（文/观察者网 张家栋 编辑/高莘） 近日，《欧洲汽车新闻》报道称，受欧盟排放监管规则调整及市场不确定性影响，多家汽车制造商正在放缓甚至推迟2026年排放配额与积分合作机制的制定 节奏。 相比2025年初在欧车企为避免高额罚款而密集组建排放共享池、主动寻求积分合作的情况，今年行业整体态度明显转向谨慎，排放合规相关交易活跃度也随 之降温。 在前两年的欧洲市场，排放积分交易一度成为电动化布局领先车企的重要补充收入来源。 沃尔沃 欧洲汽车新闻 截至2025年前九个月，沃尔沃通过出售排放积分获得约24.4亿瑞典克朗（约17.1亿元人民币）收入；特斯拉2025年全球监管积分收入约19.9亿美元（约143亿 元人民币）。 企业层面的积极度随之快速下降，沃尔沃首席执行官萨缪尔森表示，碳排放额度的市场价值正在被重新审视，政策弹性提升后，积分交易的重要性下降。他 还补充称，部分企业此前按照既定政策节奏加速电动化投入，但规则中途调整削弱了相关商业回报。 马自达欧洲首席执行官滕·布林克表示，公司将根据今年电动车市场需求表现，在第一季度结束后再决定是否参与2026年的配额合作安排。 值得一提的是，在欧洲碳排放监管力度放宽前的2025 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla has launched a new six-seat version of the Model Y, known as Model YL, in China, but Elon Musk has not promoted it, which is unusual for him [2][10]. Group 1: Product Launch Details - The Model YL is a minor revision of the existing Model Y, featuring a length increase of 18 cm, height increase of 4.4 cm, and a wheelbase increase of 15 cm, enhancing legroom in the second and third rows [4]. - The Model YL includes additional features such as ventilated seats and electric armrests in the second row, with a starting price of 339,000 RMB (approximately 47,000 USD), which is 10,000 RMB more than the standard Model Y [4][8]. Group 2: Market Context - The Model YL is Tesla's only six-seat vehicle in China, as the Model X and S are not sold in the Chinese market due to tariffs, and their sales have been minimal [8]. - Tesla aims to increase its market share in the highly competitive Chinese electric vehicle market, which is the largest globally and accounts for nearly 40% of Tesla's sales [8][15]. Group 3: Musk's Silence and Market Reactions - Musk's lack of promotion for the Model YL has raised eyebrows, especially since American fans and shareholders have been eagerly awaiting news about the vehicle [10][12]. - Musk eventually stated that the Model YL would not be produced in the U.S. until late next year, leading to disappointment among potential American buyers who desire a six-seat option [12][13]. Group 4: Sales Challenges - Tesla's global sales have faced significant challenges, with a 14% decline in global deliveries and a 16% drop in automotive revenue in the second quarter [14]. - In China, Tesla delivered 129,000 vehicles in the second quarter but faced fierce competition from local manufacturers, resulting in a 12% market share decline in July [14][15]. Group 5: Political and Regulatory Impact - Musk's political actions, including financial support for Trump and right-wing parties, have reportedly alienated Tesla's core consumer base, contributing to declining sales in the U.S. and Europe [14][18]. - The recent "Great American Rescue Act" has eliminated federal tax credits for electric vehicles, which could lead to a significant drop in U.S. electric vehicle sales after October [18][19]. Group 6: Focus on Autonomous Driving - Tesla's current focus appears to be shifting towards expanding its autonomous driving services, particularly the Robotaxi service, rather than addressing the U.S. market's demand for the Model YL [20][22]. - Recent legal challenges regarding Tesla's marketing of its autonomous driving capabilities may further complicate its operational landscape [23][25].

Group 1 - The "Big Beautiful" bill, pushed by President Trump, has been passed, but Tesla CEO Elon Musk continues to oppose it, indicating potential for further conflict between them [1][3] - The final version of the bill raises the U.S. federal debt ceiling by $5 trillion, exceeding the previous House version's increase of $4 trillion, and makes tax cuts from Trump's 2017 term permanent [1][2] Group 2 - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the final version of the "Big Beautiful" bill could increase the U.S. government's budget deficit by $3.4 trillion over the next decade, with total debt potentially rising to $36.2 trillion [2] - The bill is expected to severely impact Tesla's carbon credit revenue by eliminating key rules for carbon emissions trading and setting fines for fuel economy standards to zero, reducing the incentive for traditional automakers to purchase Tesla's carbon credits [5] - In the previous year, Tesla's carbon credit revenue reached $2.8 billion, accounting for 39% of its net profit, with a significant portion coming from the U.S. market [5]

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk's significant donation of over $250 million to support Donald Trump's election is now facing backlash as Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" threatens to cost Tesla billions due to changes in carbon credit trading policies [1][2]. Group 1: Impact of Trump's Legislation - Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" aims to eliminate key rules that allow electric vehicle manufacturers to sell billions in carbon credits, which are crucial for Tesla's profitability [1]. - The bill has passed Congress and is set to be signed by Trump, despite strong opposition from Democrats [1]. - The new legislation sets fines for corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standards to zero, removing the incentive for traditional automakers to purchase Tesla's carbon credits [1][3]. Group 2: Financial Implications for Tesla - In Q1, Tesla's carbon credit sales generated $595 million, surpassing its net income of $409 million; without this revenue, Tesla would face losses [1][3]. - Tesla's projected revenue from carbon credits for 2024 is $2.8 billion, a significant increase from $1.8 billion in 2023, accounting for 39% of its annual net profit of $7.1 billion [3]. - The company has accumulated over $11 billion in revenue from carbon credit sales since 2015, with approximately 75% of this income coming from the U.S. market [3]. Group 3: Broader Business Challenges - Other Tesla operations, including battery manufacturing, its network of 2,600 U.S. Supercharger stations, solar roofs, and energy storage solutions, will also lose critical federal support or tax incentives due to the new legislation [4]. - The $7,500 federal tax credit for specific electric vehicle purchases and leases will be eliminated by the end of September, further impacting sales [4]. - Trump's unpredictable tariff policies may disrupt Tesla's supply chain and access to essential materials, compounding the challenges faced by the company [4]. Group 4: Musk's Response and Industry Reactions - Musk has publicly criticized the bill as "odious" and threatened political donations against supporters of the legislation, but his response appears limited [5]. - Trump has countered Musk's criticisms, suggesting that without subsidies, Musk might have to shut down operations and return to South Africa [5]. - A former Tesla executive noted that the policy changes represent a cumulative negative impact on Tesla's profitability, indicating that Musk's realization of the situation may have come too late [5].