Core Viewpoint - The EU has made concessions on carbon emission regulations for car manufacturers, allowing them to exceed limits in one or two years as long as the three-year average meets standards, providing a temporary relief for the struggling European automotive industry [1][3][9]. Group 1: EU Concessions and Industry Impact - The EU's decision to relax carbon emission regulations was anticipated due to internal disagreements among member states regarding strict adherence to the new rules [4][8]. - The stringent regulations require an average carbon emission of 93.6 grams per kilometer by 2025, which translates to extremely low fuel consumption for traditional vehicles, making compliance nearly impossible without significant changes in vehicle types [6][10]. - The potential fines for non-compliance could reach €124 billion, translating to an average price increase of €10,000 per vehicle, which may not be as burdensome given the average income in Europe [8][10]. Group 2: Future of Electric Vehicles and Market Dynamics - The automotive industry can still meet the 2030 targets by increasing electric vehicle sales to lower average carbon emissions, but there are concerns about the marketability of electric vehicles in the coming years [10][18]. - The EU's compromise may lead to a cycle of leniency, where future regulations are also relaxed, hindering the necessary transition to electric vehicles [10][11]. - The collaboration between European and Chinese automotive manufacturers is becoming more frequent, with Chinese electric vehicles potentially filling the gap in the European market [14][28][33]. Group 3: Tesla's Market Position and Competition - In the first quarter, the sales of electric vehicles in the EU increased by 23.9%, but Tesla's sales plummeted by 45%, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [21][26]. - European manufacturers are regaining market share, with Volkswagen and other brands showing substantial growth in electric vehicle sales, while Tesla struggles to maintain its previous dominance [25][26]. - The rise of Chinese electric vehicle brands in Europe, such as BYD and Xpeng, highlights the competitive landscape and the potential for increased collaboration between European and Chinese companies [26][28][31].

以下文章来源于前瞻经济学人 ，作者产业观察组 前瞻经济学人 . 关注中国城市发展战略、把握全球新兴产业趋势！这是省长书记爱看的智库号之一。 作者：产业观察组 来源：前瞻经济学人（ID： gh_0323d102f291 ） 新规生效，最猛烈的冲击来了！ 因为，尽管燃油车做不到百公里油耗3.5L，但纯电动车完全可以。参照欧盟27国的平均电网排放 因子480.8 gCO₂/kWh（一度电排放480.8克二氧化碳），以特斯拉Model 3平均每公里耗电约 0.13kWh计算，碳排放仅62克。 那么多卖一些电动车，或者少卖一些燃油车，平均下来或许就能完成任务。 然而，这种看似无懈 可击的逻辑，当地市场却根本不买账。 2024年，欧盟市场乘用车新车总销量为1060万辆，纯电动车的占比仅有13.6%，整个市场上还 是燃油车（33.3%）和HEV混动车（30.9%）占主导。 一些投资机构预计，如果要满足二氧化碳排放量每公里93.6克的要求，欧盟汽车市场上的电动车 销售比例要提升至25%。 但现实情况却是，欧盟纯电动汽车销售率不仅停滞不前，2024年同比还下滑1%，首次出现负增 长。 不卖电动车，罚款1330亿 2025年1月 ...