今日周四(12月18日)亚盘时段，现货白银目前交投于66.33一线上方，今日开盘于66.21美元/盎司，截至 发稿，现货白银暂报66.33美元/盎司，上涨0.24%，最高触及66.59美元/盎司，最低下探65.54美元/盎 司，目前来看，现货白银盘内短线偏向看跌走势。 【要闻速递】 国际地缘政治局势的恶化为白银提供了强劲支撑。据Politico报道，特朗普政府近期在委内瑞拉海岸封 锁油轮的举动，是其对委总统马杜罗"渐进式施压"战略的最新体现。该战略旨在通过持续孤立和挤压而 非立即发动大规模国内行动，最终实现使马杜罗下台的目标。 知情人士透露，美方认为马杜罗政权的生存依赖石油、毒品和非法黄金走私，而美国当前行动正从这三 方面同步施压。然而，分析也承认马杜罗不会轻易屈服，其顽固态度与美国已抬高的行动预期，使双方 均缺乏让步空间。报道指出，"马杜罗在争取时间，而特朗普在争取胜利"，导致局势缓和的选择所剩无 几。 俄乌和平进展同样充满波折，提振避险需求。据国际文传电讯报道，克里姆林宫发言人Dmitry Peskov 周三向记者表示，克里姆林宫知悉部分美国官员正考虑对俄罗斯实施新制裁的计划。"显然任何的制裁 都对两国关 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market has rebounded close to historical highs after a turbulent month, but persistent inflation concerns and deteriorating consumer confidence are causing unease among investors ahead of the Federal Reserve's final policy meeting of the year [1] - The September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is seen as crucial for investors to validate economic sentiment, as soft data has been deemed unreliable [1][2] - There is a divergence in economic signals, with strong consumer spending reported by companies like Dollar General and Macy's, challenging narratives that inflation and a weak labor market would suppress spending [2] Group 2 - The PCE report and the latest data on personal spending and income are considered extremely important for investors, especially amid bearish narratives about consumer struggles [2] - Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expect a 0.3% month-over-month increase in overall PCE for September, with core PCE expected to rise by 0.2%, while the annual rates are projected to remain at 2.9% and 2.8% respectively [3] - There is an 87% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting, despite concerns about inflation remaining above the 2% target [3]

摘要今日周一（11月24日）亚盘时段，现货黄金目前交投于4040美元附近，截至发稿，现货黄金最新报 4047.48美元/盎司，跌幅0.43%，最高上探至4076.69美元/盎司，最低触及4042.45美元/盎司。目前来 看，现货黄金短线偏向震荡走势。分析师表示，预计本周黄金将维持窄幅震荡。 今日周一（11月24日）亚盘时段，现货黄金目前交投于4040美元附近，截至发稿，现货黄金最新报 4047.48美元/盎司，跌幅0.43%，最高上探至4076.69美元/盎司，最低触及4042.45美元/盎司。目前来 看，现货黄金短线偏向震荡走势。分析师表示，预计本周黄金将维持窄幅震荡。 【要闻速递】 即将公布的零售销售数据、生产者物价指数(PPI)报告以及其他数据，可能为美国经济健康状况提供新 的线索。若美国数据不及预期，可能重新点燃美联储降息押注——有望推动黄金重回每盎司4100美元上 方，"他说，"但如果强劲数据继续降低降息概率，黄金可能跌破每盎司4000美元的关键支撑位，进而向 每盎司3970美元和3930美元区间靠拢。 【最新现货黄金行情解析】 黄金目前依旧处于震荡态势。周末期间，诸多消息并未能促使黄金摆脱震荡格局 ...

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed will formulate policies based on the evolution of the economic outlook and risk balance, rather than following a predetermined path [1]. Group 1: Monetary Policy - Powell stated that there is no risk-free path for the Fed's interest rate policy due to the need to balance employment and inflation targets [1]. - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on October 28-29, with market expectations leaning towards another 25 basis point rate cut following the previous cut on September 17 [1]. Group 2: Economic Monitoring - In response to the federal government shutdown affecting official data reports, Powell noted that the Fed has its own contacts and data sources to monitor the health of the U.S. economy [1]. - Powell indicated that based on the data available, it can be fairly stated that there has not been much change in the employment and inflation outlook since the September meeting [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve, led by Chairman Powell, emphasizes a flexible approach to policy-making based on evolving economic conditions rather than a predetermined path [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy - Powell reiterated that the Fed's interest rate policy does not have a risk-free path due to the need to balance employment and inflation targets [1] - The next Federal Open Market Committee meeting is scheduled for October 28-29, with market expectations leaning towards a potential 25 basis point rate cut following the previous cut on September 17 [1] Group 2: Economic Monitoring - Powell addressed the impact of the federal government shutdown on official data reporting, stating that the Fed has its own contacts and data sources to monitor the health of the U.S. economy [1] - According to the data available to the Fed, there has been little change in employment and inflation outlook since the September meeting [1]

Group 1 - The current total holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, stand at 935.91 tons, reflecting a decrease of 0.31 tons from the previous trading day [4] - On June 10, spot gold experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of $3349.20 per ounce and a low of $3300 per ounce, with a daily range of nearly $50, closing at $3322.49 per ounce, down $2.85 or 0.09% [4] - Market sentiment is relatively positive due to ongoing US-China trade negotiations, which may suppress gold prices in the short term if positive outcomes are reported [4] Group 2 - Analysts are closely monitoring the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May, which will help assess the health of the US economy and predict the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory [4] - Recent strong performances in silver and platinum have drawn attention, with silver prices soaring over 35% since April's low, surpassing the $36 mark for the first time in 13 years [4][5] - UBS attributes the strong performance of platinum and silver to five common factors, including expected supply shortages and relative value attractiveness compared to gold [5] Group 3 - Technically, the overall outlook for gold remains bullish, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding above the midpoint, indicating a positive short-term outlook [5] - If gold prices gain upward momentum, they may test the strong resistance level at $3350, with further resistance at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $3375 [5] - Conversely, if the daily close falls below the strong support level of $3300, it may challenge the 50-day moving average at $3260, followed by $3230 [5]