电力股今日回暖，截至发稿，中广核电力(01816)涨4.76%，报3.08港元；大唐发电（601991）(00991)涨 3.96%，报2.36港元；华能国际（600011）(00902)涨3.89%，报5.61港元；龙源电力（001289）(00916)涨 3.65%，报8.53港元。 消息面上，9月25日，国资委召开部分国有企业经济运行座谈会，聚焦稳电价、稳煤价、防止 "内卷 式"恶性竞争等。国盛证券指出，2025年各地年度长协电价不同程度调降，火电明年容量电价将全面提 升，绿电经历全面市场化后电价风险逐步释出，"反内卷"明确"稳电价"，电价下行最大压力时期即将过 去。 广发证券则表示，整体来看，尽管对2025年长协电价的分歧仍然较大，但稳电价的预期也在持续增强， 长协电量的比例也将成为重点关注指标。我们强调火电在能源结构转型的背景下，已明确追求效益、提 升度电收入而非单纯追求发电量，叠加稳定的容量电价和辅助服务，业绩波动放缓。同时市值管理+净 资产修复+分红提升三箭齐发，公司治理也显著改善。测算当前华能国际、华电国际（600027）港股股 息率接近8%，A股申能股份（600642）、内蒙华电（60086 ...

广发证券则表示，整体来看，尽管对2025年长协电价的分歧仍然较大，但稳电价的预期也在持续增强， 长协电量的比例也将成为重点关注指标。我们强调火电在能源结构转型的背景下，已明确追求效益、提 升度电收入而非单纯追求发电量，叠加稳定的容量电价和辅助服务，业绩波动放缓。同时市值管理+净 资产修复+分红提升三箭齐发，公司治理也显著改善。测算当前华能国际、华电国际港股股息率接近 8%，A股申能股份、内蒙华电股息率接近6%，稳电价下低波红利属性增强。 消息面上，9月25日，国资委召开部分国有企业经济运行座谈会，聚焦稳电价、稳煤价、防止 "内卷 式"恶性竞争等。国盛证券指出，2025年各地年度长协电价不同程度调降，火电明年容量电价将全面提 升，绿电经历全面市场化后电价风险逐步释出，"反内卷"明确"稳电价"，电价下行最大压力时期即将过 去。 智通财经APP获悉，电力股今日回暖，截至发稿，中广核电力(01816)涨4.76%，报3.08港元；大唐发电 (00991)涨3.96%，报2.36港元；华能国际(00902)涨3.89%，报5.61港元；龙源电力(00916)涨3.65%，报 8.53港元。 ...

如何解读国资委要求反内卷、稳电价？20250928 摘要 国资委稳定煤电价格政策旨在避免电力市场恶性竞争，保障行业健康发 展，与过去维持用电成本平稳的政策导向一致，缓解了市场对火电盈利 能力不确定性的担忧。 火电商业模式正从依赖煤电差价向提供调节和容量服务转变，容量电价 政策是关键，2026 年农网容量电价将提升至不低于每千瓦每年 165 元， 增强火电盈利能力和估值。 国资委考核导向从利润率增长转向市值管理和分红，促使火电企业重视 盈利能力，通过多元化收入来源和稳定电价，实现利润增长和股东回报， 提升资本市场认可度。 容量电价政策是未来五年电力改革的关键，纠正了过度依赖发电量的问 题，提供经营稳定性，增强火电竞争力和可预期性，优化折现率，提升 板块估值。 稳定煤电价格政策对各类电源均有利好，火电受益最直接，因其是中国 电价的锚。水电、核电价格受火电联动影响，风光新能源受益程度相对 较弱，但政策提供了缓冲。 如何解读电力行业在反内卷和稳电价政策中的地位和影响？ 电力行业在反内卷和稳电价政策中的地位得到了显著提升。国务院国资委主任 张玉卓在部分国有企业经济运行座谈会上明确提出要聚焦稳电价、稳煤价，防 止恶性竞争 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the utility sector [8] Core Insights - The introduction of the "stabilizing electricity prices" policy aims to mitigate "involutionary" competition among power generation companies, which is expected to support electricity price expectations for 2026 and beyond [2][12] - The stable electricity price policy is anticipated to catalyze the revaluation of thermal power assets, as it encourages companies to avoid irrational price competition [12] - The linkage between thermal power prices and hydro/nuclear power prices is expected to strengthen, providing a price anchor for these sectors [12] - The report suggests that the new policy direction will alleviate irrational low-price competition in the renewable energy sector, promoting a shift towards high-quality development [12] Summary by Sections Policy Developments - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) has emphasized stabilizing electricity and coal prices to prevent harmful competition, which is crucial for the high-quality development of state-owned enterprises [2][12] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the capital market has historically viewed the thermal power industry as a "coal processing industry," with profitability primarily driven by the coal-electricity price differential [12] - Concerns over declining long-term electricity prices for 2026 have been a source of anxiety for investors, but the new policy is expected to provide a stable foundation for future negotiations [12] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, and Guodian Power, as well as hydroelectric companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation [12] - In the renewable energy sector, companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their expected growth and stability [12]

【环球网财经综合报道】日前，国务院国资委召开国有企业经济运行座谈会，聚焦稳电价、稳煤价、防止"内卷式"恶性竞争等，听取企业意见建 议，进一步研究夯实企业高质量发展基础的政策举措。国务院国资委主任张玉卓强调，中央企业要带头坚决抵制"内卷式"竞争。 展望四季度，东证期货认为前期压制煤价的火电负增长仍在延续，新能源装机抑制下火电日耗难有提振。700元/吨煤价以上部分边际电厂成本略有 压力，预计难以大幅突破。但供应端同步保持主动控产，叠加冬季补库等因素，预计动力煤价格保持在650-720元/吨左右震荡市。电力日耗负增长 短期难以扭转，关注供应端长效控产政策和执行情况。 大同证券也认为，近一段时间煤炭产能释放受到影响，叠加大秦线将展开检修，各环节库存不高，终端电厂补库需求增加，以及非电煤需求逐渐释 放，贸易商挺价情绪升高，煤炭价格有望继续上涨。炼焦煤方面，焦煤市场多空博弈加剧，反内卷、超产检查等，对焦煤价格有提振作用，但下游 钢厂盈 利收窄，多以刚需采购，市场整体情绪较为谨慎，随着双节来临，补库需求增加，短期预计支撑煤价走强。 东证期货近日发布研报指出，2025年上半年以来，电力需求转负、煤价加速下行。港口5500K报 ...

Group 1 - The meeting held by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) focused on understanding the economic operation of state-owned enterprises and addressing challenges such as stabilizing electricity and coal prices, and preventing "involution" competition [1] - Six central enterprises, including China Huadian, China Mobile, AVIC Group, China State Construction, China Coal Group, and Poly Group, provided insights into their economic performance and industry trends, along with suggestions for improvement [1] - SASAC will enhance the regular communication mechanism for the economic operation of state-owned enterprises and actively coordinate to resolve practical issues raised by these enterprises [1] Group 2 - Emphasis was placed on maintaining stable operations, targeting the "one increase, one stability, and four enhancements" goal, optimizing operational strategies, and focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement [2] - Investment structure optimization is crucial, with a focus on strengthening the industrial chain, infrastructure construction, and energy resource security, while promoting digital and green upgrades [2] - There is a strong commitment to resisting "involution" competition, promoting differentiated development, and fostering a healthy and sustainable industry ecosystem [2] - Risk prevention measures will be strengthened, including the establishment of a regular risk monitoring and early warning system [2]