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河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2025年7月)
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-08-21 12:40
Economic Overview - In July 2025, the national industrial added value increased by 5.7% year-on-year, a decline of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month[11] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, growing by 3.7% year-on-year, with a decrease of 1.1 percentage points compared to June[15] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to July totaled 288,229 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6%, marking a continuous decline for four months[18] Henan Province Economic Performance - In July 2025, Henan's industrial added value grew by 8.8% year-on-year, exceeding the national average by 3.1 percentage points[25] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in Henan reached 212.53 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, surpassing the national average by 1.1 percentage points[26] - Fixed asset investment in Henan from January to July increased by 5.6% year-on-year, higher than the national average by 4.0 percentage points[29] Regional Economic Contributions - Zhengzhou contributed 7,329.3 billion yuan, accounting for 23.1% of Henan's total economic output, with Luoyang and Nanyang following at 2,925.3 billion yuan (9.2%) and 2,389.83 billion yuan (7.5%) respectively[34] - Six cities in Henan achieved GDP growth rates exceeding the provincial target of 5.7%, with the highest growth in Leihe and Shangqiu at 7.3% and 7.0% respectively[34] Investment and Consumption Trends - The investment in real estate development in Henan decreased by 8.0% year-on-year from January to July, indicating a continued decline in the real estate market[22] - Consumer demand showed signs of recovery with increased spending in food and beverage categories, while "old-for-new" consumption policies led to a decline in certain retail categories[16][26] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include slower-than-expected policy implementation affecting economic recovery, insufficient domestic demand, and escalating trade tensions[4][38]
河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2025年3月)
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-04-25 08:30
相关报告 分析师:郑婷 登记编码:S0730524110001 zhengting@ccnew.com 投资要点: 《河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2025 年 1-2 月)》2025-3-24 《河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2024 年度)》 2025-1-24 《河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2024 年 10 月)》 2024-11-27 《河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2024 年 9 月)》 2024-10-25 联系人:李智 证券研究报告—宏观点评 发布日期:2025 年 4 月 25 日 风险提示:1.美国加征关税对全球贸易带来的不确定性风险;2.海外政 策变动的3.风政险策;落实进度不及预期的风险;4.内需修复进度不及 预期的风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共16页 河南研究:经济数据跟踪(2025 年 3 月) 电话: 0371-65585629 地址: 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址: 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 全国经济运行情况:2025 年一季度国内生产总值(GDP)为 318758 亿元,同比 ...