Core Viewpoint - The performance of dividend stocks in 2026 is expected to outperform that of 2025, with the dividend logic remaining effective in a low-interest-rate environment [1] Group 1: Dividend Stocks Outlook - The difference between the dividend yield of the CSI Dividend Index and the 10-year government bond yield remains at a high level since 2018, indicating a significant substitution effect of dividend stocks over pure bonds [1] - The pressure on dividend stocks in 2025 is mainly due to fluctuations in pure bond rates and the strong performance of the technology sector, but these factors may change in 2026 [1] - Expectations of monetary easing may push the interest rate center down, while increased volatility in the technology sector could enhance the demand for dividend stocks [1] Group 2: Corporate Dividend Policies - The willingness of listed companies to distribute dividends continues to rise, and under the guidance of the "New National Nine Articles" policy, the dividend payout ratio is expected to remain high, further consolidating the value of dividend assets [1] Group 3: ETF and Index Information - The Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) tracks the State-Owned Dividend Index (000151), which selects stocks with high dividend characteristics, stable dividend payments, and good liquidity, primarily covering traditional sectors such as finance, energy, and industry [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the ongoing market volatility and the increasing investment in cash flow assets, with the cash flow ETF (159399) experiencing a net inflow of over 270 million yuan for five consecutive days [1] - The current investment landscape in China is characterized by a transition between old and new economic drivers, with thriving sectors concentrated in technology (primarily AI), anti-involution industries (such as photovoltaic and lithium battery resources), and manufacturing exports [1] - There is an expectation of a lack of incremental fiscal policy in the near term, making it difficult for the market to shift towards low-consumption stocks in a "high-cut-low" trend [1] Group 2 - The cash flow ETF (159399) has consistently outperformed the CSI Dividend Index and the CSI 300 Index over the past nine years, indicating strong market performance [1] - The underlying index of the cash flow ETF focuses on large and mid-cap stocks, with a higher proportion of central state-owned enterprises compared to similar cash flow indices, and it has distributed dividends for nine consecutive months since its listing [1] - Investors are encouraged to consider dividend-paying options such as the dividend Hong Kong stock ETF (159331) and the dividend state-owned enterprise ETF (510720) alongside the cash flow ETF [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a bullish trend, prompting investment advisors to increase equity positions and focus on growth-oriented funds while reducing fixed income allocations [1][2]. Group 1: Portfolio Adjustments - Investment advisors are enhancing the growth aspect of their portfolios by increasing allocations to growth-style funds, such as Jin Ying Technology Innovation Stock C and Fu Guo Emerging Industry Stock C [1]. - The equity investment ratio has been raised across various portfolios, with E Fund Stock-Bond Balance increasing its stock fund holding to 55.3% as of August 14 [2]. - Many advisors are adjusting their portfolios to reflect a positive outlook on growth styles, with a notable shift from value funds to growth funds [2]. Group 2: Sector Preferences - Technology and healthcare theme funds are gaining popularity among investment advisors, with significant additions to tech-focused index funds like the China Securities Robotics Index A [2][3]. - Funds heavily invested in innovative pharmaceuticals are also favored, such as Fu Guo Precision Medicine Mixed C, which has seen increased allocations [3]. - Some advisors are reducing exposure to certain sectors, like innovative pharmaceuticals, while reallocating to sectors like robotics and semiconductors [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Investment managers are cautious about the current market dynamics, noting that the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts may not yield the same market reactions as in previous years [4]. - There is a focus on sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies and a recommendation to consider large-cap indices and dividend-paying stocks [5]. - The market is advised to be wary of over-concentration in small-cap stocks and convertible bonds, which may face risk release pressures [5].

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 以巴菲特的伯克希尔公司为例，过去该公 司长期现金流充沛，但几乎不分红，而是 通过回购方式回馈股东。 这类股票无法进入红利指数，但可以进入 自由现金流指数。 (2) 有的股票股息率比较高，估值也比 较低。 但自由现金流比较少，也进入不了自由现 金流指数。 代表就是金融地产中，一些高杠杆经营的 公司。 所以自由现金流指数，持有行业分布上， 跟红利差别还是比较大的。 ▼点击阅读原 文，免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 ...