Group 1 - The adjustment of China's rare earth export policy is interpreted as a strategic move in response to U.S. pressure, aiming to gain negotiation leverage in semiconductor discussions [2][3] - The U.S. has expanded export restrictions, which has weakened China's trust in trade negotiations, indicating a potential backlash against U.S. policies [2] - China has linked rare earth controls directly to semiconductor parameters, establishing a negotiation logic of "equivalent exchange" with the U.S. [3] Group 2 - Bank of America predicts a price differentiation trend in rare earths, forecasting that the average price of neodymium-praseodymium will reach $85 per kilogram by the second half of 2025, with significant increases for heavy rare earths by 2030 [4][5] - Non-Chinese rare earth supply chains are considered "scarce assets," with limited companies capable of large-scale production outside of China, leading to a buy rating for Lynas Rare Earths and MP Materials [5] - Lynas Rare Earths is the only company outside China with significant production capacity for both light and heavy rare earths, benefiting from government support and potential valuation increases [5]