稀土替代战略
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15年稀土梦碎,美国真就是“体制问题”
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-09 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and failures of the U.S. in breaking its reliance on China for rare earth elements, highlighting systemic issues within the U.S. government and industry that hinder progress in this area [4][41]. Group 1: U.S. Rare Earth Strategy - The Trump administration's approach to rare earth elements has been characterized by a desperate and chaotic strategy, likened to a character from "Dream of the Red Chamber" who indiscriminately collects everything [5]. - The U.S. Geological Survey does not list Ukraine as a major rare earth holder, contradicting claims made by U.S. officials about securing significant rare earth resources from Ukraine [6][8]. - The U.S. has been attempting to reduce its dependence on Chinese rare earths for over 15 years, with various legislative efforts aimed at rebuilding domestic production and supply chains [10][11]. Group 2: Legislative and Policy Developments - A series of legislative measures have been introduced since 2010 to address the rare earth supply issue, including the "Rare Earth Supply Chain Technology and Resource Transformation Act" [10][11]. - The Biden administration has continued and expanded upon the previous administration's rare earth strategies, emphasizing the importance of securing critical mineral supply chains [14][15]. Group 3: Production and Processing Challenges - The Mountain Pass rare earth mine in California, which was once the world's largest supplier, has resumed production but still faces significant challenges in scaling up to meet demand [17][18]. - The U.S. has made some progress in rare earth processing, with investments in facilities in California and Texas, but still lags behind China in terms of production capacity and technology [22][23]. Group 4: Systemic Issues and Market Dynamics - The U.S. mining sector faces bureaucratic hurdles, with lengthy permitting processes that can take decades, contributing to a slow pace of development in the rare earth industry [32][33]. - The market for rare earths is relatively small, which complicates investment decisions and makes it difficult for U.S. companies to justify large-scale production efforts [34][36]. - The article emphasizes that despite significant investments and policy initiatives, the U.S. has only achieved a "zero breakthrough" in its rare earth strategy over the past 15 years, indicating a lack of substantial progress [26][28].
江宇舟:15年稀土梦碎,美国真就是“体制问题”
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-11-07 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in the U.S. rare earth strategy under the Trump administration, highlighting the inconsistencies and challenges faced in breaking China's dominance in the rare earth sector. It emphasizes systemic issues within the U.S. that hinder effective policy implementation and industry growth. Group 1: U.S. Rare Earth Strategy - The Trump administration has shown a strong interest in rare earth elements, signing agreements with Japan and claiming to break China's control over the sector within two years [1][12][13] - The U.S. Geological Survey does not list Ukraine as a major rare earth holder, contradicting claims made by Trump regarding significant rare earth resources in Ukraine [2][3] - The U.S. has been attempting to reduce its reliance on Chinese rare earths for over 15 years, with various legislative efforts aimed at rebuilding domestic production and supply chains [6][7][12] Group 2: Challenges in Implementation - Despite numerous policies and plans, the U.S. has made limited progress in establishing a competitive rare earth industry, with only one major mine, Mountain Pass, currently operational [11][13][28] - The average time for mineral exploration and development in the U.S. is significantly longer than in other countries, leading to delays in production [25][28] - The U.S. faces a talent shortage in the mining sector, with only a small number of graduates entering the rare earth field each year, compared to thousands in China [24][25] Group 3: International Collaboration and Market Dynamics - The U.S. is seeking partnerships with allies like Australia to develop rare earth supply chains, but faces challenges in achieving significant production levels [20][31] - The global market for rare earths is relatively small, which limits the economic viability of large-scale investments in the U.S. [31][32] - The U.S. Department of Defense has been involved in financing rare earth projects, but the effectiveness of these investments remains uncertain [32][33] Group 4: Systemic Issues - The article highlights systemic problems within the U.S. government that impede the efficiency of rare earth policy implementation, including bureaucratic hurdles and a lack of cohesive strategy [36][39] - The U.S. has struggled to compete with China's established rare earth industry, which has a well-developed supply chain and technological advantages [44][51] - The article concludes that the U.S. needs to address these systemic issues to make meaningful progress in its rare earth strategy and reduce dependence on China [39][49]