**: Hydraulic equipment manufacturing Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - **2024 Loss**: Expected loss of approximately 100 million yuan due to specific project impacts, despite nearly 10% sales revenue growth in hydraulic pump and valve market share [2][3] - **Revenue Growth**: Total revenue reached a historical high with an increase of 450 million yuan [3] - **Net Profit**: Net profit for 2024 was 1.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 13% [2][8] - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Core product profitability remained stable, with filter core business growing approximately 20% year-on-year [11] Product and Market Dynamics - **Product Gross Margin**: 2024 gross margin increased by nearly 1 percentage point, but Q1 2025 saw a decline of 0.6 percentage points due to slight decreases in casting parts prices [2][6] - **Sales Composition**: Domestic sales accounted for 77% of total sales, up nearly 4 percentage points, while overseas sales made up 23%, increasing by about 8% [2][8] - **Excavator Cylinder Revenue**: Revenue from excavator cylinders decreased by about 10%, while non-excavator cylinders grew by over 15% [2][3] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - **2025 Capital Expenditure**: Estimated at over 400 million yuan for equipment payments, with total fixed asset investments in Mexico around 1 billion yuan [5][16] - **Cash Flow**: Q1 2025 cash flow showed significant fluctuations, with cash payments increasing by approximately 80 million yuan mainly for salaries and taxes [4] Business Segment Performance - **Segment Growth**: Non-standard cylinder segment grew by over 20%, driven by demand in new energy, shield tunneling, and marine engineering sectors [8][26] - **Pump and Motor Systems**: Total revenue for pump and motor systems reached 3.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of over 9% [8] R&D and Future Outlook - **R&D Investment**: R&D expenses remained stable, with a focus on new business segments [9] - **Future Profitability**: Anticipated gradual decrease in overall expense ratios as revenue grows, with new business income expected to stabilize [12] Market Share and Competitive Position - **Market Share in 2024**: Small excavator pump and valve market share was approximately 50%, while medium and large excavator market share was around 30% [22] - **Long-term Potential**: There is significant potential for increasing market share in small and medium-sized pumps and valves, with a focus on product innovation to meet strict supply chain requirements from major clients like Caterpillar [22][24] Challenges and Strategic Responses - **Overseas Revenue Decline**: Q1 2025 saw a decrease in overseas revenue due to market changes in Europe and North America [19] - **Collaboration with Foreign Firms**: Ongoing partnerships with foreign excavator manufacturers, including Japanese companies, to enhance product adaptability and meet regional demands [23][24] Specific Business Developments - **New Projects**: The four-cylinder project has developed over ten products and entered mass production, with the Mexico factory starting small-scale production [7][11] - **Agricultural Machinery**: Agricultural machinery business contributed approximately 200-300 million yuan in revenue in 2024, with expectations for over 20% growth in 2025 [28] Industrial Sector Growth - **Industrial Sector Goals**: The pure industrial sector aims for over 30% annual growth, supported by pricing strategies influenced by competitors [29] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, market dynamics, and strategic outlook of Hengli Hydraulic.